Quebec 2008: ADQ getting owned LIVE. LIBERALS LEAD DUPLESSIS!11!!!

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Dumont will win reelection. His party is a completely different matter. Of course, I have to root for Charest since Marois is almost as bad as Dumont.

Most recent poll, from CROP:

PLQ: 41 (+8 on 2007)
PQ: 32 (+4)
ADQ: 16 (-15)
Vert: 6 (+2)
QS: 4 (nc)

Looking like a re-run of 2003.

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Hurrah!

I support the PQ, of course.

Marois, who has made comments easily construed as racist...

Don't be fooled. If she weren't a hardcore separatist and Francophone nationalist, she'd belong in the ADQ.

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Poll!

PLQ: 41 (-1 on 27 October)
PQ: 35 (+1)
ADQ: 14 (nc)
PVQ: 4 (nc)
QS: 4 (nc)

http://www.legermarketing.com/documents/pol/081111ENG.pdf

Bye-bye, ADQ.

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Bye-bye, ADQ.

Hopefully. But, you know, this being an election in Quebec...

Meh. Since the 2007 election, enough evidence has emerged to suggest to me that the sole reason for the ADQ's surge in 2007 was homophobia. Not happening this time around, so things go back to normal, and the ADQ is marginal. Of course, it hasn't helped them that they've been totally incompetent as the OO.

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Meh. Since the 2007 election, enough evidence has emerged to suggest to me that the sole reason for the ADQ's surge in 2007 was homophobia.

And Dumont taking over the debate on immigration.

Personally, I think immigration was just an excuse for a lot of people.

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62-38% no?

Wow.

What is so surprising?

I knew the tide is anti-sovereigntist, but I didn't think it'd be like this.

62% don't want a referendum, not 62% against independence.

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62-38% no?

Wow.

What is so surprising?

I knew the tide is anti-sovereigntist, but I didn't think it'd be like this.

62% don't want a referendum, not 62% against independence.

No, that's completely wrong. 62% would vote no.

Sorry, I guessed that was the case based off of your post. 62% against is a bit surprising.

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LOL ADQ. 1% in Bonaventure, behind QS, and behind QS in Sherbrooke, too.

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Does not look like a surprising night. Basically 2003 over again. The Liberals win a solid majority, the PQ maybe increases its seat count slightly on last year, the ADQ pulls a disappearing act. The only point of interest is likely to be QS's ability to win Gouin or Mercier.

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QS leads in Charlesbourg

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Apparently May Chiu, who was the BQ candidate against Martin in 2006, is running for QS in Outremont. She's also ahead of the ADQ and only just barely behind the PQ (safe PLQ, o/c).

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No problem.

Turp back ahead in Mercier, barely.

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Will Lawrence Bergman hit the big nine-o? He's currently at a weaksauce 89.6!

It's that pesky PVQ. But the PVQ is doing disastrously province-wide, the only non-joke result so far is Notre-Dame-de-Grace.

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Why does Quebec hate the Green Party so much? Too many leftist parties?

I would assume it's because most of the sort of people who would support a Green Party elsewhere are separatists, young voters especially. Of course, the PVQ has always had something of a separatist tinge to it as well despite being officially neutral (and its former leader is a PQ candidate this time around, and IIRC likely to be elected). But they just don't have a proper niche.

Edit: Yes, McKay will likely be elected in L'Assomption.

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David is gaining ground in Gouin; if later results are favorable to her, QS could still win two seats. Although IIRC last time the last results were strong for the PQ in both Mercier and Gouin.

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Where is Gouin?

Montreal.

Specifically, northwest of Mercier. Mercier is the orange dot in Montreal where QS currently leads.

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ADQ behind the Greenies in Ile-de-la-Madelaine. 1.5%

I really don't understand why Îles-de-la-Madeleine is so resistant to the ADQ.

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David has lost.

Premature call, IMO. But likely.

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The PQ and ADQ both did a bit better than I expected. So did QS; I thought it was still unlikely that Khadir would be elected. It'll be interesting to see if QS can make a splash now that it has an MNA.

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Oh. The election's already been.

What happened? In a nutshell?
Can't read this thread, got to post about la Nouvelle Orléans.

The ADQ collapsed, but not as far as expected. The PQ and PLQ both made gains at the ADQ's expense, the PQ somewhat more than expected. The PLQ narrowly won a majority government. QS broke into Parliament by scalping Mercier from the PQ.

PLQ: 66 (+18) [center-right to center-left federalists]
PQ: 51 (+15) [sovereigntists ranging from right to left]
ADQ: 7 (-34) [right-wing, wishy-washy on independence]
QS: 1 (+1) [hard left sovereigntists]