Wake County, NC-PPP: Obama up 17

[Tender Branson]

Obama - 57 (Kerry - 49)
McCain - 40 (Bush - 51)
Barr - 1

Early Voters (35% of the sample):

Obama - 70
McCain - 29
Barr - 1

PPP surveyed 1441 likely voters from October 25th to 27th. The survey’s margin of error
is +/-2.6%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce
additional error that is more difficult to quantify.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WC_1029.pdf

[charltonNick]

if true this is amazingly good.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Not a huge surprise, but ultimately this is left leaning, as far most of PPP's polls. Obama will get 53-55% of the vote or so in Wake county.

[Smash255]

Not a huge surprise, but ultimately this is left leaning, as far most of PPP's polls. Obama will get 53-55% of the vote or so in Wake county.

He will do better than that, no question.  Considering the difference on the national level between 04 & 08, 53-55% for Obama in Wale would pretty much put Wake about as close to the national average as it was in 04.  Considering NC is trending more Democratic compared to the national average, and Wake is one of the heaviest Dem trending counties in NC, he will clearly outperform Kerry in Wake compared to the national average.

[Verily]

if true this is amazingly good.

Not really. Wake County is one of the areas of North Carolina most substantially trending towards the Democrats. Assuming Obama is about three points behind in NC (not unreasonable and maybe generous to McCain), that's around a nine-point swing statewide. But that swing would undoubtedly be concentrated in places like Wake County which have a lot of persuadables and much weaker in rural areas.