BRTD's county map predictions
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Author Topic: BRTD's county map predictions  (Read 28793 times)
mack
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« Reply #175 on: October 29, 2008, 06:17:26 PM »
Kickass thread.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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E: -6.50, S: -6.67

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« Reply #176 on: October 29, 2008, 11:06:25 PM »
Fairfax is rather polarized. Breaking 60% there is hard unless it's a just plain not competitive at all race (like Warner will.) But if that happens one will easily win Loudon, Webb did, Obama should easily.

More coming tonight.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
AHDuke99
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« Reply #177 on: October 30, 2008, 12:10:09 AM »
NORTH AND SOUTH CAROLINA
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #178 on: October 30, 2008, 12:32:06 AM »
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Ronnie
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« Reply #179 on: October 30, 2008, 12:33:03 AM »
Who wins in NC?  According to your map, it looks awfully close.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #180 on: October 30, 2008, 12:35:07 AM »
Quote from: Ronnie on October 30, 2008, 12:33:03 AM
Who wins in NC?  According to your map, it looks awfully close.

Consider it a tie. It won't look much different depending on whichever one pulls off a narrow win.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
AHDuke99
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« Reply #181 on: October 30, 2008, 12:45:51 AM »

I'd be surprised if Obama wins Forsyth county, but its possible.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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E: -6.50, S: -6.67

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« Reply #182 on: October 30, 2008, 12:55:11 AM »
Why does this state have so many counties anyway?
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Ronnie
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« Reply #183 on: October 30, 2008, 12:59:03 AM »
I think Lancaster county will be a squeaker for McCain -- about 2 points or so.  I do think that you should lower Saline into 40% territory, though.  It will be really damn close.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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E: -6.50, S: -6.67

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« Reply #184 on: October 30, 2008, 01:26:39 AM »
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

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« Reply #185 on: October 31, 2008, 01:23:01 AM »
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Lunar
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« Reply #186 on: October 31, 2008, 01:40:25 AM »
BRTD you should give a rough estimate of your predicted winner.  That way, if you are wrong, we can give you more of a leeway since you missed the whole stat by 3% or whatevsky.

You can put an astrix by it to signal that the actual state-wide topline result is not your prediction, but it'd help us to see what numbers you're working with!

Keep up the good work though!
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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Posts: 113,039
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Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

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« Reply #187 on: October 31, 2008, 01:41:20 AM »
That'll come election eve when I'll give the numbers for every state.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #188 on: October 31, 2008, 01:57:30 AM »
New York!
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
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Posts: 113,039
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

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« Reply #189 on: October 31, 2008, 01:58:45 AM »
Quote from: Set My Heart on Self-Destruct on October 23, 2008, 12:56:00 AM


And all the black haters on Staten Island look like jokes.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #190 on: October 31, 2008, 02:01:37 AM »

Damn, how'd I miss that...

Anyway, looks good. I'd love to see Obama pull an upset in Putnum but it probably won't happen.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
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Posts: 113,039
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

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« Reply #191 on: November 01, 2008, 12:44:54 AM »
Oh God yes. I just drank the perfect amount of alcohol. You know how you're tipsy but can still walk straight? Just more flexible? Buzzed but not anywhere near being sick? That's what I got. It's fucking perfect. I hate to go overboard now but I think I'll press my luck with one more shot.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #192 on: November 01, 2008, 12:48:20 AM »
Finally, some Kerry-McCain counties.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
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Posts: 113,039
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

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« Reply #193 on: November 01, 2008, 12:56:25 AM »
Quote from: Ronnie on November 01, 2008, 12:48:20 AM
Finally, some Kerry-McCain counties.

You weren't paying attention in the past.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #194 on: November 01, 2008, 12:59:03 AM »

Were there any other than TN and KY?  If so, I must have missed out on a few.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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E: -6.50, S: -6.67

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« Reply #195 on: November 01, 2008, 12:59:19 AM »
Virginia.
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Nhoj
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E: 2.52, S: -7.74

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« Reply #196 on: November 01, 2008, 01:02:35 AM »
when will Wisconsin be done? i dont think i saw it on here yet,
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Ronnie
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« Reply #197 on: November 01, 2008, 01:11:07 AM »

Oh yeah, I remember posting about Dickenson.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
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Posts: 113,039
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Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

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« Reply #198 on: November 01, 2008, 10:25:30 PM »
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Ronnie
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« Reply #199 on: November 01, 2008, 10:26:27 PM »
Is the margin in AL about the same as in '04?
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