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Author Topic: Looking at the percentages, Obama could win a landslide in 2012  (Read 10790 times)
Lief 🐋
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Dominica


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« on: November 06, 2008, 05:53:36 pm »

I think a Reagan/LBJ/Nixon-esque landslide would look like this for Obama:



KY and TN could possibly flip. He did at least break 40% in both of these states.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2008, 08:56:29 pm »

I think a Reagan/LBJ/Nixon-esque landslide would look like this for Obama:



KY and TN could possibly flip. He did at least break 40% in both of these states.

Agree with MOST of the map.
Don't agree with Nebraska (outside of CD2) and Kansas.  They were both McCain+16.

TX, WV, MS were McCain+12, +13 and +13 respectively.  Might be a bit difficult...
It depends if his landslide popular vote is closer to Reagan's 58% (a +12 swing from 2008) or LBJ's 61% (a +16 swing from 2008).
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #2 on: November 10, 2008, 12:40:42 am »

The guy hasn't been in office for a day yet, and we're already talking about him winning by a Reaganesque margin.

What if he doesn't have a first term that solves the world's problems like he's promised?
Then he won't do that well, obviously. But historically, presidents win pretty solid re-election victories, unless they're unpopular.
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« Reply #3 on: November 10, 2008, 01:02:28 pm »

Reagan also took office with some pretty bad things going on both domestically and internationally. His re-election seemed to work out pretty well.
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