Would these Republican candidates won or done better in their respective races
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  Would these Republican candidates won or done better in their respective races
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Author Topic: Would these Republican candidates won or done better in their respective races  (Read 1119 times)
redcommander
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« on: January 15, 2011, 05:29:07 PM »

Than the actual nominees in 2010?

California Tom Campbell
Colorado Josh Penry
Florida Bill McCollum
Georgia Karen Handel
Illinois Kirk Dillard
New York Rick Lazio
Oregon Greg Walden
Texas Kay Bailey Hutchison
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SvenssonRS
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« Reply #1 on: January 15, 2011, 05:33:49 PM »
« Edited: January 15, 2011, 05:36:14 PM by SvenssonRS »

Tom Campbell
Yes. MUCH better.

Josh Penry
Would have won, so I believe that classifies as "better."

Bill McCollum
Probably done better.

Karen Handel
Probably about the same.

Kirk Dillard
Again, I suspect he would have won. So, yeah.

Rick Lazio
For all the nothing it's worth, sure, I guess he would have done better. Even though he still would have been utterly obliterated.

Oregon Greg Walden
Much, much better. I mean, if Dudley could make it that close...

Kay Bailey Hutchison
Probably worse, given how awful she was at campaigning for the primary.
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #2 on: January 15, 2011, 06:27:28 PM »

Than the actual nominees in 2010?

California Tom Campbell YES
Colorado Josh Penry YES
Florida Bill McCollum NO
Georgia Karen Handel NO
Illinois Kirk Dillard SAME
New York Rick Lazio YES (not too much)
Oregon Greg Walden SAME
Texas Kay Bailey Hutchison YES
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #3 on: January 15, 2011, 07:53:35 PM »

NO California Tom Campbell
YES Colorado Josh Penry
YES Florida Bill McCollum
NO Georgia Karen Handel
NO Illinois Kirk Dillard
YES New York Rick Lazio
YES Oregon Greg Walden
YES Texas Kay Bailey Hutchison
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Franzl
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« Reply #4 on: January 15, 2011, 07:58:23 PM »


I tend to disagree. The Republican wave was strong enough that it wasn't necessary to have an extreme conservative to get people to the polls.

And Brady lost because a small percentage of people (such as me) voted for Kirk but couldn't vote against Quinn. Quinn's percentage wasn't really any more or less than Giannoulias got.....Republican votes in the Chicago suburbs, though, went to third parties in the gubernatorial race. I think almost any "normal" Republican candidate could have kept that from happening.

We're not talking about more than 1-2% or so....but considering Quinn's actual margin of victory, I think Quinn would have lost to almost any other Republican.
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rbt48
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« Reply #5 on: January 15, 2011, 08:03:22 PM »

I agree about Quinn losing to Dillard.  Though, if Dillard's margin had been very close (<1,000), we might still not know the winner, due to Cook County shenanigans.
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albaleman
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« Reply #6 on: January 15, 2011, 08:05:07 PM »

California Tom Campbell - Yes
Colorado Josh Penry - Yes
Florida Bill McCollum - Yes
Georgia Karen Handel - No
Illinois Kirk Dillard - Yes
New York Rick Lazio  - Yes
Oregon Greg Walden - No
Texas Kay Bailey Hutchison - No
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #7 on: January 16, 2011, 02:34:43 PM »

Campbell - yes, 40% chance of winning CA-Sen, 50% CA-Gov
Penry - Would have done the same or worse for CO-Sen (30%) much better for CO-Gov (50%)
McCollum - Would have done about the same or very slightly better (60%)
Handel - the same or slightly better (60%)
Dillard - about the same or slightly worse (40%)
Lazio - who cares? (5%)
Walden - probably better (55%)
Hutchison - may well have lost (45%)
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