The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread (user search)
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  The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1205783 times)
J. J.
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« Reply #1475 on: September 07, 2012, 04:35:13 PM »

The convention bump, IT HAS BEGUN!

As far as I can tell this is the highest Gallup has had him since he got that bump from killing Osama bin Laden.

Or a bad sample.

I'd prefer to wait 2-3 more days.
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J. J.
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« Reply #1476 on: September 07, 2012, 04:37:26 PM »

It was a +1/-1 shift in the horse race numbers today.
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J. J.
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« Reply #1477 on: September 07, 2012, 08:18:37 PM »

Because Gallup uses a rolling sample, the convention boom hasn't even fully kicked in yet. This could be huge.

That is why I'm saying to wait for a few days.
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J. J.
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« Reply #1478 on: September 08, 2012, 01:38:01 PM »




Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 49%, +2.

Disapprove 50%, -2.

"Strongly Approve" is at 30%, +3.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  44%, u.


This looks like the bump.  The strongly approve number is the highest it has been since 1/31/11.
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J. J.
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« Reply #1479 on: September 08, 2012, 01:40:38 PM »



http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve: 52% u

Disapprove: 43% -1


Could someone get both of these on Monday and Tuesday?
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J. J.
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« Reply #1480 on: September 09, 2012, 09:19:16 AM »





Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 52%, +2.

Disapprove 47%, -3.

"Strongly Approve" is at 32%, +2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  42%, -1.

Definite bounce, and it might be higher tomorrow.

(And could somebody else get Monday and Tuesday's numbers.)
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J. J.
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« Reply #1481 on: September 09, 2012, 12:23:37 PM »

This is a three day average, and they still have one pre-speech sample.  Keep you power dry folks.  We won't know until Tuesday (and I won't be available) or Wednesday on this one.
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J. J.
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« Reply #1482 on: September 10, 2012, 08:47:41 AM »





Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 52%, u.

Disapprove 47%, u.

"Strongly Approve" is at 32%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  41%, -1.

The bounce has probably peaked at 5 points.

Could someone else get the numbers until Wednesday?
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J. J.
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« Reply #1483 on: September 12, 2012, 08:45:10 AM »





Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 51%, -1.

Disapprove 48%, +1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, -2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  40%, u.

It's probably the bounce moving out.
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J. J.
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« Reply #1484 on: September 13, 2012, 08:48:46 AM »



Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48%, -2.

Disapprove 51%, +2.

"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  41%, +1.

Wow, Bain, it is avalanche, in reverse, or it's just the bounce dropping out.
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J. J.
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« Reply #1485 on: September 13, 2012, 11:23:18 AM »


It really makes no difference, since we are looking at changes in the same poll across time.  Any bias will be in a "good" Obama sample verses a "bad" Obama sample. 
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J. J.
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« Reply #1486 on: September 13, 2012, 01:05:57 PM »


http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve: 49%, -2

Disapprove: 42%, u

It is probably the bounce beginning to drop out.
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J. J.
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« Reply #1487 on: September 14, 2012, 09:00:03 AM »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48%, u.

Disapprove 52%, +1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  42%, +1.

I'd be waiting for Gallup to see it the "avalanche" is still rolling uphill

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J. J.
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« Reply #1488 on: September 14, 2012, 03:54:23 PM »
« Edited: September 14, 2012, 08:41:45 PM by J. J. »


http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve: 49%,

Disapprove: 43%, +1

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J. J.
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« Reply #1489 on: September 14, 2012, 03:55:52 PM »


It really makes no difference, since we are looking at changes in the same poll across time.  Any bias will be in a "good" Obama sample verses a "bad" Obama sample. 
IIRC, their September sample is R+4 while their previous samples were reasonable.

Again, it should not make a difference internally to the polls.  I'm also not sure about any +4.
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J. J.
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« Reply #1490 on: September 14, 2012, 08:42:10 PM »

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J. J.
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« Reply #1491 on: September 15, 2012, 08:41:01 AM »
« Edited: September 15, 2012, 09:10:53 AM by J. J. »

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 49%, +1

Disapprove 50%, -2.

"Strongly Approve" is at 29%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  42%, u.

The uphill avalanche might have stopped as well.

(I'll be photographing a parade this afternoon, so could someone else get Gallup's numbers.)
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J. J.
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« Reply #1492 on: September 15, 2012, 02:44:00 PM »


Thank you!
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J. J.
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Posts: 32,892
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« Reply #1493 on: September 16, 2012, 10:34:33 AM »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 50%, +1

Disapprove 49%, -1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 29%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  42%, u.

That is close.
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J. J.
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Posts: 32,892
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« Reply #1494 on: September 16, 2012, 12:05:36 PM »



http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve: 50%, +1


Disapprove: 44%, -1

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J. J.
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« Reply #1495 on: September 16, 2012, 05:35:47 PM »

50% in both tracking polls, not bad.

Actually, it is not great.  This is about 7-10 days after the DNC and there was no holding of the bounce.
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J. J.
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« Reply #1496 on: September 16, 2012, 07:22:31 PM »

^^lol

Anyway, your election rules already say that Romney has lost, so I don't know why we even need this thread anymore.

The corollary to J. J.'s First Rule is:  Never trust just one poll.  Trust several and remember that the electorate changes its mind quickly.

I'm looking at trending.
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J. J.
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Posts: 32,892
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« Reply #1497 on: September 17, 2012, 09:01:55 AM »



Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 49%, -1

Disapprove 50%, +1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  43%, +1.

That is close.
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J. J.
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Posts: 32,892
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« Reply #1498 on: September 17, 2012, 09:05:55 AM »

^^lol

Anyway, your election rules already say that Romney has lost, so I don't know why we even need this thread anymore.

The corollary to J. J.'s First Rule is:  Never trust just one poll.  Trust several and remember that the electorate changes its mind quickly.

I'm looking at trending.

Oh so the rule doesn't count if the candidate you support says he doesn't look at/trust the polls. Gotcha.

Well, by using the standard you used yesterday, Romney just won.  Roll Eyes
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J. J.
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Posts: 32,892
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« Reply #1499 on: September 17, 2012, 01:06:18 PM »


http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve: 50%, u


Disapprove: 44%, u


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