MN Sen Recount (UPDATE: Stuart Smalley certified winner, lawsuit forthcoming) (user search)
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  MN Sen Recount (UPDATE: Stuart Smalley certified winner, lawsuit forthcoming) (search mode)
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Author Topic: MN Sen Recount (UPDATE: Stuart Smalley certified winner, lawsuit forthcoming)  (Read 119475 times)
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« on: November 19, 2008, 07:49:45 PM »

My stomach just dropped.  I hope it's some kind of typo.
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Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #1 on: November 19, 2008, 08:04:16 PM »
Quote from: Mr.Phips on November 19, 2008, 07:53:51 PM
Oops, now Coleman is up by 196 votes. 

Smiley
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Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #2 on: November 19, 2008, 09:03:14 PM »
Quote from: Governor Duke, Dirty South on November 19, 2008, 08:59:45 PM
Franken will win this race. The Democrats will make sure of it.

Absolutely, I'm very doubtful that Coleman has enough recount efforts.  There is very little scrutiny, or backlash against Coleman's large loss of votes.  It just doesn't make sense that Coleman would lose ~800 votes before the recount has even started.
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Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #3 on: November 19, 2008, 09:05:52 PM »
Quote from: © Hillary isn't 44 on November 19, 2008, 09:04:29 PM
Quote from: Ronnie on November 19, 2008, 09:03:14 PM
Quote from: Governor Duke, Dirty South on November 19, 2008, 08:59:45 PM
Franken will win this race. The Democrats will make sure of it.

Absolutely, I'm very doubtful that Coleman has enough recount efforts.  There is very little scrutiny, or backlash against Coleman's large loss of votes.  It just doesn't make sense that Coleman would lose ~800 votes before the recount has even started.

he has?

You don't remember when Coleman was leading by 1000 votes after all of the absentees/provisionals were counted?  Cause I do.
Logged
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #4 on: November 19, 2008, 10:06:35 PM »
Quote from: tokar on November 19, 2008, 10:02:20 PM
Quote from: MarkWarner08 on November 19, 2008, 09:59:55 PM

Coleman's campaign is challenging this vote, which was counted for Franken. For the first time in memory, I've found common ground with Norm Coleman. How was this vote possibly cast for Franken?

If you analyze, by weight, the number of pixels which are above the line versus the amount below the line you will see that there are more above than below.

Ok, here's the Franken campaign's argument:

"We have calculated that there are 3 more pixels above the line than below the line, even though the ink was not even near our bubble.  Therefore, the vote should count for us!"
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Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #5 on: November 20, 2008, 08:21:19 PM »
It makes you think why Coleman's lead is shrinking so fast.
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Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #6 on: November 20, 2008, 09:33:02 PM »
Quote from: Alcon on November 20, 2008, 09:27:29 PM
Can someone explain the chances of a flip for those of us who totally haven't been paying attention?

Intrade has it at 55%. Tongue
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Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #7 on: November 20, 2008, 10:42:41 PM »
Quote from: © 2007 on November 20, 2008, 10:19:48 PM
is there any chance that we don't know the winner by January 6th?

Ya, if they are within 20 votes of each other or something.  Don't see it.
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Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #8 on: November 21, 2008, 06:19:39 PM »
Is a 142 a good lead for Coleman at this point?
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Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #9 on: November 21, 2008, 07:30:06 PM »
Coleman lead up to 167 votes!  Woohoo!
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Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #10 on: November 21, 2008, 09:01:37 PM »
Intrade is now nearing 60-40 in favor of Coleman.  Wonder why.
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Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #11 on: November 21, 2008, 09:44:32 PM »
With 64% of votes counted, Coleman leads by 120.
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Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #12 on: November 22, 2008, 04:39:14 PM »
Coleman just gained a bunch of votes out of Duluth.  I'm frankly quite surprised.
Logged
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #13 on: November 22, 2008, 06:34:01 PM »
Coleman up to 180 vote lead.  YEAH BABY!
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Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #14 on: November 24, 2008, 07:07:28 PM »
Coleman leading by 202 votes. Grin Cheesy
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Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #15 on: November 24, 2008, 07:12:56 PM »
Quote from: Lunar on November 24, 2008, 07:11:22 PM
Don't get too excited Ronnie.  Coleman's challenging everything that moves, artificially padding his total somewhat.

As I posted in another thread:


I saw that.  Hm, lets see if this works out for him.
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Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #16 on: November 24, 2008, 08:24:54 PM »
Quote from: Rococo4 on November 24, 2008, 08:19:26 PM
Coleman +209, 71% votes in

challenges, Franken 1159 Coleman 1304

Let's pray Franken's challenged votes are just as bad as Coleman's/
Logged
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #17 on: November 24, 2008, 10:01:46 PM »
(Is gushy and shrill)

COLEMAN IS UP TO A 210 VOTE LEAD WITH 83% OF PRECINCTS REPORTING. YAY!
Logged
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #18 on: November 24, 2008, 11:23:02 PM »
Quote from: MarkWarner08 on November 24, 2008, 10:05:11 PM
Quote from: Ronnie on November 24, 2008, 10:01:46 PM
(Is gushy and shrill)

COLEMAN IS UP TO A 210 VOTE LEAD WITH 83% OF PRECINCTS REPORTING. YAY!
HE HAS ALSO CHALLENGED 124 MORE BALLOTS THAN HAS FRANKEN. YAY!

IT DOESN'T LOOK LIKE IT NOW.  YAYAYAYAY!
Logged
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #19 on: November 25, 2008, 01:43:17 AM »
It's an exact coinflip on Intrade.
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Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #20 on: November 25, 2008, 01:49:18 AM »
Quote from: Lunar on November 25, 2008, 01:44:02 AM

Don't worry, I am 100% confident in my prediction of Franken +42.


You're pretty funny, I'll give you that.
Logged
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #21 on: November 25, 2008, 06:56:26 PM »
« Edited: November 25, 2008, 07:05:51 PM by Ronnie »
I've been out today, who has the advantage now?

Quote from: VP Meeker on November 25, 2008, 05:03:45 PM
Star Tribune reports that the Franken campaign has "found" several hundred missing ballots around the state Cheesy

Sorry, I'm calling Bullshit here.
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Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #22 on: November 25, 2008, 09:52:51 PM »
Quote from: Lunar on November 25, 2008, 09:19:17 PM
Coleman is expanding his lead.

Democrats need to find more ballots

Don't worry, the SOS will eventually "find" 500 votes all for Franken in the back of a pickup truck.  I have no doubt about it.
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Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #23 on: November 26, 2008, 07:34:49 PM »
My instincts are neutral at this point.  Who has the advantage?
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Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #24 on: November 26, 2008, 10:17:17 PM »
« Edited: November 26, 2008, 10:18:55 PM by Ronnie »
Coleman is leading by 282 votes, with 91% of precincts reporting.
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