Bellwether counties for each state

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

We had a full list of this, anyone got it? Needs to be updated.

I thought Indiana and North Carolina would be interesting now, so I checked it out, and Indiana's is Tippencanoe now with the longest streak, voting with the state since 1940. North Carolina's is Forsyth since 1964.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I thought we were defining bellweather counties by how the state goes.

The lists I had saved were based on the national vote.  Based on the state vote, there are counties that have been bellwether's since the 19th century.

BTW, a wether is a castrated sheep that has a bell around its neck that the flock follows.

Yeah, I'm referring to ones that carry the state.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

For Virginia now: Loudon. Since at least 1932.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Ah found it: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=13414.0

Cass no longer applies for ND, and Brookings no longer for SD.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

In Nevada, it's now Washoe and Carson City, and both only since 2000. However Obama came very close in Mineral. If he had took it it would've worked since 1980.

Arizona is kind of odd, the past three elections have had identical maps in who won. And Clinton did not pick up any counties and actually lost one from 1992-1996 when he flipped the state, so those three work only since 1996 (Navajo, Pinal and La Paz.)

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

My county had been a bellwether for Minnesota probably since it was established, except for 2000.  In 2000, the county went for Bush.  Much of that was due to the fact that Winona LaDuke was on the Green ticket, so they got 7% of the vote.

Otherwise, we've been with the state every other election as far back as I can think... and that wasn't any different this year.  Barack Obama beat John McCain in Beltrami County by 54.04 to 43.91 compared to 54.06 to 43.83 for the state.

Where we were more liberal than the state was on the senate race.  We broke for Franken 45.59 to 42.97.

This is because there are significantly fewer ticket splitters here than elsewhere in the state.  That is thanks in large part to the Native Americans who vote reliably DFL by a 95 to 5 margin.

Pine is the best bellwether for Minnesota, it's gone with the winner every election since 1960.