Polling Groups hav gone mad.

[VietnamVeteran]

The conservatives are attacking me from all angles. So heres how i see the race.

Bush is ahead by 4 points nationally

Pennslyvania - tie/Kerry 1
Ohio - Bush +3-4
Florida - Bush +3-4 (h.
Minnesota - Kerry +2
Wisconsin - Bush +2
Iowa - Bush +3
West Virginia - Bush +4-5
Oregan - Kerry +2.

Kerry wins Wisconsin by attacking Bush on Iraq. Wisconsin is very anti-war compared to the other anti-war states.

Kerry wins Colorado if Salazar continues to hurt Coors on his alcohol policies. The hispanic community is heavily towards Salazar. Kerry does have a Nadar problem but Bush has his own dilemma with Badnarik. Some 5% of the vote could be split between third party candidates.

Kerry has won Oregan as Nadar is not on the ballot.

Kerry wins Minnesota if he does well in the debates.

Kerry cannot win Ohio and Missouri.

Kerry wins New Hampshire if the national race is tied.

Kerry has problems in Iowa, West Virginia and Nevada.