GA-Mellman Group (D): Internal poll shows Martin down by 2
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 16, 2024, 11:25:37 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2008 Elections
  2008 Senatorial Election Polls
  GA-Mellman Group (D): Internal poll shows Martin down by 2		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: GA-Mellman Group (D): Internal poll shows Martin down by 2  (Read 4807 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 25, 2008, 12:50:21 AM »
If the December 2008 run-off election for U.S. Senate were held today and the candidates were Democrat Jim Martin and Republican Saxby Chambliss, for whom would you vote, or are you undecided?

Chambliss - 48%
Martin - 46%

The poll of 600 likely voters was taken by the Mellman Group from November 21 to 23 and has a 4% margin of error.

http://www.dscc.org/news_item?press_release_KEY=863
Logged
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,866
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 25, 2008, 01:59:25 PM »
Toast, toasted bread, save for special election shenanigans.
Logged
Lunar
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,404
Ireland, Republic of
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 25, 2008, 02:29:15 PM »
I suppose Martin will probably lose by 5. 

But I'm still puzzling.
Logged
Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,547


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 25, 2008, 02:37:51 PM »
Quote from: Lunar on November 25, 2008, 02:29:15 PM
I suppose Martin will probably lose by 5. 

But I'm still puzzling.

Yes, you are.
Logged
Small Business Owner of Any Repute
Mr. Moderate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,431
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 25, 2008, 02:51:29 PM »
And that's about as green as the grass is ever going to get.
Logged
jamestroll
jamespol
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,519


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 25, 2008, 03:00:04 PM »
I predict Martin will win.
Logged
Lunar
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,404
Ireland, Republic of
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 25, 2008, 05:07:15 PM »
Quote from: Sam Spade on November 25, 2008, 02:37:51 PM
Quote from: Lunar on November 25, 2008, 02:29:15 PM
I suppose Martin will probably lose by 5. 

But I'm still puzzling.

Yes, you are.

Well, if anyone knows how to turn out the vote, it's Obama's machine.

But how well can that machine translate to a far less exciting candidate?  Also, their machine was only at half-strength in Georgia too.

Martin's campaign is doing a pretty solid under-the-table job at pressuring Obama to show up too. 
Logged
Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,547


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 25, 2008, 05:26:28 PM »
Quote from: Lunar on November 25, 2008, 05:07:15 PM
Quote from: Sam Spade on November 25, 2008, 02:37:51 PM
Quote from: Lunar on November 25, 2008, 02:29:15 PM
I suppose Martin will probably lose by 5. 

But I'm still puzzling.

Yes, you are.

But how well can that machine translate to a far less exciting candidate?

You mean, a non-black candidate, right?
Logged
Lunar
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,404
Ireland, Republic of
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 25, 2008, 05:34:29 PM »
Well, not exactly, but partially.

His turnout operation did very well in lilly-white caucuses as well.
Logged
Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,547


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 25, 2008, 05:39:29 PM »
Quote from: Lunar on November 25, 2008, 05:34:29 PM
Well, not exactly, but partially.

His turnout operation did very well in lilly-white caucuses as well.

Georgia is not "lily-white caucuses".  If his machine spent any time in Georgia trying to get any white voters to turn out, he was wasting his time and probably hurting his chances to win.  The only whites that will vote for him are wealthier and will probably show up anyway.  Well, maybe he would go after colleges, but the 18-29 whites in Georgia weren't exactly enamored with him.
Logged
Lunar
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,404
Ireland, Republic of
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 25, 2008, 05:44:00 PM »
Well, Regardless, Martin projects a bit of a quiet bookish vibe that doesn't make you want to volunteer, vote, etc.

If Martin were to win, he'd need to get a third or so of non-blacks...  I don't know how many of them are predisposed to vote in run-off elections.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,451
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 30, 2008, 04:11:07 AM »

That's nice.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.031 seconds with 14 queries.