Official Election Night 2008 Results Analysis and Discussion Thread...

[War on Want]

Virginia exit poll is Obama +9.2.

Indiana is Obama +5.8

Holy sh!t, these are much better than I expected.

[Alcon]

South Carolina: McCain +5.8

Georgia: McCain +1.5

Vermont: Obama +32.0

Kentucky: McCain +14.2

[Likely Voter]

here is 2004 for context

http://www.uselectionatlas.org/INFORMATION/ARTICLES/ElectionNight2004/pe2004elecnighttime.php

at this time they had called VT (Kerry) and KY, GA and IN for Bush

[Torie]

5% swing to Obama in Jefferson County, KY. He's leading by 7%, and Kerry led by 2%.

[War on Want]

Wow Pike County at a 10 point margin is voting for McCain.

[Erc]

Exit Polls (approximately, from the male-female background):

Georgia:
McCain 49.5
Obama 48.0

Virginia:
Obama 54.2
McCain 44.9

Indiana:
Obama 52.2
McCain 46.4

South Carolina:
McCain 52.2
Obama 46.4

[Alcon beat me to it here...]

[Mr.Jones]

McCain takes Kentucky

McCain - 98,151 - 52%
Obama   - 88,172 - 47%

Obama takes Vermont

No numbers as of out yet

[TheresNoMoney]

Kos says Obama and Warner win Virginia comfortably:

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/11/4/19319/9250/900/653033

This guy has inside info from the most prominent Dems in the country, and he doesn't post bullsh**t.

[Moooooo]

It looks like Obama will win Indiana by a good margin.

3% reporting...  97 to go

Yes but McCain should have a fairly large margin at this point in order him to win Indiana.

Do we even know what counties/cities have reported?

[Person Man]

PREPARE TO PISS YOUR PANTS- VIRGINIA IS O+10....I know that exit polls aren't that good, but can McCain steal Virginia when it is this far out of reach?

[Likely Voter]

South Carolina: McCain +5.8

Georgia: McCain +1.5

Vermont: Obama +32.0

Kentucky: McCain +14.2

what are these numbers? guesses, results, polls?

can I suggest that people post sources and label (exit, results, percent reporting, etc)

[Torie]

30% swing to Obama in Clinton County, Indiana, which has a fair number of votes in. 32% swing in Shelby County, Indiana, both deep red counties. McCain might be in trouble in Indiana unless he can hold the erosion down in the Indianapolis metro area.

McCain has lost this election.

[War on Want]

First results from Obama-land(St. Joseph County) in Indiana are in.

[Alcon]

South Carolina: McCain +5.8

Georgia: McCain +1.5

Vermont: Obama +32.0

Kentucky: McCain +14.2

what are these numbers? guesses, results, polls?

can I suggest that people post sources and label (exit, results, percent reporting, etc)

Everything I post in this thread will be exit poll results.

[Torie]

First results from Obama-land(St. Joseph County) in Indiana are in.

31% swing in St Joseph. Of course, that has the Catholic kids at Notre Dame. I guess they didn't get the message the Obama is a late term abortionist.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Turnout in Eastern Kentucky seems to have been fucking awful. For what that's worth and for what can be worked out so far.

30% swing to Obama in Clinton County, Indiana, which has a fair number of votes in. 32% swing in Shelby County, Indiana, both deep red counties. McCain might be in trouble in Indiana unless he can hold the erosion down in the Indianapolis metro area.

McCain has lost this election.

Check out Steuben county (something like 90% in now).

[Verily]

It looks like Obama will win Indiana by a good margin.

3% reporting...  97 to go

Yes but McCain should have a fairly large margin at this point in order him to win Indiana.

Do we even know what counties/cities have reported?

CNN has the breakdown by counties here: http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/individual/#mapPIN

[War on Want]

First results from Obama-land(St. Joseph County) in Indiana are in.

31% swing in St Joseph. Of course, that has the Catholic kids at Notre Dame. I guess they didn't get the message the Obama is a late term abortionist.

haha nope, it is an Obamaslide there.

[Sam Spade]

30% swing to Obama in Clinton County, Indiana, which has a fair number of votes in. 32% swing in Shelby County, Indiana, both deep red counties. McCain might be in trouble in Indiana unless he can hold the erosion down in the Indianapolis metro area.

McCain has lost this election.

I tend to agree.  The erosion is too much.

[The Man From G.O.P.]

Florida dribbling in.

[War on Want]

Turnout in Eastern Kentucky seems to have been fucking awful. For what that's worth and for what can be worked out so far.

It is fucking awful and I am depressed by it. I wonder what happened to the machine counties there...

[Tender Branson]

Ohio Exit Poll:

Obama - 53
McCain - 45

[Erc]

Exit Polls:

Ohio:
Obama: 53.0%
McCain: 45.0%

North Carolina:
Obama: 51.4%
McCain: 47.6%

West Virginia:
McCain: 53.9%
Obama: 44.1%

[Јas]

CBS seem to be calling West Virginia for McCain.

[J. J.]

CBS seem to be calling West Virginia for McCain.

No surprise there.