FL: Mason Dixon: Obama up by 2

[J. J.]

I worry about surges, with not no real cause.

[J. J.]

Anyone know how early voting has been in FL?

FL:

2008     2004
Party
      
Dem
   45.6%    40.7%
Rep
   37.8%    43.5%
No/Oth
   16.6%    15.8%
Ballot
      
Absentee
   39.4%    
In-person
   60.6%    

The numbers were higher for the Democrats earlier in the week.

[J. J.]

Anyone know how early voting has been in FL?

FL:

2008     2004
Party
      
Dem
   45.6%    40.7%
Rep
   37.8%    43.5%
No/Oth
   16.6%    15.8%
Ballot
      
Absentee
   39.4%    
In-person
   60.6%    

The numbers were higher for the Democrats earlier in the week.

Where did you get those 2004 early voting numbers? I've been looking for those for a while.

For FL, the are the site I've linked to on Alcon's thread.  He's is the link:

http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2008.html

[J. J.]

and with one more business day to vote early? MMMM hhhmmmm... I think those numbers speak for themselves. I think we will be fine in Florida. This "Voter Surge" in Florida has more reason for it than the "McSurge" in Pennsylvania. How many more polls will come out on the last day of state polling? Last election, there were only two firms that released state polls on Election Eve. PPP, as much as you think they are lying or fudging the numbers, could be the last talk.

Actually the numbers have dropped back a bit, I think.  Some of this might be a change in voting patterns.  Black voters might be voting early.

PA isn't a "surge," but a 7-10 day tightening of the polls.