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| | | | | |-+  "Show Me Missouri" finally gets it wrong (search mode)
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Author Topic: "Show Me Missouri" finally gets it wrong  (Read 9462 times)
J. J.
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« on: November 07, 2008, 10:15:02 am »

Anybody remember the 100,000 crowd in St. Louis?
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
J. J.
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« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2008, 12:03:55 pm »

Anybody remember the 100,000 crowd in St. Louis?
they voted, but they couldn't overcome the areas of MO that are more like Arkansas.

didn't palin draw some large enthusiastic crowds in VA, NC, IN, PA, OH, FL?  where are they?

your rules are really dumb J.J.  they remind me of "magic" performed by Kreskin.  You can massage any result to justify the rules accuracy.

No, just a good example of why we shouldn't look a measures like crowd size (I said the same thing about Palin's crowds).  I'm not a fan of the anecdotal evidence, and even though I was hearing the same things Keystone Phil has, I still said PA was going Obama.

I would have loved for the rule to have been wrong, but the rule worked.

As a refresher:

J. J.'s Third Rule of Elections: Supposed indicators, crowd size, signs and bumper stickers, letters to the editor, are meaningless in terms of actual voter support, though might be an indicator of campaign organization.

It cuts across party lines. 
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
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