BRTD's county map predictions
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Author Topic: BRTD's county map predictions  (Read 28772 times)
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #25 on: October 16, 2008, 12:29:22 AM »
« edited: October 16, 2008, 12:36:38 AM by Detroit Has a Skyline »
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Ronnie
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« Reply #26 on: October 16, 2008, 12:32:25 AM »
Why is Obama not hitting 60% in Blaine county, BRTD?
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #27 on: October 16, 2008, 12:35:25 AM »


Quote from: Ronnie on October 16, 2008, 12:32:25 AM
Why is Obama not hitting 60% in Blaine county, BRTD?

Because I didn't realize Kerry came that close and Obama will likely go over the top. Will be changed.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #28 on: October 16, 2008, 12:37:34 AM »
Shoshone is also debatable -- it hardly trended Democratic in '04, and Bush carried it by 11 points.

Oregon is looking very good, though.  Awesome job.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #29 on: October 16, 2008, 12:49:05 AM »
« Edited: October 16, 2008, 01:01:47 AM by Detroit Has a Skyline »


The filename on my hard drive for this is C:\Documents and Settings\Zachary\My Documents\My Pictures\horrendousblackturnoutistheonlythingkeepingmuchoftheeasternshorerepublican.bmp
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??????????
StatesRights
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« Reply #30 on: October 16, 2008, 12:51:00 AM »
Disagree on Baltimore County. But lets not hijack this beautiful thread.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #31 on: October 16, 2008, 12:53:14 AM »
Dorchester county?  What?
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Associate Justice PiT
PiT (The Physicist)
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« Reply #32 on: October 16, 2008, 12:54:49 AM »
     Interesting thread.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #33 on: October 16, 2008, 12:55:14 AM »

Meh, I looked more at the percentage black there than Bush's numbers, yeah that one should be changed.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #34 on: October 16, 2008, 12:56:26 AM »
Quote from: Detroit Has a Skyline on October 16, 2008, 12:55:14 AM

Meh, I looked more at the percentage black there than Bush's numbers, yeah that one should be changed.

Wicomico county should also be fixed.  Somerset county is a tossup.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #35 on: October 16, 2008, 01:00:35 AM »
Quote from: Ronnie on October 16, 2008, 12:56:26 AM
Quote from: Detroit Has a Skyline on October 16, 2008, 12:55:14 AM

Meh, I looked more at the percentage black there than Bush's numbers, yeah that one should be changed.

Wicomico county should also be fixed.  Somerset county is a tossup.

I must be seeing things, for some reason I thought Wiocomico was only about 51% Bush.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #36 on: October 16, 2008, 01:05:13 AM »
Quote from: Detroit Has a Skyline on October 16, 2008, 01:00:35 AM
Quote from: Ronnie on October 16, 2008, 12:56:26 AM
Quote from: Detroit Has a Skyline on October 16, 2008, 12:55:14 AM

Meh, I looked more at the percentage black there than Bush's numbers, yeah that one should be changed.

Wicomico county should also be fixed.  Somerset county is a tossup.

I must be seeing things, for some reason I thought Wiocomico was only about 51% Bush.

Also, is there any reason why Somerset is going Obama, and Anne Arundel isn't?  Somerset is trending harder to the GOP.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #37 on: October 16, 2008, 01:08:30 AM »
Quote from: Ronnie on October 16, 2008, 01:05:13 AM
Quote from: Detroit Has a Skyline on October 16, 2008, 01:00:35 AM
Quote from: Ronnie on October 16, 2008, 12:56:26 AM
Quote from: Detroit Has a Skyline on October 16, 2008, 12:55:14 AM

Meh, I looked more at the percentage black there than Bush's numbers, yeah that one should be changed.

Wicomico county should also be fixed.  Somerset county is a tossup.

I must be seeing things, for some reason I thought Wiocomico was only about 51% Bush.

Also, is there any reason why Somerset is going Obama, and Anne Arundel isn't?  Somerset is trending harder to the GOP.

-Gore won Somerset.
-It has far more blacks.
-It's far more rural (and thus less partisan.)
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #38 on: October 16, 2008, 01:09:18 AM »
Here's the first of the two "States that'll be a real bitch to do for reasons other than sheer number of counties" (WV is the other):
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Ronnie
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« Reply #39 on: October 16, 2008, 01:12:46 AM »
Quote from: Detroit Has a Skyline on October 16, 2008, 01:08:30 AM
Quote from: Ronnie on October 16, 2008, 01:05:13 AM
Quote from: Detroit Has a Skyline on October 16, 2008, 01:00:35 AM
Quote from: Ronnie on October 16, 2008, 12:56:26 AM
Quote from: Detroit Has a Skyline on October 16, 2008, 12:55:14 AM

Meh, I looked more at the percentage black there than Bush's numbers, yeah that one should be changed.

Wicomico county should also be fixed.  Somerset county is a tossup.

I must be seeing things, for some reason I thought Wiocomico was only about 51% Bush.

Also, is there any reason why Somerset is going Obama, and Anne Arundel isn't?  Somerset is trending harder to the GOP.

-Gore won Somerset.
-It has far more blacks.
-It's far more rural (and thus less partisan.)

Gotcha.

Anyway, NM is looking good.  Maybe if I was doing the map, I would flip Los Alamos, but I would have also done the same to Nassau county when it trended hard to Democrats.  Yeah, I should shut up.
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exopolitician
MATCHU[D]
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« Reply #40 on: October 17, 2008, 06:54:11 PM »
Why did this suddenly fail.

I demand it resume immediately!
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #41 on: October 17, 2008, 06:59:19 PM »
Quote from: H.A.A.R.P. on October 17, 2008, 06:54:11 PM
Why did this suddenly fail.

I demand it resume immediately!

     Seconded.
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Robespierre's Jaw
Senator Conor Flynn
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« Reply #42 on: October 17, 2008, 07:02:51 PM »
An interesting idea BRTD. I'm glad someone is at least trying to attempt such a concept. Keep up the excellent work Smiley
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #43 on: October 17, 2008, 07:19:22 PM »
I'm eagerly awaiting my southern states. BRTD is fixated on the West right now Sad
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #44 on: October 17, 2008, 07:22:04 PM »

Wonder whether Clackamas might be the sort of place to see quite a low swing.
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memphis
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« Reply #45 on: October 17, 2008, 07:23:30 PM »
Quote from: Governor Duke, Dirty South on October 17, 2008, 07:19:22 PM
I'm eagerly awaiting my southern states. BRTD is fixated on the West right now Sad

Western states are easier. He'll be forced to do tougher states soon.
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #46 on: October 17, 2008, 07:24:53 PM »
It looks good so far.
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #47 on: October 17, 2008, 07:28:28 PM »
     These are the states that he's done so far:
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Kaine for Senate '18
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« Reply #48 on: October 17, 2008, 09:44:43 PM »
I agree with Duke; can't wait for the South.
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Smash255
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« Reply #49 on: October 17, 2008, 09:46:08 PM »
Quote from: StatesRights on October 16, 2008, 12:51:00 AM
Disagree on Baltimore County. But lets not hijack this beautiful thread.

Kerry won it, and it was 7.1% more Dem than the national average in 04.  How exactly is it going to go to McCain, especially considering that Obama looks likely to win nationally (and likely by more than just a point or two).  A 10-12% or so Republican swing against the national average??  What??
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