Gallup's track record (user search)
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Author Topic: Gallup's track record  (Read 27902 times)
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,722
United Kingdom


« on: September 17, 2004, 12:39:29 PM »

Due to repeated cock-up's in General Elections over here, Gallup's name is mud in the U.K (and bearing in mind the sorry state of pollsters over here that's a pretty impressive achievment).

As Gallup is only polling for the final poll (so to speak) I think I'll ignore anything they publish until the final week.
Mind you, as a rule I ignore National Polls anyways so...
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,722
United Kingdom


« Reply #1 on: September 17, 2004, 01:02:26 PM »

If you combine both samples from Pew, and reweight to 39/35/26 it comes out at Bush +3, which I think is darn close to the truth.

Bush leading by roughly 3pts *seems* about right...
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