In hindsight, Indiana going for Obama isn't that shocking (user search)
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  In hindsight, Indiana going for Obama isn't that shocking (search mode)
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Author Topic: In hindsight, Indiana going for Obama isn't that shocking  (Read 5069 times)
Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
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« on: December 22, 2008, 01:40:11 AM »

I think this is one state where Democrats and Obama are going to have a near impossible time replicating, unless their name is Evan Bayh.  Obama is probably the first Democrat ever to carry the state without carrying the two Southern Congressional districts(IN-08 and IN-09).  His margin came completely from unsustainably high turnout in Marion county and Lake county.  This is probably a once in lifetime thing for Democrats.  

Indiana was the one state where the Obama campaign's spending and organization overwhelmed the Republican tilt of the state. Had McCain made even a slight effort here he probably would have won. Of course, that would have meant siphoning resources away from must-win states.
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Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
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*****
Posts: 10,176
United States


« Reply #1 on: December 27, 2008, 02:09:59 PM »

Indiana went Democratic due to a perfect combination of factors that are unlikely to be replicated. However, it seems the state is trending Democratic overall, and Bush just did unusually well there for a Republican, while Gore and especially Kerry did unusually poorly.
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