FL: Mason Dixon: Obama up by 2

[ChrisFromNJ]

http://www.pnj.com/article/20081101/NEWS02/81101015

Obama: 49 (+5)
McCain: 47 (+1)

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Mason-Dixon's final Florida poll?

[Sarnstrom]

Florida's gonna be a close one.

[Speed of Sound]

A little shine to help me loosen my collar a little bit...

[LanceMcSteel]

Obama is SURGING into the lead.

[J. J.]

I worry about surges, with not no real cause.

[Rococo4]

not what I wanted to see.  Close race there. 

[Alcon]

I worry about surges, with not no real cause.

After just being subjected to the SAT for six hours, I can't endorse that sentence, but I can endorse what I think it's supposed to mean.

[pepper11]

From Politico. DOn't know if that is the FL poll or not.


A tease for all your poll junkies: Mason-Dixon will release their last batch of polling on Sunday.

Look for surveys in: Virginia, Florida, Colorado, Nevada, Ohio, Missouri and North Carolina.

Hope you guys can wait.

[Wall St. Wiz]

More dissapointing news.  McCain is really falling apart these last few days.  Could the informercial have this much of an impact? 

[Moooooo]

Anyone know how early voting has been in FL?

[TheGlobalizer]

From Politico. DOn't know if that is the FL poll or not.


A tease for all your poll junkies: Mason-Dixon will release their last batch of polling on Sunday.

Look for surveys in: Virginia, Florida, Colorado, Nevada, Ohio, Missouri and North Carolina.

Hope you guys can wait.

Sweet.

[Lief 🗽]

M-D is supposedly God in Florida. Obama will win it.

[J. J.]

Anyone know how early voting has been in FL?

FL:

2008     2004
Party
      
Dem
   45.6%    40.7%
Rep
   37.8%    43.5%
No/Oth
   16.6%    15.8%
Ballot
      
Absentee
   39.4%    
In-person
   60.6%    

The numbers were higher for the Democrats earlier in the week.

[ChrisFromNJ]

Anyone know how early voting has been in FL?

FL:

2008     2004
Party
      
Dem
   45.6%    40.7%
Rep
   37.8%    43.5%
No/Oth
   16.6%    15.8%
Ballot
      
Absentee
   39.4%    
In-person
   60.6%    

The numbers were higher for the Democrats earlier in the week.

Where did you get those 2004 early voting numbers? I've been looking for those for a while.

[Person Man]

Anyone know how early voting has been in FL?

FL:

2008     2004
Party
      
Dem
   45.6%    40.7%
Rep
   37.8%    43.5%
No/Oth
   16.6%    15.8%
Ballot
      
Absentee
   39.4%    
In-person
   60.6%    

The numbers were higher for the Democrats earlier in the week.

and with one more business day to vote early? MMMM hhhmmmm... I think those numbers speak for themselves. I think we will be fine in Florida. This "Voter Surge" in Florida has more reason for it than the "McSurge" in Pennsylvania. How many more polls will come out on the last day of state polling? Last election, there were only two firms that released state polls on Election Eve. PPP, as much as you think they are lying or fudging the numbers, could be the last talk.

[J. J.]

Anyone know how early voting has been in FL?

FL:

2008     2004
Party
      
Dem
   45.6%    40.7%
Rep
   37.8%    43.5%
No/Oth
   16.6%    15.8%
Ballot
      
Absentee
   39.4%    
In-person
   60.6%    

The numbers were higher for the Democrats earlier in the week.

Where did you get those 2004 early voting numbers? I've been looking for those for a while.

For FL, the are the site I've linked to on Alcon's thread.  He's is the link:

http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2008.html

[J. J.]

and with one more business day to vote early? MMMM hhhmmmm... I think those numbers speak for themselves. I think we will be fine in Florida. This "Voter Surge" in Florida has more reason for it than the "McSurge" in Pennsylvania. How many more polls will come out on the last day of state polling? Last election, there were only two firms that released state polls on Election Eve. PPP, as much as you think they are lying or fudging the numbers, could be the last talk.

Actually the numbers have dropped back a bit, I think.  Some of this might be a change in voting patterns.  Black voters might be voting early.

PA isn't a "surge," but a 7-10 day tightening of the polls.

[Sam Spade]

49-47 with 7% undecided?  That's 103%.

This number is wrong.  Maybe 47-45?

I've seen this movie before.

[they don't love you like i love you]

49-47 with 7% undecided?  That's 103%.

This number is wrong.  Maybe 47-45?

I've seen this movie before.

Or maybe the undecided is what's wrong.

[Sam Spade]

49-47 with 7% undecided?  That's 103%.

This number is wrong.  Maybe 47-45?

I've seen this movie before.

Or maybe the undecided is what's wrong.

Not with 61-30 Obama in South Florida, 53-38 McCain in Northwest Florida, 46-46 in Tampa Bay, etc., etc.

[cinyc]

49-47 with 7% undecided?  That's 103%.

This number is wrong.  Maybe 47-45?

I've seen this movie before.

What movie was it?

We're also expecting to see Mason-Dixon polls in Colorado, Nevada, Ohio, Missouri and North Carolina today.

Edit:  You are correct.  The Orlando Sentinel reports the results as 47-45 Obama with 7% undecided.  Of the undecideds, 84 percent are white - which Brad Coker from M-D says "holds in seven other battleground states his firm has polled this year."

[The Duke]

Guys, this poll just about does it for me.  Obama is the 44th President.

[MR maverick]

Guys, this poll just about does it for me.  Obama is the 44th President.

Hold your horses McCain can still win this thing.

Maybe the undecideds will all break for him ..via the Bradley effect?

[Franzl]

Guys, this poll just about does it for me.  Obama is the 44th President.

Hold your horses McCain can still win this thing.

Maybe the undecideds will all break for him ..via the Bradley effect?

Well my friend, that wouldn't be the Bradley effect then.

[Sam Spade]

Topline number should be 47-45.

http://www.orlandosentinel.com/news/politics/orl-mason-dixon-poll-110108,0,687760.story