Rasmussen State Polls 11/3
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 08:00:43 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2008 Elections
  2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Rasmussen State Polls 11/3
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2]
Author Topic: Rasmussen State Polls 11/3  (Read 10110 times)
Fmr. Pres. Duke
AHDuke99
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,019


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -3.13

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: November 03, 2008, 02:52:08 PM »





Obama 291-247

I doubt Obama wins by 11 nationwide like Gallup says.

Switch NV and NC and I agree with you.

North Carolina won't flip before Nevada. NC is the only state I am unsure about, because I know black and young people are turning out heavily early. It could flip, but polling is showing a trend back to McCain. It could be 50/50 on both the President and Governor's races, but I am almost certain Hagan wins by 4-5.

I agree President/Governor's races are 50/50, but Hagan wins by 5%

The last Rasmussen poll out of NC had McCrory up 4, and the last PPP had Perdue up 1. If you factor in the house effect of PPP's Dem lean, then I would say McCrory is up by 1-2 points. But that race could go either way.
Logged
pepper11
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 767
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: November 03, 2008, 03:34:08 PM »

It is actually

MO
Obama 49%(+1)
McCain 49%(+2)
Logged
Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
HockeyDude
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,376
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #27 on: November 03, 2008, 04:11:27 PM »

It's sad that Democrat hacks run unfettered throughout this forum. Rasmussen is one of the most accurate pollsters we have. Yet, you all will argue that PPP is more accurate than Rasmussen. These polls are not awful for McCain. However, Virginia is still over 50% for Obama, as well as Colorado. North Carolina will come home to McCain, and I bet he wins Ohio and Florida too. I could be wrong, but both states are trending toward McCain in the final days. Still, this is the map we'll probably see:



Obama 291-247

I doubt Obama wins by 11 nationwide like Gallup says.

Not 11, but Obama is going to be running up the PV in NY, CA, IL, and the Northeast. 
Logged
Fmr. Pres. Duke
AHDuke99
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,019


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -3.13

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #28 on: November 03, 2008, 04:13:36 PM »

It's sad that Democrat hacks run unfettered throughout this forum. Rasmussen is one of the most accurate pollsters we have. Yet, you all will argue that PPP is more accurate than Rasmussen. These polls are not awful for McCain. However, Virginia is still over 50% for Obama, as well as Colorado. North Carolina will come home to McCain, and I bet he wins Ohio and Florida too. I could be wrong, but both states are trending toward McCain in the final days. Still, this is the map we'll probably see:



Obama 291-247

I doubt Obama wins by 11 nationwide like Gallup says.

Not 11, but Obama is going to be running up the PV in NY, CA, IL, and the Northeast. 

Yes. I still don't think he breaks 60% in California. The GOP has a floor there.
Logged
Boris
boris78
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,098
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -1.55, S: -4.52

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #29 on: November 03, 2008, 04:23:18 PM »

gay results. Now it's virtually impossible to predict all the states correctly using objective methods. You basically have to guess who has the better organization/how undecideds will break.
Logged
TheGlobalizer
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,286
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.84, S: -7.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #30 on: November 03, 2008, 04:29:14 PM »

Finally, OH and FL look like expected reality.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,405
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #31 on: November 03, 2008, 05:04:01 PM »

Are these polls tight enough or what? lol
Logged
Rococo4
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,491


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #32 on: November 03, 2008, 05:05:20 PM »

hope.
Logged
Hash
Hashemite
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,401
Colombia


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #33 on: November 03, 2008, 05:09:24 PM »

It's sad that Democrat hacks run unfettered throughout this forum. Rasmussen is one of the most accurate pollsters we have. Yet, you all will argue that PPP is more accurate than Rasmussen. These polls are not awful for McCain. However, Virginia is still over 50% for Obama, as well as Colorado. North Carolina will come home to McCain, and I bet he wins Ohio and Florida too. I could be wrong, but both states are trending toward McCain in the final days. Still, this is the map we'll probably see:



Obama 291-247

I doubt Obama wins by 11 nationwide like Gallup says.

McCain breaks 60% in ND? LOL.
Logged
big bad fab
filliatre
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,344
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #34 on: November 03, 2008, 05:45:31 PM »

It's sad that Democrat hacks run unfettered throughout this forum. Rasmussen is one of the most accurate pollsters we have. Yet, you all will argue that PPP is more accurate than Rasmussen. These polls are not awful for McCain. However, Virginia is still over 50% for Obama, as well as Colorado. North Carolina will come home to McCain, and I bet he wins Ohio and Florida too. I could be wrong, but both states are trending toward McCain in the final days. Still, this is the map we'll probably see:



Obama 291-247

I doubt Obama wins by 11 nationwide like Gallup says.

^^^^^^^^^

And FL is leaning Obama. OH also, but just a bit.

After a small bounce for McCain since Wednesday, Obama has his "week-end" bounce. So OH and FL could swing. But McCain will be able to keep NC with a razor-thin margin.

McCain breaks 60% in ND? LOL.
Logged
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #35 on: November 03, 2008, 06:40:07 PM »

I'm content with these results.  I still think we are going to lose (handily), but if it's going to be tight, I'm all for it.
Logged
DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,548
Italy


Political Matrix
E: 9.16, S: -3.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #36 on: November 03, 2008, 07:04:29 PM »

I think the outcome is still up in the air in at least 10 states, ridiculous
Logged
Pages: 1 [2]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.045 seconds with 14 queries.