County flips by last time they voted for current winner

[minionofmidas]

Atlas data even where they're blatantly wrong (Hancock IN). Excludes counties still shown as blank in Indiana and Arkansas (not Dave's fault - the state sites show the same thing. Due to how elections are reported in these states apparently.)

Shorter list first - counties that voted for Kerry McCain:

2000: Carter, Bath, Magoffin KY
1988: Clay, Lauderdale TN, Lawrence, Mississippi, Hempstead AR
1984: Benton MS, Clay, Randolph, Poinsett, Monroe, Bradley, Little River AR, Assumption LA
1972: Fayette, Washington, Beaver PA, Buchanan, Dickenson VA, Brooke, Fayette, Mingo WV, Webster GA, Pike KY, Van Buren, Grundy, Overton, Smith, Trousdale, Humphreys, Benton, Lake TN, Jackson, Lincoln, Clark AR, Pointe Coupee LA
pre 1960: Logan WV, Breathitt, Knott, Floyd KY, Stewart*, Perry* TN

* voted for George Wallace in 1968.

[minionofmidas]

And counties that voted for Bush Obama...

2000: Lichfield CT, Rockland, Sullivan, Dutchess, Cayuga, Seneca NY, Salem NJ, Carbon, Cambria PA, Saint Joseph, Vermilion, Perry IN, LaSalle, Henry, Macon, Montgomery, Macoupin, Gallatin, Pulaski IL, Iron, Alpena, Manistee, Iosco, Ogemaw, Roscommon, Clare, Macomb, Monroe, Calhoun MI, Columbia WI, Aitkin, Lincoln MN, Cedar, Louisa, Winnebago, Greene IA, Buchanan, Boone, Jefferson, Washington MO, Caroline county, Suffolk city VA, Martin, Cumberland, Bladen NC, Chester SC, Burke, Washington, Peach, Chattahoochee GA, Flagler, Osceola, Pinellas FL, Henderson KY, Marengo AL, Panola MS, Caddo LA, Cameron, Frio, Reeves, Culberson TX, Huerfano CO, Colfax NM
1996: Washington ME, Hillsborough, Rockingham NH, Essex VT, Orange, Saratoga, Washington, Warren, Essex, Otsego, Madison, Oswego, Cortland, Chautauqua NY, Centre, Elk PA, Wood, Ottawa, Sandusky, Lake, Tuscarawas OH, Porter, Starke, Vigo, Delaware, Madison, Spencer, Vanderburgh IN, Kankakee, Will, Grundy, DeKalb, Lake, Winnebago, Jo Daviess, Bureau, Warren, McDonough, Schuyler, Mason, Cass, Vermilion, Coles IL, Ontonagon, Menominee, Delta, Schoolcraft, Presque Isle, Benzie, Mason, Oceana, Gladwin, Gratiot, Shiawassee, Saint Clair, Lenawee, Van Buren, Cass MI, Racine, Jefferson, Richland, Monroe, Juneau, Marquette, Waushara, Winnebago, Manitowoc, Kewaunee, Door, Brown, Outagamie, Shawano, Oconto, Marinette, Forest, Langlade, Oneida, Lincoln, Marathon, Wood, Clark, Chippewa, Rusk, Sawyer, Barron, Washburn, Burnett WI, Marshall, Pennington, Red Lake, Polk, Clay, Traverse, Grant, Stevens, Pope, Yellow Medicine, Murray, Watonwan, Washington, Dakota, Houston MN, Allamakee, Delaware, Iowa, Bremer, Kossuth, Emmet, Palo Alto, Franklin, Hardin, Hamilton, Carroll, Crawford, Audubon, Warren, Union, Adams IA, Iron MO, Sargent, Ransom, Traill, Nelson, Eddy, Towner, Mountrail ND, Marshall, Brown, Moody, Lake, Miner, Minnehaha SD, Saline NE, Crawford KS, Kent DE, Kent MD, Westmoreland, Essex, King and Queen, Buckingham, Montgomery counties, Radford city VA, Jefferson, Monongalia WV, Hyde, Franklin, Caswell, Buncombe, Jackson NC, Calhoun, Colleton SC, Baldwin, Sumter GA, Hillsborough FL, Fayette, Hancock KY, Yazoo, Copiah, Pike, Chickasaw MS, East Baton Rouge LA, Bexar, Kleberg, Val Verde, Brewster TX, Rosebud, Blaine, Hill, Cascade MT, Latah ID, Albany WY, Alamosa CO, Sandoval, Valencia, Luna, Hidalgo NM, Summit UT, Skagit, Clallam, Wahkiakum, Clark, Skamania, Klickitat, Whitman WA, Wasco, Clackamas, Marion, Tillamook OR, San Joaquin, Stanislaus, Merced, Ventura, San Bernardino CA
1992: Sangamon IL, Staunton city VA, Pitt, Wake, Watauga NC, Newton GA, Lewis and Clark, Lake MT, Larimer CO, Grand UT, Island WA, Jackson OR, Butte, Fresno, San Luis Obispo, Riverside, San Diego CA
1980: Barnwell SC
1976: Manassas Park, Chesapeake cities, VA, Wilson, Forsyth NC, Charleston SC, Douglas, Rockdale GA, Trinity  *CA
1964: Belknap NH, Somerset NJ, Chester, Berks, Monroe, Dauphin PA, Hamilton OH, Tippecanoe IN, Stephenson, McLean IL, Leelanau, Kent, Clinton, Jackson, Eaton, Berrien MI, Calumet WI, Olmsted MN, Cass, Grand Forks ND, Brookings SD, Douglas, Lancaster NE, Loudoun, Prince William counties, Winchester city VA, Dallas, Harris TX, Arapahoe, Jefferson, Ouray CO, Los Alamos NM, Salt Lake UT, Washoe county, Carson City* city NV, Nevada CA
pre 1960: Carroll NH, Kendall, DuPage, Kane, McHenry, Boone, Carroll IL, Waupaca WI, Henrico county, Harrisonburg, Hopewell cities VA, Jefferson* AL, Oktibbeha* MS, Gallatin MT, Teton ID
never: Manassas city VA (created between 72 and 76), Broomfield city CO (created between 2000 and 04)

Trinity CA voted for Perot in 1992. Jefferson AL voted for Wallace in 1968. Oktibbeha MS voted for the unpledged slate in 1960 and for Wallace in 1968. Carson City independent city technically never voted democratic before - the area now covered by the independent city was still called Ormsby County (which included a smaller, non-independent Carson City) back in 1964.

EDIT: Updated to reflect final result. Flips:
to Obama: Warren, Madison NY, Madison, Spencer IN (I think these two were missing from Atlas at the time), Henry, Grundy IL, Pennington MN, Kent MD, Chesapeake, VA, Gallatin MT, Salt Lake UT, Fresno CA.
to McCain (removed from list): Hancock IN (was an error in original reporting), Jerauld SD (IIRC this was actually one of the two election night ties, which I'd counted as Obama gains), Spokane WA (I also removed Stevens and added Whitman, but that was obviously just a printing error on my part in the original list).

[Gustaf]

Atlas data even where they're blatantly wrong (Hancock IN). Excludes counties still shown as blank in Indiana and Arkansas (not Dave's fault - the state sites show the same thing. Due to how elections are reported in these states apparently.)

Shorter list first - counties that voted for Kerry McCain:

2000: Carter, Bath, Magoffin KY
1988: Clay, Lauderdale TN, Lawrence, Mississippi, Hempstead AR
1984: Benton MS, Clay, Randolph, Poinsett, Monroe, Bradley, Little River AR, Assumption LA
1972: Fayette, Washington, Beaver PA, Buchanan, Dickenson VA, Brooke, Fayette, Mingo WV, Webster GA, Pike KY, Van Buren, Grundy, Overton, Smith, Trousdale, Humphreys, Benton, Lake TN, Jackson, Lincoln, Clark AR, Pointe Coupee LA
pre 1960: Logan WV, Breathitt, Knott, Floyd KY, Stewart*, Perry* TN

* voted for George Wallace in 1968.

This is establishing "voting for the losing candidate" streaks then?

[minionofmidas]

Atlas data even where they're blatantly wrong (Hancock IN). Excludes counties still shown as blank in Indiana and Arkansas (not Dave's fault - the state sites show the same thing. Due to how elections are reported in these states apparently.)

Shorter list first - counties that voted for Kerry McCain:

2000: Carter, Bath, Magoffin KY
1988: Clay, Lauderdale TN, Lawrence, Mississippi, Hempstead AR
1984: Benton MS, Clay, Randolph, Poinsett, Monroe, Bradley, Little River AR, Assumption LA
1972: Fayette, Washington, Beaver PA, Buchanan, Dickenson VA, Brooke, Fayette, Mingo WV, Webster GA, Pike KY, Van Buren, Grundy, Overton, Smith, Trousdale, Humphreys, Benton, Lake TN, Jackson, Lincoln, Clark AR, Pointe Coupee LA
pre 1960: Logan WV, Breathitt, Knott, Floyd KY, Stewart*, Perry* TN

* voted for George Wallace in 1968.

This is establishing "voting for the losing candidate" streaks then?

Ah yes. Theoretically. Except as there isn't a single county in the nation that voted for Dole, Kerry and McCain the streaks aren't particularly long...

[Nym90]

Atlas data even where they're blatantly wrong (Hancock IN). Excludes counties still shown as blank in Indiana and Arkansas (not Dave's fault - the state sites show the same thing. Due to how elections are reported in these states apparently.)

Shorter list first - counties that voted for Kerry McCain:

2000: Carter, Bath, Magoffin KY
1988: Clay, Lauderdale TN, Lawrence, Mississippi, Hempstead AR
1984: Benton MS, Clay, Randolph, Poinsett, Monroe, Bradley, Little River AR, Assumption LA
1972: Fayette, Washington, Beaver PA, Buchanan, Dickenson VA, Brooke, Fayette, Mingo WV, Webster GA, Pike KY, Van Buren, Grundy, Overton, Smith, Trousdale, Humphreys, Benton, Lake TN, Jackson, Lincoln, Clark AR, Pointe Coupee LA
pre 1960: Logan WV, Breathitt, Knott, Floyd KY, Stewart*, Perry* TN

* voted for George Wallace in 1968.

Logan WV last voted GOP in 1928. Perry TN last voted GOP in 1920. Breathitt, Knott, and Floyd KY and Stewart, TN all voted GOP for the first time ever (at least as far back as the Atlas goes).

[Nym90]

pre 1960: Carroll NH, Kendall, DuPage, Kane, McHenry, Boone, Carroll, McLean IL, Waupaca WI, Henrico county, Harrisonburg, Hopewell cities VA, Jefferson* AL, Oktibbeha* MS, Teton ID

Carroll, NH last voted Dem in 1912. Carroll, IL had never voted anything but Republican; Dupage, Kane, Kendall, McHenry, and Boone IL had never voted Dem (they all voted Bull Moose in 1912). McLean, IL voted Dem in 1964. Waupaca, WI last voted Dem in 1936. Henrico, VA last voted Dem in 1948. Harrisonburg VA last voted Dem in 1940. Hopewell VA last voted Dem in 1952. Jefferson AL last voted Dem in 1952. Oktibbeha MS last voted Dem in 1956. Teton ID last voted Dem in 1948.

[Gustaf]

Atlas data even where they're blatantly wrong (Hancock IN). Excludes counties still shown as blank in Indiana and Arkansas (not Dave's fault - the state sites show the same thing. Due to how elections are reported in these states apparently.)

Shorter list first - counties that voted for Kerry McCain:

2000: Carter, Bath, Magoffin KY
1988: Clay, Lauderdale TN, Lawrence, Mississippi, Hempstead AR
1984: Benton MS, Clay, Randolph, Poinsett, Monroe, Bradley, Little River AR, Assumption LA
1972: Fayette, Washington, Beaver PA, Buchanan, Dickenson VA, Brooke, Fayette, Mingo WV, Webster GA, Pike KY, Van Buren, Grundy, Overton, Smith, Trousdale, Humphreys, Benton, Lake TN, Jackson, Lincoln, Clark AR, Pointe Coupee LA
pre 1960: Logan WV, Breathitt, Knott, Floyd KY, Stewart*, Perry* TN

* voted for George Wallace in 1968.

This is establishing "voting for the losing candidate" streaks then?

Ah yes. Theoretically. Except as there isn't a single county in the nation that voted for Dole, Kerry and McCain the streaks aren't particularly long...

Then why do some of them go back further? That's what confusing me and prompted me to ask the question...or does current winner mean party that won them this year? Because that makes some kind of sense I guess.

[nclib]

Atlas data even where they're blatantly wrong (Hancock IN). Excludes counties still shown as blank in Indiana and Arkansas (not Dave's fault - the state sites show the same thing. Due to how elections are reported in these states apparently.)

Shorter list first - counties that voted for Kerry McCain:

2000: Carter, Bath, Magoffin KY
1988: Clay, Lauderdale TN, Lawrence, Mississippi, Hempstead AR
1984: Benton MS, Clay, Randolph, Poinsett, Monroe, Bradley, Little River AR, Assumption LA
1972: Fayette, Washington, Beaver PA, Buchanan, Dickenson VA, Brooke, Fayette, Mingo WV, Webster GA, Pike KY, Van Buren, Grundy, Overton, Smith, Trousdale, Humphreys, Benton, Lake TN, Jackson, Lincoln, Clark AR, Pointe Coupee LA
pre 1960: Logan WV, Breathitt, Knott, Floyd KY, Stewart*, Perry* TN

* voted for George Wallace in 1968.

This is establishing "voting for the losing candidate" streaks then?

Ah yes. Theoretically. Except as there isn't a single county in the nation that voted for Dole, Kerry and McCain the streaks aren't particularly long...

Then why do some of them go back further? That's what confusing me and prompted me to ask the question...or does current winner mean party that won them this year? Because that makes some kind of sense I guess.

The latter. If a county voted Democratic for the first time in many years, he's listing the last time the county voted Democratic before this year.

[minionofmidas]

Thanks Nym!

Breathitt, Knott, and Floyd KY and Stewart, TN all voted GOP for the first time ever (at least as far back as the Atlas goes).

Ugh. (Although I thought this was probably the case in TN.) How far does the Atlas go back for these states? Same question for Illinois, too.

My bad for McLean - edited.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Thanks Nym!

Breathitt, Knott, and Floyd KY and Stewart, TN all voted GOP for the first time ever (at least as far back as the Atlas goes).

Ugh. (Although I thought this was probably the case in TN.) How far does the Atlas go back for these states? Same question for Illinois, too.

My bad for McLean - edited.

In Kentucky... 1940. Also has 1912.

[Nym90]

Thanks Nym!

Breathitt, Knott, and Floyd KY and Stewart, TN all voted GOP for the first time ever (at least as far back as the Atlas goes).

Ugh. (Although I thought this was probably the case in TN.) How far does the Atlas go back for these states? Same question for Illinois, too.

My bad for McLean - edited.

Illinois has county results back to 1892. Tennessee back to 1912.

[RI]

Breathitt, Knott, and Floyd KY and Stewart, TN all voted GOP for the first time ever (at least as far back as the Atlas goes).

Breathitt County, KY voted for Taft in 1908. For the others, it was the first time ever.

[minionofmidas]

Fully updated. Note there's a new entry to the furst evah list.