The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 49%, -1.

Disapprove 49%, -1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  41%, -1.

Head to head is at 50/47 Obama, and .

 On 10/1, Rasmussen started including leaners in their head to head numbers.  http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

[J. J.]

http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve: 47%, +1


Disapprove: 46%, u

This is probably due to the drop off of the post 47% comment.

Head to head, is still Obama 49% (-1), Romney 44% (u). 

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 49%, -1.

Disapprove 51%, +2.

"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  40%, -1.

Head to head is at 48/47 Obama.

 

[J. J.]

http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve: 48%, +1


Disapprove: 45%, -1

Head to head, is still Obama 50% (+1), Romney 44% (-1). 

[J. J.]

http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve: 48%, +1


Disapprove: 45%, -1

Head to head, is still Obama 50% (+1), Romney 44% (-1). 

People slightly remembered the 47% comment a little more today.

I'd give it another day.  The other polls are showing it closing.

[J. J.]

No, they're really not:

What chart you reading? Cos I see Romney up 0.2%!

Most of those are not tracking polls, but those are ones that show closing.

NBC's latest just made it Obama up by 3, with Romney gaining.

[J. J.]

What does whether or not a poll is a tracking poll have to do with anything? A poll is a poll?

And +5 on the NBC poll to +3 isn't significant movement.

There is a difference because trending is clearer, and a two point drop is significant.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 49%, u.

Disapprove 50%, -1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 29%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  41%, +1.

Head to head is at 49/47 Obama (+1).

 

[J. J.]

Gallup

Approve 50% (+2)
Disapprove 44% (-1)

The American people had a bad dream about the 47% comment Monday night.

And, at the same time:

Obama:  49, -1

Romney: 45, +1

Someplace in there is a really bad sample.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 49%, u.

Disapprove 49%, -1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 30%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  41%, u.

Head to head is at 49/47 Obama (u).

 

[J. J.]

Gallup

Approval-54(+4)
Disapproval-42(-2)

Don't expect that to last after the debate.

Those numbers are not in it.

Probably a bad sample.

The weekly numbers dropped to 48% at the same time.

Presidential numbers are:

49% Obama, 45% Romney (u).  Those numbers do not include the debate numbers.

[J. J.]

Gallup's daily number average for September 23-30 was 50.14%.  Their weekly tracking for the same period is 48% (and a decline of 1 point).  There is obviously some bad numbers in their someplace.

[J. J.]

One bit of good news is that the right direction/wrong track number on Rasmussen is 37/55.  37 is tied for the highest position in about 6 months.

[J. J.]

One bit of good news is that the right direction/wrong track number on Rasmussen is 37/55.  37 is tied for the highest position in about 6 months.

Yeah that is some great news!

Well, if you are being sarcastic, that is about as good as the news gets today.

[J. J.]

Can you name one GOP who would have been confident enough to support ANYTHING Obama did? This is the party that thinks Dick Lugar and Bob Bennett (and tried hard against Orin Hatch and John McCain) aren't conservative enough....

They didn't think that until 2009-10.  The GOP turned to the right, but that was a reaction, at least to an extent, of Obama's actions.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 50%,
+1.

Disapprove 48%, -1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 29%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  40%, -1.

Head to head is at 49/47 Obama (u).

 

[/quote]

[J. J.]

Is there a post-debate sample in there?

Partial.  1/3 was after the debate, but some of those didn't have full exposure.  Sunday and Monday's numbers will show the post debate in full.

[J. J.]

lol, nice debate bounce Mittens.

It is too early for a debate bounce, even on Rasmussen.  2/3 of the poll was conducted prior to the debate.

[J. J.]

How high do people expect the debate bounce to be?

Nate Silver gave it 2.2 points for Romney.

[J. J.]

Gallup

Approval-52(-2)
Disapproval-43(+1)

Head to head:

Obama:  50, +1

Romney:  45, u

I think there is obviously some bad numbers in there someplace.

[J. J.]

If Romney doesn't show at least a 3point bounce out of the debate then I feel this election is well over with. I mean come on. More than 67 million americans watch the debate and you destroyed Obama at the debate and the best you can do is less than 3 points? I may be too premature here. But after what I saw, I was ready to see huge jumps. Why isn't it happening? What is going on here? On CNN poll of undecided colorado voters, they overwhelmingly gave the win to Romney. Yet when asked who had made up their minds, 8 went for Romney and 8 went for Obama. This is crazy. Now the expectations are set that Romney will win the next debate, if Obama comes swinging, we will be back where we were at, a lead for Obama by 2%.

This electorate is so polarized. If by next week, Obama still leading, the pundits at Fox will be having a major fit.

Well if the CNN focus group is any indicator, perhaps Romney didn't win the debate.  He did win it among men easily, but I think Obama won again with women.   That could keep the numbers stagnant.

They did a focus group with "Walmart Moms."  Romney won the debate unanimously, according to them:  http://www.nationaljournal.com/politics/walmart-moms-romney-won-debate-but-many-still-undecided-20121004

[J. J.]

If Romney doesn't show at least a 3point bounce out of the debate then I feel this election is well over with. I mean come on. More than 67 million americans watch the debate and you destroyed Obama at the debate and the best you can do is less than 3 points? I may be too premature here. But after what I saw, I was ready to see huge jumps. Why isn't it happening? What is going on here? On CNN poll of undecided colorado voters, they overwhelmingly gave the win to Romney. Yet when asked who had made up their minds, 8 went for Romney and 8 went for Obama. This is crazy. Now the expectations are set that Romney will win the next debate, if Obama comes swinging, we will be back where we were at, a lead for Obama by 2%.

This electorate is so polarized. If by next week, Obama still leading, the pundits at Fox will be having a major fit.

Well if the CNN focus group is any indicator, perhaps Romney didn't win the debate.  He did win it among men easily, but I think Obama won again with women.   That could keep the numbers stagnant.

They did a focus group with "Walmart Moms."  Romney won the debate unanimously, according to them:  http://www.nationaljournal.com/politics/walmart-moms-romney-won-debate-but-many-still-undecided-20121004

All right. There are, unfortunately for the Romney campaign, undecided voters who are women other than 'Walmart Moms'.

Yes, but the Walmart Moms account for 14% of the electorate and about 20% (2.8% of the electorate) are Hispanic.

[J. J.]

The Senate may not be able to filibuster.

http://thehill.com/homenews/senate/186133-reid-triggers-nuclear-option-to-change-senate-rules-and-prohibit-post-cloture-filibusters

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 50%, u.

Disapprove 49%, +1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  41%, +1.

Head to head is at 49/47 Romney/Obama (+2/-2).

The numbers include 2/3 of a sample taken after the debate and 1/3 after the job numbers.  It might very well be ephemeral.

[J. J.]

Obama's not going to lose if his approval is at 50%. Especially against someone like Mitt Romney.

Well, we have seen something more pronounced on Gallup.  It might indicate shifting attitudes, or even a sense that Romney might be a better president.