Rasmussen Pennsylvania: Closer and Closer

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

OK *closes eyes and claps* - It's November 4!!

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Dammit now I'm going to have to withstand a few more days of widespread gloom & doom among my liberal cohorts.

According to a friend with access to the internals Obama lost 10% among Democrats and gained 15% among Indies. Make of that as you will.

edit: i see in the public release that Obama went from 86% Democratic support to 75%. How did that happen

Ask yourself if that seems legit...

Now I'm reading that...

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Obama numbers in last three Rasmussen polls: 54, 53, 51
McCain numbers in last three Rasmussen polls: 41, 46, 47

The statistical margin of error is 5%.

Make of that whatever you feel like. But please try to be rational. Hah. No hope there I think...

I'm thinking about trying to ignore PA until election day, lol.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

LOL at all you Obama supporters saying PA was out of reach for MAC. SO Mason-Dixon and RAS say it's a 4 point race. We all know Obama underperformed by almost 3%  in the final RCP average in the primary. So right now on my map I'm shifting PA back to a pure tossup!

Can someone explain how in the hell can you have accurate polling on Halloween on  a Friday night. I'm discounting any bump for any candidate in the tracking polls today.

Golden Boy 1 meet Golden Boy 2....

I'm sending you a present!!!!

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Well, I guess this makes my Nov 4th decision a little easier... NOVA or Central PA....

Ok... no present but an A for effort

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Not that I think we'll lose Pennsylvania, but...

Obama victory

While McCain winning PA would worry me greatly - the one state like I said before, that worries me, is VA.

There has been virtually NO movement in the last fortnight, and if it's called early, and for McCain I have a feeling it'll be a LONG night, and spelling VERY bad news.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

PA is 1 point more GOP than the national average.  Now this is good news.

According to this one poll.

You people remember that this is just one poll... right? Just checking.

Mason Dixon shows the same result.  It's been erratic lately, but at least Rasmussen backs him up.

If PA is this close, I think McCain may be carrying Ohio now.  He's been putting a lot of efforts into that state lately.

I've never had OH for Obama, I just don't feel it.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

New Hampshire? Granted, I don't believe the uni poll that had Obama up by 25, but even Zogby interactive couldn't be off by as much as that.

Would you care to tell me how well the polls were in NH in the primary?

It is an almost impossible place to poll.

Just announced, Obama is sending out urgent requests for volunteers in PA.

I don't think anyone here is doubting PA is going to be closer than anticipated a week ago.

It's possible the organisation got a bit sloppy... he needs to make sure that the ground game knows they have to FIGHT for every single vote.