U.S. Senate

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To GOP:
South Carolina
Georgia
South Dakota

To Dems:
Illinois
Colorado
Alaska
Oklahoma

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I think Thune is too strong of a challenger + Bush on the ticket + Daschle alienating Dem base with Bush ad = GOP pickup

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Colorado-On election day, barring a complete blowout, Colorado will be closer than some people think and that is because Salazar is on the ballot who will help to bring the 17% Hispanic population to the polls.

Oklahoma-Coburn keeps shooting himself in the foot, and while Kerry has no chance in OK, Carson does and I think he'll pull it out.

Alaska-Once again Kerry has no chance here, but Knowles is a lot more popular than Kerry and Murkowski hasn't won too many supporters

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Tanenbaum was endorsed by EMILY's list, but favors the war with Iraq.  I don't have much hope there considering South Carolina has the lowest SAT scores in the nation and she's the education czaress.