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  5 most likely people to become the 45th POTUS?
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Author Topic: 5 most likely people to become the 45th POTUS?  (Read 12004 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: November 14, 2008, 06:00:53 am »

Barring unexpected circumstances, Obama will be sworn in as the 44th president on Jan. 20th.  What five people are the most likely to become the 45th president?  Rank from most likely to 5th most likely....keeping in mind that the person could become president for reasons ranging from winning the 2012 election to winning the 2016 election to taking over for president if he dies or resigns (Biden would probably be the only person likely to become president via the latter circumstances.)

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Platypus
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« Reply #1 on: November 14, 2008, 08:39:09 am »

Biden, Warner, Palin, Jindal and Sanford?
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paul718
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« Reply #2 on: November 14, 2008, 12:10:22 pm »

I think the 5 most likely would be the top 5 in the presidential line of succession, but that's no fun.

Off the top of my head...
1. Biden
2. Gingrich
3. Romney
4. Warner
5. Bayh
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Workers' Friend
Bob Dole
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« Reply #3 on: November 14, 2008, 12:41:05 pm »

1. Biden
2. Huckabee
3. Jindal
4. Warner
5. Romney
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Kaine for Senate '18
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« Reply #4 on: November 14, 2008, 04:22:00 pm »

Biden, Warner, Huckabee, Jindal, Pawlenty.
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Robespierre's Jaw
Senator Conor Flynn
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« Reply #5 on: November 14, 2008, 04:50:33 pm »

Most Likely Democrats

1. Joe Biden
2. Mark Warner
3. Brian Schweitzer
4. Kathleen Sebelius
5. Tim Kaine

Most Likely Republicans

1. Sarah Palin
2. New Gingrich
3. Mitt Romney
4. Tim Pawlenty
5. Bobby Jindal
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Daniel Z
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« Reply #6 on: November 14, 2008, 06:25:34 pm »

Biden, Romney, Riley, Schweitzer, Jindal.
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BM
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« Reply #7 on: November 14, 2008, 06:56:03 pm »

Biden, Romney, Jindal, Palin, Schweitzer
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Psychic Octopus
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« Reply #8 on: November 14, 2008, 07:31:52 pm »


1. Biden
2. New VP (Bayh, Warner, etc.) (if they get a new VP, 50% sure)
3. Romney
4. Warner
5. Jindal

107. Palin
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #9 on: November 14, 2008, 07:43:09 pm »

Everyone thinks Warner is more likely to succeed Obama in 2016 than Hillary Clinton?

No one thinks she's in the top five for most likely to be #45?

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Nixon in '80
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« Reply #10 on: November 14, 2008, 07:59:17 pm »

Everyone thinks Warner is more likely to succeed Obama in 2016 than Hillary Clinton?

No one thinks she's in the top five for most likely to be #45?



Hillary's in the top ten, but I don't think she'll ever be President.

1. Biden
2. Romney
3. Warner
4. Jindal
5. Pawlenty
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DownWithTheLeft
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« Reply #11 on: November 14, 2008, 08:16:34 pm »

Biden
Jindal
Pence
Palin
Romney
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Chris B
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« Reply #12 on: November 14, 2008, 08:28:34 pm »
« Edited: November 14, 2008, 08:35:09 pm by Chris B »

Joe Biden
Mitt Romney
Hillary Clinton
Mark Warner
Bobby Jindal
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Chris B
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« Reply #13 on: November 14, 2008, 08:37:46 pm »

Everyone thinks Warner is more likely to succeed Obama in 2016 than Hillary Clinton?

No one thinks she's in the top five for most likely to be #45?



I think she probably is. I could see her runner-up status carrying her to the nomination in 2016.
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paul718
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« Reply #14 on: November 14, 2008, 08:42:48 pm »

Everyone thinks Warner is more likely to succeed Obama in 2016 than Hillary Clinton?

No one thinks she's in the top five for most likely to be #45?



I think she probably is. I could see her runner-up status carrying her to the nomination in 2016.

Frontrunners don't normally win the Democrat nomination.
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Lunar
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« Reply #15 on: November 14, 2008, 09:12:23 pm »

1) Biden
2) Palin
3) Warner
4) Jindal
5) Schweitzer
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Psychic Octopus
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« Reply #16 on: November 15, 2008, 10:54:17 pm »

1) Biden
2) Palin
3) Warner
4) Jindal
5) Schweitzer

intresting... I disagree with palin though, she has to reinvent herself and Obama has to be terrible
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Four49
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« Reply #17 on: November 19, 2008, 04:38:22 pm »

Six years ago my Aunt (also from Chicago and also a junkie like me) called and told me, "A friend of a friend is a Senator down in Springfield.  So, I went to hear him speak in Hyde Park yesterday.  I had to call you because my first thought after his speech was - this guy's gonna be our first black President!"  I literally laughed at her.  I thought there was no way in hell America was ready for that.  She agreed, but was thinking way down the road, like 2020, or even further.  I'm sure you can guess who that state senator was.

And who thought Palin would get anywhere near a national ticket six months ago?

All of the people listed so far have a shot at being president, but I'd bet money it will be somebody we're not thinking about.  Even more so if Obama has a good eight year run.

And I personally don't think Biden will be on the ticket in four years.  So, if nothing happens to Obama then I think he'll be riding off into the sunset.  My guess is that Palin's pretty much reached her peak as well.  She might run, but I don't think she'll get anywhere.

Of politicians I'm actually aware of, I'd say...

If Obama is a disaster
1. Rick Perry
2. Tim Pawlenty
3. Ryan Paul
4. Mark sanford
5. Charlie Crist

If Obama is good/great
1. His VP when he leaves office
2. Ralph Nader
3. Rahm Emanuel
4. Oprah
5. Al Gore

Really no need to list anyone under number one, if Obama has a good run, meaning people think the country is in a lot better shape than it is now, I'm sure our next POTUS will be his former VP.
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Lunar
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« Reply #18 on: November 19, 2008, 05:25:52 pm »

1) Biden
2) Palin
3) Warner
4) Jindal
5) Schweitzer

intresting... I disagree with palin though, she has to reinvent herself and Obama has to be terrible

Anything can happen in the race.  I think she'd be an awful candidate, but can you name me:
1) Any other candidate, Democrat or Republican, who is as likely as her to run in '12 and/or '16?  No other candidate is as guaranteed to compete.
2) Any other candidate who is as likely as her to win the primaries, after choosing to compete?  Palin  has a great chance of losing the primaries, but in my view she has the plurality odds in this department.  We don't know who the anti-Palin will be yet.


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Matt Damon™
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« Reply #19 on: November 19, 2008, 05:50:59 pm »

gop

1 palin
2 jindal
3 huckabee
4 crist
5 pawlenty

democrats

1 mark warner
2 evan bayh
3 tim kaine
4 ?
5 ?
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Lunar
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« Reply #20 on: November 19, 2008, 06:30:47 pm »

Obama has 0% chance of being unable to finish his term for whatever reason?
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MK
Mike Keller
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« Reply #21 on: November 19, 2008, 06:37:48 pm »

1 Hillary Clinton
2. Mark Warner
3. Tim Kaine
4. Mit Rommney....... if obama pulls a carter
5. ?? I have no ideal right now
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Matt Damon™
donut4mccain
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« Reply #22 on: November 19, 2008, 06:47:05 pm »

Obama has 0% chance of being unable to finish his term for whatever reason?
if obama does well why wouldnt a democrat win in '16?
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Lunar
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« Reply #23 on: November 19, 2008, 07:40:09 pm »

Obama has 0% chance of being unable to finish his term for whatever reason?
if obama does well why wouldnt a democrat win in '16?

I'm saying if Obama dies or otherwise become incapacitated, Biden will be the 45th POTUS - making him very likely, relative to any individual contender, to be that person.
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Matt Damon™
donut4mccain
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« Reply #24 on: November 21, 2008, 06:59:20 pm »

Obama has 0% chance of being unable to finish his term for whatever reason?
if obama does well why wouldnt a democrat win in '16?

I'm saying if Obama dies or otherwise become incapacitated, Biden will be the 45th POTUS - making him very likely, relative to any individual contender, to be that person.

biden will be too old to get the nod in '16
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