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  The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1023554 times)
J. J.
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« Reply #10200 on: October 08, 2012, 12:12:01 pm »


Gallup

Approve 51% (+3)
Disapprove 44% (-2)


Head to 50/45 Obama, +1/-1.



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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #10201 on: October 08, 2012, 12:56:45 pm »

......wooooooooow. What more can be said about numbers like that? Just wow.
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Sbane
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« Reply #10202 on: October 08, 2012, 01:55:07 pm »

If his approvals stay around there, that's at least a 4 point win.
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J. J.
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« Reply #10203 on: October 08, 2012, 02:53:25 pm »

If his approvals stay around there, that's at least a 4 point win.

There was a 2 and 4 point gain on Gallup on the 10/3 and 10/4, respectively, for Obama.  It boosted the weekly numbers, but it passed.  I think this is too.
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #10204 on: October 08, 2012, 03:10:37 pm »

Strange.
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J. J.
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« Reply #10205 on: October 09, 2012, 08:48:40 am »



Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 49%, -2.

Disapprove 50%, +1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 30%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  43%, +3.

Head to head is at 48/48 Romney/Obama (u).

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afleitch
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« Reply #10206 on: October 09, 2012, 12:04:03 pm »

Gallup

Approve 53 (+2)
Dissaprove 42 (-2)
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J. J.
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« Reply #10207 on: October 09, 2012, 12:06:37 pm »
« Edited: October 09, 2012, 12:11:23 pm by J. J. »

Gallup

Approve 53% (+2)
Disapprove 42% (-2)


Head to Head, Registered:

Obama:  49 -1

Romney: 46 +1

Head to Head, Likely:

Obama:  47, -1

Romney, 49, +1

http://www.gallup.com/poll/election.aspx

The bounce does not appear to be ephemeral. 

(Oops)


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afleitch
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« Reply #10208 on: October 09, 2012, 12:10:27 pm »

The bounce does not appear to be ephemeral.  

That cannot be determined as Gallup is still using a 7 day tracker for some strange reason.
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J. J.
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« Reply #10209 on: October 09, 2012, 12:12:41 pm »

The bounce does not appear to be ephemeral.  

That cannot be determined as Gallup is still using a 7 day tracker for some strange reason.

Oct 2-8, 2012 Updates daily at 1 p.m. ET; reflects one-day change

It should be noted that there are still two days in it that were pre debate.
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afleitch
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« Reply #10210 on: October 09, 2012, 12:15:09 pm »

The bounce does not appear to be ephemeral.  

That cannot be determined as Gallup is still using a 7 day tracker for some strange reason.

Oct 2-8, 2012 Updates daily at 1 p.m. ET; reflects one-day change

It should be noted that there are still two days in it that were pre debate.

Exactly. And days immediately post debate. Therefore you can't judge the bounce.
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King
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« Reply #10211 on: October 09, 2012, 12:32:47 pm »

Obama just needs to drive up turnout and he wins.  Of course, we all knew this long before the first debate.
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J. J.
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« Reply #10212 on: October 09, 2012, 03:33:02 pm »

The bounce does not appear to be ephemeral.  

That cannot be determined as Gallup is still using a 7 day tracker for some strange reason.

Oct 2-8, 2012 Updates daily at 1 p.m. ET; reflects one-day change

It should be noted that there are still two days in it that were pre debate.

Exactly. And days immediately post debate. Therefore you can't judge the bounce.

Well, what has happened after the bounce has not driven it down (if it was a single day bounce).
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Scott
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« Reply #10213 on: October 09, 2012, 03:44:50 pm »

How can the race be so tight if these numbers are accurate?
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J. J.
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« Reply #10214 on: October 09, 2012, 03:51:50 pm »

How can the race be so tight if these numbers are accurate?

The only number sticking out is Gallup's approval numbers.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #10215 on: October 09, 2012, 07:40:37 pm »

Well technically 'ephemeral' doesn't mean just one day... it means a short period of time... or probably 'transitory' is a better description...

But that's by the by...
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J. J.
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« Reply #10216 on: October 09, 2012, 08:21:08 pm »

Well technically 'ephemeral' doesn't mean just one day... it means a short period of time... or probably 'transitory' is a better description...

But that's by the by...

"Transitory" implies a transition, or at least can be readily confused with that.  "Ephemeral" implies a temporary condition that will revert back to the status quo in a short period of time.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #10217 on: October 09, 2012, 08:25:46 pm »

Well technically 'ephemeral' doesn't mean just one day... it means a short period of time... or probably 'transitory' is a better description...

But that's by the by...

"Transitory" implies a transition, or at least can be readily confused with that.  "Ephemeral" implies a temporary condition that will revert back to the status quo in a short period of time.

Which, depending on who you listen to, this MIGHT have been... but I doubt we'll know until the weekend. The blessings of multi-day polls...
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J. J.
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« Reply #10218 on: October 09, 2012, 08:28:33 pm »

Well technically 'ephemeral' doesn't mean just one day... it means a short period of time... or probably 'transitory' is a better description...

But that's by the by...

"Transitory" implies a transition, or at least can be readily confused with that.  "Ephemeral" implies a temporary condition that will revert back to the status quo in a short period of time.

Which, depending on who you listen to, this MIGHT have been... but I doubt we'll know until the weekend. The blessings of multi-day polls...

The initial polling look like a swing, as opposed to an ephemeral bounce, but we won't know until the weekend.
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J. J.
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« Reply #10219 on: October 10, 2012, 08:50:13 am »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 49%, u.

Disapprove 50%, u.

"Strongly Approve" is at 34%, +4.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  43%, u.

Head to head is at 48/47 Romney(u)/Obama (-1).

The Strongly Approve numbers are up for both candidates, dramatically.  This is either a bad sample or an increase in enthusiasm. 
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Northeast Rep Snowball
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« Reply #10220 on: October 10, 2012, 11:46:26 am »

its probably sampling
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Yank2133
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« Reply #10221 on: October 10, 2012, 12:02:34 pm »

Gallup

Approval-53(NC)
Disapproval-42(NC)
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J. J.
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« Reply #10222 on: October 10, 2012, 12:56:14 pm »


No, it matches Gallup's tracking closely.

The only strange number is Gallup approval.  Gallup tracking is 48/48.
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Cliffy
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« Reply #10223 on: October 10, 2012, 08:55:48 pm »

Don't get too excited over Gallups approval.  It's highly suspect due to increased non white voter percent.  A 6.6% increase over the record 2008 level (and 4.9% jump week-over-week).   So if you belive that'll happen this election by all means enjoy Gallup's poll.  

End of september the % of non white vote was 25.7% in Gallup's poll and in September overall had averaged right around 27%.  October they jumped it up to 30.6%.


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J. J.
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« Reply #10224 on: October 11, 2012, 08:44:27 am »
« Edited: October 12, 2012, 08:41:38 am by J. J. »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 51%, +2.

Disapprove 49%, -1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 30%, -4.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  41%, -2.

Head to head is at 48/47  Obama (+1)/Romney (-1).


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