2009 State and Federal elections in Germany

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What constituency be "V"?

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What constituency be "V"?

Frankfurt 5. Bornheim, North End, East End. Much the smallest in area. And much the greenest in election results.

Why is there no CDU candidate?

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A little under six hours until the beginning of the first real Superwahljahr (super election year) since 1994: A federal election, an European election, five state elections, eight local elections and the election of a president by the Federal Assembly.

w00t!

Fun and entertaining year ahead for sure

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Election.de projection:

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Random question. Why is northern Hesse strongly SPD (overall)? I'd assume it's an industrialized area?

I assume all those safe CDU districts around Frankfurt are generally wealthy districts?

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IIRC the FDP won the odd single-member constituency in that area until the late '50's or so.

I have some Bundestag maps, atleast.

1949


1953


1957

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I'll give a shot at predicting this.

CDU 40%
SPD 25%
FDP 14%
Greens 13%
Left 4%
Others 4%

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Turnout down. Y'all know what that means.

What does it mean?

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Great results for the FDP and Greenies

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Anyways. Any good sites for live results when they'll start rolling in?

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Turnout around 60% (-4%) according to Infratest-dimap.

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Frankfurt's stopped updating apparently.

Oh come on I want that little drop of read in Southern Hesse's sea of Black (or Blue). Just because! (And yes, I understand that Paris would just take another Social Democrat's seat. And that he is an empty windbag who makes my mom vote List SPD, constituency Green. Still. It's not as if anybody knows his opponent either.)

A lot of things have stopped updating. There haven't been any new Wahlkreise results for a good time now.

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CDU has won Frankfurt 5.

Greenies won list vote

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Direct seats and list vote. 18 and 19 left.

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For completion's sake.



Working on a secondvote map for the 5 biggies, now. Did Greenies and Linke already.

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Working on it now

If it's not too late, could you include a turnout map?

Did it for completion's sake

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Hash - great map. You've got an error in the Green map around Darmstadt though. CDU around Kassel, too. Damn enclaves.

Fix'd

Trugarez!

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What is the Riederwald and Gallus like?

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Somebody explain Darmstadt-Nord to me. Very high Greenie result, but also the best Linke result, a weak FDP/CDU.

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Nothing for Kassel yet?

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Just read that Germany is switching from Hare-Niemeyer to Sainte-Lague, for both Euros and Federals.

Could that have a large effect on seat allocations in the next elections? Or just a matter of one or two seats more or less for a party?

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We're having a Landrat election here in Darmstadt-Dieburg on Sunday (something like County Board Chair in the U.S., I'd say, even though it's not exactly the same thing.)

Not to be attention whoring....but I face a serious dilemma here

We've only got 2 candidates.....one from the SPD and one from the CDU, and I know that the CDU guy is pretty much an idiot....

and this might force me to cast my first ever SPD vote....that's truly frightening for me

I'm not the kind of person to stay home....though.....

Write Sarah Palin all over the ballot. That's what I did for student council elections (facing a similar, though worse, situation).

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And, lol Wikipedia:

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So. The Nitzsche guy didn't vote for the Nazi. Who is the other person who voted for the Leftie? One person in the CDU-CSU+FDP+FW coalition didn't vote for Köhler. SPD+Greenies gives 513, so I assume those 10 are the 10 abstaining.

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Could we maybe switch to pure FPTP for this election?

FPTP is the worst electoral system ever after fake Italian-Greek-French "proportional representation". Believe me, it is.

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Not much discussion of the August 30 state elections, eh.

Saxony (IfM Leipzig, July 17 09)
CDU 42%
Linke 17%
SPD 14%
FDP 11%
Green 7%
NPD 5%
Others 4%

Saxony (Infratest dimap, June 26 09)
CDU 40%
Linke 20%
SPD 13%
FDP 12%
Green 6%
NPD 5%
Others 4%

Thuringia (Infratest dimap, June 25 09)
CDU 36%
Linke 24%
SPD 18%
FDP 9%
Green 6%
Others 7%