The national exit poll shows that Hillary would have defeated McCain by 11 points nationally.
Clinton 52
McCain 41
Wouldn't have vote 5
Should would have done about as well or better than Obama, she just would have done it in different places.
Considering the national polls (the average of them all, at least) got Obama's margin right (~6+), I'll take that value (Clinton+11) with some level of confidence.
Different places, indeed...
She probably would have had larger margins of victories in OH and FL, while picking up a lot more votes in places like WV, KY, TN, LA and AR (all of which went for Clinton in 92 and 96).
With Iraq off the backburner, Clinton would have done well.
