Israel 2009 (user search)
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Author Topic: Israel 2009  (Read 43587 times)
Cylon Candidate
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Posts: 56
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Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: -2.43
« on: December 12, 2008, 10:32:54 PM »
Haven't Israeli-polls been pretty bad lately? They overestimates Kadima by several seats, and Livni by thirty points, if I remember right. 
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Cylon Candidate
Rookie
**
Posts: 56
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: -2.43
« Reply #1 on: December 13, 2008, 07:41:21 PM »
Quote from: danny on December 13, 2008, 05:15:16 PM
Quote from: Sibboleth on December 13, 2008, 04:58:26 PM
Quote from: danny on December 13, 2008, 04:42:59 PM
Ah yes, of course, but you can't really compare a primary with a few thousand votes and and a countrywide one with millions.

Apart from the fact that it should be easier to poll a primary with a few thousand votes Grin

you'd think that, but historically the opposite has been true. Pollsters claim this is because primaries have a high percentage of people who lie to pollsters.

Great, now we'll be talking about the Livni Effect in all primaries with women...
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Cylon Candidate
Rookie
**
Posts: 56
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: -2.43
« Reply #2 on: December 26, 2008, 12:24:25 PM »
New Ma'ariv poll puts Kadima slightly ahead: Kadima 30 seats, Likud 29 seats, Yisrael Beiteinu 13 seats, Labor 11 seats. 

http://jta.org/news/article/2008/12/26/1001827/poll-kadima-takes-lead-over-likud
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