PA-SurveyUSA: Obama remains 12 points ahead of McCain

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Forget this poll. The important thing is the two Democrats I talked to who said they're voting McCain. Anecdotal evidence trumps all!

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Forget this poll. The important thing is the two Democrats I talked to who said they're voting McCain. Anecdotal evidence trumps all!

LOL

And he keeps going with this. I've only spoken to two Dems for McCain? You are too clueless, pal.

It doesn't matter how many it is, it's anecdotal evidence, and anecdotal evidence is never ever valid.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Michigan is not close. And that's just the most glaring part of that prediction (which might've been semi-grounded in reality at the time but is not now.)

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

So yes, you still think Michigan is in play. Ha ha ha ha ha.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Earth to Phil.
Gore won Philadelphia with 80.04% of the vote.
Kerry won Philadelphia with 80.44% of the vote.

Gore winning 80% is not surprising, but KERRY winning 80% in 2004 is a surprise.  If Kerry can win 80%, then Obama should have no problem winning 80%.

Oh, man. I wish I could be as simplistic as you. "If Kerry and Gore can do it than Obama obviously has no problem!"

Considering that Obama is polling much better than Gore or Kerry...

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Still predicting McCain to win Colorado and ignoring everything in the past month is not principled, it is idiotic. Then again, consider the source...

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Still predicting McCain to win Colorado and ignoring everything in the past month is not principled, it is idiotic. Then again, consider the source...

BRTD, I don't change my predictions.  I regard it as cheating.  Anybody can look at at polls one week and change them later.  I don't ignore current treamds, but I'm not like Zogby, or apparently you, either.

How is it cheating? Obviously, the situation changes in the month before the election. Taking anything that happens then into account is perfectly logical. I don't see how changing one's prediction based on polls is anything like Zogby, who rather changes his POLLS based on what he thinks will happen, which is dishonest. But changing one's prediction based on what legitimate pollsters say is simply common sense.