Now here's a really crazy prediction from October 23, 2008:
Criteria:
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Electoral College: McCain 278, Obama 260
1. Averaging out the state by state polls.
2. Correcting rampant oversampling of Democrats
3. Factoring in which states the candidates are campaigning in.
4. Including an increased Black turnout.
5. An energized youth vote/an apathetic youth vote.
6. Voter fraud.
7. Throwing in a modest Bradley Effect...
Apparently this fellow couldn't believe that the Democrats could make real gains between 2004 and 2008, and failed to account for the fast-growing Latino vote.
Garbage in... garbage out.
He just grossly underestimated the amount of voter fraud, that's all.
