PA-SurveyUSA: Obama remains 12 points ahead of McCain (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 30, 2024, 05:01:29 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2008 Elections
  2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  PA-SurveyUSA: Obama remains 12 points ahead of McCain (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: PA-SurveyUSA: Obama remains 12 points ahead of McCain  (Read 7267 times)
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,866
United States


« on: October 28, 2008, 01:58:18 AM »

Still predicting McCain to win Colorado and ignoring everything in the past month is not principled, it is idiotic. Then again, consider the source...

BRTD, I don't change my predictions.  I regard it as cheating.  Anybody can look at at polls one week and change them later.  I don't ignore current treamds, but I'm not like Zogby, or apparently you, either.

I don't understand why one prediction, made from looking at polls (in part, I assume) is superior just because it was made at an arbitrary time.

That just means it's more risky and subject to event changes (more fun!), and more likely to be wrong for self-limiting of data (more useless!)
Logged
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,866
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 28, 2008, 02:06:50 AM »

ahh.

So, sometimes, your predictions are different from what you currently believe will happen?

That's confusing, but also explains a lot.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.025 seconds with 15 queries.