2009 State and European Parliament Elections in Austria

[Verily]

Latest Carinthia poll by Hayek:

BZÖ: 38%
SPÖ: 36%
ÖVP: 12%
Greens: 7%
FPÖ: 5%
Others: 2%

Also, Gallup for Ö24:

BZÖ: 41%
SPÖ: 35%
ÖVP: 13%
Greens: 6%
FPÖ: 5%

Another (SPÖ-internal) by SORA:

SPÖ: 41%
BZÖ: 38%
ÖVP: 10%
Greens: 6%
FPÖ: 3%
Others: 2%

...

GO, SPÖ !!!

Is an SPO-OVP anti-BZO coalition conceivable (maybe with the Greens, too, if necessary)?

[Verily]

Burgstaller cooperating with the FPO would just be a moronic political move. I can see the election results in my head...

2009:

SPO: 40
OVP: 38
FPO: 10
Grune: 7

SPO/Grune comes one seat short of a majority, so Burgstaller goes with the FPO.

2011:

OVP: 36
SPO: 29
Grune: 19
FPO: 14

FPO pulls the plug on the government early with some ridiculous demand. Grune surges, SPO collapses. OVP/SPO grand coalition.

2015:

OVP: 30
SPO: 29
FPO: 22
Grune: 17

FPO makes hay out of an unpopular coalition government, Grune does so as well and keeps its strong figures. Another OVP/SPO grand coalition ensues.

etc.

[Verily]

This is a most excellent night for the people of Carinthia.

Tell me, which party would you have voted for in Germany in 1932?

Yes, voting for the FPO or BZO is basically the same thing. You want conservatives, vote OVP.

[Verily]

Euro polls are surprisingly weak for the far right. I'm guessing most of the Martin voters are FPO/BZO types despite Martin's own moderation?

Also, is the LIF running? As I recall, they have an MEP who defected from Martin's List.