BRTD's county map predictions

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

So I suppose there was no way Bush could've won Wayne County in 2000.

[Ronnie]

So I suppose there was no way Bush could've won Wayne County in 2000.

Well, we'll see.  West Virginia is a state susceptible to wild swings, and is very unpredictable since we don't know who will turnout and in what numbers.

[Boris]

Do you think Obama will win more counties than Dukakis (he won 820; Kerry won 583)?

[Associate Justice PiT]

     The eastern half of the country is becoming more popular I can see.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Al would know a lot more for this:



Imagine McCain by about 7 or so. No he's not winning by double digits, yes, he's winning by less than Wyoming, no he's not close to winning every county.

Nicholas and Clay will probably fall before Harrison. Jefferson might swing hard, might hardly swing at all (it's on the edge of the DC metro area, with all that might be associated with that, you know...)

[memphis]

C'mon Zach. You've done the easier states. Finish the job

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

You're not getting any during the day because that's when I work. Though as I'm not working overtime this week I'll have more time to make them.

[Bacon King]

More maps!

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

[Ronnie]

Obama has a really decent chance at breaking 60% in Missoula.  I think he'll do it.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

[Verily]

Al would know a lot more for this:



Imagine McCain by about 7 or so. No he's not winning by double digits, yes, he's winning by less than Wyoming, no he's not close to winning every county.

Nicholas and Clay will probably fall before Harrison. Jefferson might swing hard, might hardly swing at all (it's on the edge of the DC metro area, with all that might be associated with that, you know...)

Important to mention that it's in the DC media market, which Obama is blanketing but where McCain has no ads up at all. Similarly we will see a swing to Obama in the Maryland counties covered by the DC market (but in Virginia the campaigns are far more visible as ground operations, of course). This is also happening in the Boston market (covering part of NH) and the Chicago market (covering part of IN).

[Brittain33]

Did you see the latest polling from SD when you constructed this? It's referenced on Daily Kos, which has its own poll coming out soon, and Obama's showing strength in the Sioux Falls area if not the southeast.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Did you see the latest polling from SD when you constructed this? It's referenced on Daily Kos, which has its own poll coming out soon, and Obama's showing strength in the Sioux Falls area if not the southeast.

Yeah I saw it, McCain +7 and based this on it. Two things though:

1-I don't read much into subsamples due to the MoE>
2-It's going to take a lot more to swing Sioux Falls, due to the whole urban vs. rural partisanship thing.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

And all the black haters on Staten Island look like jokes.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

I'd give the county with Utica to Obama.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Oh what the hey. Let's get controversial:

[Ronnie]

This is almost exactly how I would make the map, though perhaps change Lake and Ottawa.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

BRTD, when are you gonna do VA?

[Bandit3 the Worker]

BRTD, when are you gonna do VA?

I can't wait to see Kentucky!

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

BRTD, when are you gonna do VA?

Very possibly tonight, I'd been putting it off for so long because of the annoying independent cities but there's little interesting left.

[Josh/Devilman88]

When are you going to do NC?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

When are you going to do NC?

Possibly tonight, if not likely tomorrow if I have the time (I'll probably be busy lit dropping.)

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Might as well get this boring one out of the way:

[© tweed]

somebody with the capacity to do it (for instance, bgwah) should make a compilation of all of these if they have the time on one of those nationwide county maps.