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  The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1028317 times)
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change08
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« Reply #1225 on: June 24, 2009, 01:29:51 pm »

Texas (Texas Lyceum)Sad

68% Approve
29% Disapprove


How the hell is that possible? Shocked
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1226 on: June 24, 2009, 01:30:28 pm »

Texas (Texas Lyceum)Sad

68% Approve
29% Disapprove


How the hell is that possible? Shocked

They only polled hippies ...
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DariusNJ
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« Reply #1227 on: June 24, 2009, 01:31:15 pm »

Texas (Texas Lyceum)Sad

68% Approve
29% Disapprove

We interviewed Texas adults during the June 5-12 period, talking to 860 adults, 51% female, and 49% male. Three out of four said they are registered voters.

About a third of the respondents (32%) are identified as Hispanic, 11% as African American, and 54% as White.

More respondents (46%) identified themselves as Independents than as Republicans (25%) or Democrats (28%). More of those who don't identify with a party said they lean Republican (29%) than lean Democrat (22%).

Asked about their political outlook, more consider themselves Conservative (46%) than as Moderate (35%) or Liberal (19%).

http://www.texaslyceum.org/media/staticContent/PubCon_Journals/2009/TexasLyceum2009Poll_ExecutiveSummary_2010RacesAndApprovalRatings.pdf

LOL, thats an outlier. The only way Texas gives Obama a 68% approval rating is if Obama is at 75-80% approval nationwide.

The NJ, NY, and OH polls look about right.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1228 on: June 24, 2009, 01:39:10 pm »

North Carolina (InsiderAdvantage)Sad

50% "favorable opinion of his job performance"
37% "unfavorable opinion of his job performance"

The InsiderAdvantage poll of 894 registered voters in North Carolina, weighted for age, race, gender, and political affiliation, was conducted Monday night, June 22 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3%.

http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/storylink_624_916.aspx
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #1229 on: June 24, 2009, 01:43:10 pm »


What are you talking about? Obama is obviously just as popular in Texas as he is in New York!
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #1230 on: June 24, 2009, 02:47:32 pm »

For the Nevada poll, remember that Mason-Dixon had very Republican numbers in 2008, especially in Nevada, where their last poll was something like 9 points off and they had polls with McCain ahead by high single digits earlier in the summer.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #1231 on: June 24, 2009, 03:25:50 pm »

The Texas poll is obviously an outlier.
But then again so are probably the Nevada and Arizona ones.
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Hash
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« Reply #1232 on: June 24, 2009, 03:31:12 pm »

Obama *probably* takes Idaho come 2012. If you disagree, you have no grasp on reality.


Haha, what a hack. Obama obviously takes Idaho.
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Rowan
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« Reply #1233 on: June 24, 2009, 05:20:19 pm »

Florida(Rasmussen)

Approve 46%
Disapprove 50%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_2010/election_2010_state_toplines/florida/toplines_election_2010_florida_senate_june_22_2009
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #1234 on: June 24, 2009, 05:33:03 pm »
« Edited: June 24, 2009, 05:47:04 pm by pbrower2a »

Of course the poll for Idaho is a surprise. Nobody expected Idaho to ever give anywhere near a 50/50 divide of approval and disapproval. The state won't vote for Obama except in a landslide reminiscent of LBJ in 1964 or Reagan in 1984. But that Idaho could be close at this point suggests big trouble for the GOP.

You're suggesting that Idaho could be close?

lol

Disapproval is larger than approval. But it's consistent with a poll in Utah a few months back. Obama just might not lose Idaho by a large double-digit margin in 2012.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #1235 on: June 24, 2009, 05:38:56 pm »



New polls, some weird.



Go figure. Who is the Texas Lyceum? How could anyone poll a 68% approval rating for Obama in Texas when he slips below 50% in Florida?   
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StatesRights
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« Reply #1236 on: June 24, 2009, 05:39:43 pm »

Florida is in bad shape right now. Apparently Crist hugging Obama hasn't helped either here.
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5280
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« Reply #1237 on: June 24, 2009, 09:11:16 pm »
« Edited: June 24, 2009, 09:23:26 pm by MagneticFree »



New polls, some weird.



Go figure. Who is the Texas Lyceum? How could anyone poll a 68% approval rating for Obama in Texas when he slips below 50% in Florida?   


According to Obama's approval ratings map, this is the 2012 election map I came up with an average Republican opponent.  It's only speculation.

The closer to dark green, Obama wins that state.  Light green and yellow, Republicans win that.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #1238 on: June 24, 2009, 11:33:03 pm »


No
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1239 on: June 25, 2009, 12:15:58 am »


Indeed.

Obama does 9% worse compared with the US (55%), but got only 2% less in the election ?

Unlikely ...
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Zarn
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« Reply #1240 on: June 25, 2009, 10:06:52 am »

Not at all. All that needs to happen is that he goes up elsewhere, or remains relatively stable elsewhere.
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minionofmidas - supplemental forum account
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« Reply #1241 on: June 25, 2009, 12:16:10 pm »


What are you talking about? Obama is obviously just as popular in Texas as he is in New York!
The people they polled claim to have voted for McCain by five points and John Cornyn by two. IIRC that's not quite how the elections turned out.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1242 on: June 25, 2009, 01:13:49 pm »

Good news on the national front today:

Rasmussen:

56% Approve (+1)
44% Disapprove (nc)

Gallup:

61% Approve (+1)
32% Disapprove (-2)
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Edu
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« Reply #1243 on: June 25, 2009, 01:19:22 pm »

THE SANFORD BUMP!!!11!!!!1!!



Tongue
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1244 on: June 25, 2009, 01:20:51 pm »

Pennsylvania (F&M)Sad

55% Excellent/Good
44% Fair/Poor

56% Favorable
27% Unfavorable

The survey findings presented in this release are based on the results of interviews conducted June 16-21, 2009. The data included in this release represent the responses of 580 adult residents of Pennsylvania. The sample error for this survey is +/- 4.1 percent.

http://edisk.fandm.edu/FLI/keystone/pdf/June%202009%20Franklin%20and%20Marshall%20College%20Poll%20Release.pdf
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DariusNJ
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« Reply #1245 on: June 25, 2009, 04:08:49 pm »

Pennsylvania (F&M)Sad

55% Excellent/Good
44% Fair/Poor

56% Favorable
27% Unfavorable

The survey findings presented in this release are based on the results of interviews conducted June 16-21, 2009. The data included in this release represent the responses of 580 adult residents of Pennsylvania. The sample error for this survey is +/- 4.1 percent.

http://edisk.fandm.edu/FLI/keystone/pdf/June%202009%20Franklin%20and%20Marshall%20College%20Poll%20Release.pdf

Pretty good approval ratings, considering that they included the "fair" option. I hate when they do that, it doesn't give us a clear picture. Ask if they approve or disapprove, much simpler in my opinion.

It looks like Obama's approval ratings in the Rust Belt are holding up well.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #1246 on: June 25, 2009, 08:01:11 pm »
« Edited: June 26, 2009, 05:24:39 pm by pbrower2a »

I modified the Nevada poll to give preference to a "favorable/unfavorable" rating.



Current projection, and oh can it change!



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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1247 on: June 25, 2009, 11:59:27 pm »

Oregon (R2000/DailyKos)Sad

62% Favorable
31% Unfavorable

The Research 2000 Oregon Poll was conducted from June 22 through June 24, 2009. A total of 600 likely voters who vote regularly in state elections were interviewed statewide by telephone.

http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/6/24/OR/312
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #1248 on: June 26, 2009, 12:06:33 am »


lol
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MagneticFree
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« Reply #1249 on: June 26, 2009, 12:46:17 am »




Current projection, and oh can it change!


Why is Montana pink along with the Dakota's?  Montana hasn't been polled yet neither has ND.
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