muon2
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« on: September 08, 2009, 05:07:27 PM » |
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On a related note, it seems that the scoring for the predictions could be improved in one way. The current scoring awards a point for the correct state and then another point for a correct percentage if the state is correct. When there are states that have under 50% for the winner, a wrong prediction but with the right percentage could be worth 1 out of 2 points instead of 0.
For example in 2008 a pick of MO for Obama with 40% or more was worth 0 points since the state was wrong. But the prediction of Obama winning with 40% to 50% implies that McCain also would not exceed 50%. That is what happened, so why not give a point for the correct percentage.
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