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  The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1022293 times)
J. J.
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« Reply #125 on: April 01, 2010, 01:45:44 pm »

50% (u), 42% (-1), on Gallup.
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J. J.
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« Reply #126 on: April 02, 2010, 08:39:28 am »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46% -1

Disapprove 53% u


"Strongly Approve" is at 31%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, u.


Basically, Obamacare slightly improved Obama's approval numbers and did boost his "Strongly Approve" numbers.  It rallied the base.
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J. J.
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« Reply #127 on: April 03, 2010, 09:35:09 am »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46% u

Disapprove 53% u


"Strongly Approve" is at 32%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, u.


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J. J.
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« Reply #128 on: April 03, 2010, 03:20:16 pm »

Obama's numbers "Gallup" lower. Wink

Approve 48% -2

Disapprove 45% +2

In all seriousness, it looks like the standard "wobble."  His numbers have ranged Approve 46%-50%, Disapproved 43%-46%.

I didn't know Zogby owned Gallup?  Wink
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J. J.
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« Reply #129 on: April 04, 2010, 11:59:22 am »

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46% u

Disapprove 53% u


"Strongly Approve" is at 32%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, +1.


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J. J.
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« Reply #130 on: April 05, 2010, 08:34:30 am »

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 49% +3

Disapprove 53% -2


"Strongly Approve" is at 34%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, u.


My guess would be a bad sample, but we'll see.
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J. J.
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« Reply #131 on: April 05, 2010, 02:21:22 pm »

The horror scenario for Republicans concerning 2012 is taking shape.



Actually, Obama is 48% (u), 46% (+1) on Gallup.

I really think that both of these are just bad samples.
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J. J.
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« Reply #132 on: April 06, 2010, 08:39:56 am »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48% -1

Disapprove 51% u


"Strongly Approve" is at 32%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, +1.



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J. J.
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« Reply #133 on: April 06, 2010, 01:41:33 pm »

Gallup Obama

Approve: 49% +1

Disapprove: 46% (u)
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J. J.
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« Reply #134 on: April 07, 2010, 09:29:05 am »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48% u

Disapprove 52% +1


"Strongly Approve" is at 31%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, u.



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J. J.
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« Reply #135 on: April 07, 2010, 04:05:05 pm »


Gallup Obama

Approve: 50% +1

Disapprove: 45% -1
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J. J.
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« Reply #136 on: April 08, 2010, 08:50:49 am »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47% -1

Disapprove 53% +1


"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, -3.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, u.

It appears that that high Obama sample has dropped off.
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J. J.
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« Reply #137 on: April 08, 2010, 03:53:47 pm »


Gallup Obama

Approve: 49% -1

Disapprove: 46% +1



To give some perspective:

Reagan had a 46% disapproval at roughly this point, with a 45% approval.  Carter had 48% approval and 39% disapproval on the monthlies.
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J. J.
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« Reply #138 on: April 09, 2010, 08:54:19 am »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48% +1

Disapprove 52% -1


"Strongly Approve" is at 29%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 43%, +1.

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J. J.
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« Reply #139 on: April 09, 2010, 09:20:41 pm »



Gallup Obama

Approve: 49% u

Disapprove: 46% u

The horse is hobbled today. 

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J. J.
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« Reply #140 on: April 10, 2010, 12:04:45 pm »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48% u

Disapprove 52% u


"Strongly Approve" is at 29%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, -1.

Interestingly, both Gallup and Rasmussen show very stable numbers.

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J. J.
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« Reply #141 on: April 10, 2010, 04:58:54 pm »

Gallup

47% approve (-2)

48% disapprove (+2)

I would guess a bad sample.
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J. J.
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« Reply #142 on: April 11, 2010, 08:42:54 am »



Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47% -1

Disapprove 53% +1


"Strongly Approve" is at 30%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 43%, +1.

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J. J.
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« Reply #143 on: April 11, 2010, 01:12:15 pm »

The -3 net has to be his lowest approval to date on Gallup, correct?

Yes, and I still expect it's caused a bad sample.  If there is a still a problem by Tuesday-Wednesday, it might be something more.

There has been, arguably, some slight downward movement in Rasmussen, but well within the MOE.
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J. J.
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« Reply #144 on: April 11, 2010, 05:50:09 pm »

Not going to have a chance to put up the Rasmussen numbers now, but the national numbers for both 3 poll/1 poll = 48% Approval, 51% Disapproval.

As for state polls without Rasmussen, I'll put that up later.  Its extrapolation is going to probably be 47% Approval, 47% Disapproval, unless something expected occurs in my maths.

Rasmussen has been reasonably stable, with a pickup in the "strongly approve" numbers.  "Approve" is arguably slightly better.
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J. J.
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« Reply #145 on: April 11, 2010, 10:20:13 pm »

This is the map that goes with Sam's first chart: Blue is tie, Red Disapprove and Green Approve.



Even prior to redistricting, giving Obama the ties, and giving all the unpolled states except WV and MS, he ends up 198 EV's.  With redistricting, they may be net loss of 4-6 EV's.
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J. J.
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« Reply #146 on: April 12, 2010, 09:18:50 am »



Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48% +1

Disapprove 52% -2


"Strongly Approve" is at 31%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, -1.

A slight shift and opposite direction from Gallup.

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J. J.
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« Reply #147 on: April 13, 2010, 09:24:28 pm »



Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 49% +1

Disapprove 50% -1


"Strongly Approve" is at 31%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, -1.

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J. J.
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« Reply #148 on: April 13, 2010, 09:33:49 pm »




Gallup Obama

Approve: 46% +1

Disapprove: 46% -2

Bad sample dropping off?

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J. J.
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« Reply #149 on: April 14, 2010, 09:36:45 am »



Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 50% +1

Disapprove 49% -1


"Strongly Approve" is at 32%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 40%, -1.


This is the first time Obama's positive number were ahead of his negative since 2/3/10.

It could be a bad sample.
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