"Show Me Missouri" finally gets it wrong (user search)
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  "Show Me Missouri" finally gets it wrong (search mode)
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Author Topic: "Show Me Missouri" finally gets it wrong  (Read 10437 times)
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


« on: November 07, 2008, 10:15:02 AM »

Anybody remember the 100,000 crowd in St. Louis?
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J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2008, 12:03:55 PM »

Anybody remember the 100,000 crowd in St. Louis?
they voted, but they couldn't overcome the areas of MO that are more like Arkansas.

didn't palin draw some large enthusiastic crowds in VA, NC, IN, PA, OH, FL?  where are they?

your rules are really dumb J.J.  they remind me of "magic" performed by Kreskin.  You can massage any result to justify the rules accuracy.

No, just a good example of why we shouldn't look a measures like crowd size (I said the same thing about Palin's crowds).  I'm not a fan of the anecdotal evidence, and even though I was hearing the same things Keystone Phil has, I still said PA was going Obama.

I would have loved for the rule to have been wrong, but the rule worked.

As a refresher:

J. J.'s Third Rule of Elections: Supposed indicators, crowd size, signs and bumper stickers, letters to the editor, are meaningless in terms of actual voter support, though might be an indicator of campaign organization.

It cuts across party lines. 
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