New Hampshire Tied/Kerry +1 says Research 2000

[The Vorlon]

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/N/NH_MONITOR_POLL_NHOL-

Kerry 46
Bush 46
Nader 2

Kerry 47
Bush 46

N=600 +/- 4% 19/20 times

Polls mixed in this state.  Who is ahead is.... unclear....

[Umengus]

Kerry is closing the gap. It will be tied before the first debat.

[CARLHAYDEN]

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/N/NH_MONITOR_POLL_NHOL-

Kerry 46
Bush 46
Nader 2

Kerry 47
Bush 46

N=600 +/- 4% 19/20 times

Polls mixed in this state

I prefer SUSA because they give a details breakdown of their demographics.

That said, Research 2000 closey resembles SUSA in their bias.

Adjusting for bias, I make it Bush 48, Kerry 44.

[Pollwatch99]

No Gap to close in NH.  It's been dead even for a long time

[Giant Saguaro]

I would say this state is very close and will depend entirely on turn-out. Kerry has not regained the edge he had prior to the RNC and maybe the DNC - I don't know when his numbers began to decline in that state, but I suspect it's been a while.

[Umengus]

No Gap to close in NH.  It's been dead even for a long time

Mason dixon had Bush +9 in his last NH poll I think. And if it's tied or a very small lead for Kerry in NH, it's almost tied at national level. Just my idea...

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

I prefer SUSA because they give a details breakdown of their demographics.

That said, Research 2000 closey resembles SUSA in their bias.

Adjusting for bias, I make it Bush 48, Kerry 44.

LOL

[J. J.]

Two weeks ago, I had NH leaning to Kerry.  It's slipped into the toss-up column.  It's still there.  Bush might be slightly ahead, but it's going to be turn out at this point.