Who was the most accurate national pollster this year?

[Lief 🗽]

ARG was surprisingly good. CNN really did much better than most people gave it credit for pre-election, in state polls as well (if I remember correctly; been a while since I looked at them). Rasmussen was pretty middling, especially compared to their reputation.

[Lief 🗽]

Yep. The national numbers conformed pretty much exactly to what Nate Silver had predicted before the conventions. The only reason McCain was tied in early September was because of his convention/VP bounce, which was bound to fade eventually.

[Lief 🗽]

Republicans like to deligitimize every Democratic victory. 1960 was stolen, 1976 was only because of Watergate, 1992/96 were because Perot was the spoiler, 2008 was because of the financial meltdown.