2010 gubernatorial rankings (because I'm bored)

[DownWithTheLeft]

My ratings:

Safe Democratic
Arkansas (Mike Beebe - D)
Colorado (Bill Ritter - D)
New Hampshire (John Lynch - D)
New York (David Paterson - D)
Iowa (Chet Culver - D)

Likely Democratic
Ohio (Ted Strickland - D)
Wisconsin (Jim Doyle - D)
Illinois (Rod Blagojevich - D)

Lean Democratic
Maryland (Martin O'Malley - D)
Oregon (open seat held by Ted Kulongoski - D)
Rhode Island (open seat held by Don Carcieri - R)
Michigan (open seat held by Jennifer Granholm - D)

Pure Tossup
Arizona (open seat held by Janet Napolitano - D)
California (open seat held by Arnold Schwarzenegger - R)
Pennsylvania (open seat held by Ed Rendell - D)
Tennessee (open seat held by Phil Bredesen - D)
New Mexico (open seat held by Bill Richardson - D)

Lean Republican
Wyoming (open seat held by Dave Freudenthal - D)
Hawaii (open seat held by Linda Lingle - R)
Oklahoma (open seat held by Brad Henry - D)
Nevada (Jim Gibbons - R)
Kansas (open seat held by Kathleen Sebelius - D)
Minnesota (Tim Pawlenty - R)

Likely Republican
none

Safe Republican
Alaska (Sarah Palin - R)
Connecticut (Jodi Rell - R)
Florida (Charlie Crist - R)
Idaho (Butch Otter - R)
Vermont (Jim Douglas - R)
Alabama (open seat held by Bob Riley - R)
Georgia (open seat held by Sonny Perdue - R)
Nebraska (Dave Heineman - R)
South Dakota (open seat held by Mike Rounds - R)
Texas (Rick Perry - R)

[DownWithTheLeft]

Why does no one seem to think Lt. Gov. Aiona could win in HI?  I remember a lot of talk about him in 2006 as being a potential senate candidate

[DownWithTheLeft]

Colorado: Bill Ritter (D)
Pure tossup.

Any particular reason why?

[DownWithTheLeft]

Oklahoma should be listed as Lean Democratic Likely Republican.  People tend to forget just how strong our state Democratic party is and Jari Askins (Lt Gov) is very popular and so is Atty Gen Drew Edmonson (D) it's Oklahoma.

Corrected for bias

[DownWithTheLeft]

But you also have incredible bias for the Republican party.

Which happens to be something I share in common with Oklahoma

[DownWithTheLeft]

Hawaii (open seat held by Linda Lingle - R) [(no Republican bench)]

I disagree, Lt. Gov. Aiona would make a fine candidate