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  The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1022994 times)
Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #25 on: November 20, 2009, 02:32:30 pm »

Gallup:

Approve - 49%
Disapprove - 44%
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #26 on: November 25, 2009, 09:46:26 pm »

I doubt his approval rating is that high in North Carolina now.
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #27 on: November 29, 2009, 10:59:36 am »

Interestingly, this thread already has the fourth highest number of posts of all time on Atlas.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=stats

Anyway, carry on....
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #28 on: November 29, 2009, 01:22:58 pm »

Gallup:

Approve - 51%
Disapprove - 41%
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #29 on: December 04, 2009, 02:57:10 pm »

All the polls are wrong. Obama has a 90% + approval rating in every state. He will win in a landslide.

Such applies to Alabama and Mississippi, but not quite so blatantly to South Carolina -- let alone Missouri or Virginia, which also have large African-American populations.

In 2005 the African-American population of South Carolina was about 30% (29.5%). Figure that about 15% of the population is white people who approve of Obama's performance as President.
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #30 on: December 07, 2009, 01:05:41 pm »

Gallup:

Approve - 47%
Disapprove - 46%
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #31 on: December 11, 2009, 08:11:35 pm »

I think that Obama is a joke of a President but he is good.


Regards,

Sarah Palin.
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #32 on: December 11, 2009, 09:18:13 pm »

Just because Obama is running higher the avg approval ratings in SC doesn't mean crap. SC has a high black population, so his approval ratings would be high.

I really don't get what this is supposed to mean. Pollsters generally know how to properly account for these things, certainly Rasmussen and PPP would.

I think his point(or at least mine) is that white Democrats are willing to disapprove of Obama while Black Democrats are not willing to do that. This makes his numbers here higher than in other southern states. Just a theory.

Yea, that is what I was trying to say. I have talk to alot of black folks and most of them just approve of Obama because he is black.

In depth discussions with both blacks you know, I'm sure.

Do you think most white people who disapprove of Obama do so because he's black?

You're kidding yourself if you think that any less than at least 1/4 of blacks don't approve of Obama solely because of his race.

John Kerry, a white man, won about 90% of the black vote in 2004.
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #33 on: December 11, 2009, 09:50:25 pm »

Just because Obama is running higher the avg approval ratings in SC doesn't mean crap. SC has a high black population, so his approval ratings would be high.

I really don't get what this is supposed to mean. Pollsters generally know how to properly account for these things, certainly Rasmussen and PPP would.

I think his point(or at least mine) is that white Democrats are willing to disapprove of Obama while Black Democrats are not willing to do that. This makes his numbers here higher than in other southern states. Just a theory.

Yea, that is what I was trying to say. I have talk to alot of black folks and most of them just approve of Obama because he is black.

In depth discussions with both blacks you know, I'm sure.

Do you think most white people who disapprove of Obama do so because he's black?

You're kidding yourself if you think that any less than at least 1/4 of blacks don't approve of Obama solely because of his race.

And what would the results have been if it had been Kerry vs Obama?
John Kerry, a white man, won about 90% of the black vote in 2004.

You answered your own question with my previous post. Very unique.
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #34 on: December 18, 2009, 08:45:31 pm »

Michigan was considered a toss up state on election day in 2000, but Gore won by a bigger margin than expected. On election day in 2004, it was considered to be fairly safely Kerry, but he won it by a narrower margin than expected.

I know this is a bit off-topic, but since we are talking about Michigan....

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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #35 on: December 22, 2009, 06:16:35 pm »
« Edited: December 22, 2009, 06:18:23 pm by Paulisdabest »

Someone credible and objective needs to start making a map, this guy is just unbelievable.

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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #36 on: December 22, 2009, 06:36:03 pm »

pbrower, are you seriously not going to change CO because you don't like that poll?

1. No black people were interviewed

2. No gay people were interviewed

3. I love Obama, so screw you
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #37 on: December 22, 2009, 06:42:59 pm »

Can you imagine what Pbrower will be like during the campaign....?
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #38 on: December 28, 2009, 10:50:58 pm »

Its nice to see after a solid year of bitchin and moanin about Pbrowers maps that someone finally actually stepped up and did one of their own instead of continuing to just complain.

Now the farce has been exposed. With Pbrower's rampant bias removed and replaced with other posters biases we see the map has radically flipped....Colorado which Pbrower himself switched after a delay of nearly <gasp) 48 hours.

Great job!

The Free Market at its finest.

What "Free Market"?
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #39 on: December 29, 2009, 11:39:00 am »

Its nice to see after a solid year of bitchin and moanin about Pbrowers maps that someone finally actually stepped up and did one of their own instead of continuing to just complain.

Now the farce has been exposed. With Pbrower's rampant bias removed and replaced with other posters biases we see the map has radically flipped....Colorado which Pbrower himself switched after a delay of nearly <gasp) 48 hours.

Great job!

The Free Market at its finest.

What has it got to do with the "market" anyway?
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #40 on: December 29, 2009, 03:50:16 pm »
« Edited: December 29, 2009, 03:52:16 pm by Paulisdabest »

Its nice to see after a solid year of bitchin and moanin about Pbrowers maps that someone finally actually stepped up and did one of their own instead of continuing to just complain.

Now the farce has been exposed. With Pbrower's rampant bias removed and replaced with other posters biases we see the map has radically flipped....Colorado which Pbrower himself switched after a delay of nearly <gasp) 48 hours.

Great job!

The Free Market at its finest.

What has it got to do with the "market" anyway?

Oh my, it seems as though you couldn't read the post I quoted.  You might need to get your monitor checked out.

Rob gives a nice, terse explanation that you should find satisfactory.  I mean, it's not as though your recent conversion was half-hearted or anything, right?

I'm an atheist. I have no heart.
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #41 on: December 30, 2009, 03:26:32 pm »
« Edited: December 30, 2009, 03:32:43 pm by Paulisdabest »

Its nice to see after a solid year of bitchin and moanin about Pbrowers maps that someone finally actually stepped up and did one of their own instead of continuing to just complain.

Now the farce has been exposed. With Pbrower's rampant bias removed and replaced with other posters biases we see the map has radically flipped....Colorado which Pbrower himself switched after a delay of nearly <gasp) 48 hours.

Great job!

The Free Market at its finest.

What has it got to do with the "market" anyway?

Oh my, it seems as though you couldn't read the post I quoted.  You might need to get your monitor checked out.

Rob gives a nice, terse explanation that you should find satisfactory.  I mean, it's not as though your recent conversion was half-hearted or anything, right?

I'm an atheist. I have no heart.

Religion isn't what you claimed to have converted to.

Political ideologies are religions, more or less.
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #42 on: January 02, 2010, 08:00:20 pm »

New polls today:



Obama is slipping some -- probably because he is out of the country.



Expect to see more yellow on that map within 6 to 12 months.

Sure....
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #43 on: February 14, 2010, 02:43:34 pm »

Zogby Poll:

Approve - 31%
Disapprove - 64%

Obama to announce resignation on 22/06/10.
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #44 on: June 28, 2010, 01:11:17 pm »


lolwut
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #45 on: July 29, 2010, 11:12:31 pm »

FOX News: 43-50

Congressional Ballot: 47R-36D

Sample: 41R, 37D, 16I

http://www.foxnews.com/projects/pdf/072910_ObamaElections.pdf

Interesting:

Obama loses among Independents in this poll by 36-56, but he was leading in the Ipsos poll by double-digits.

FoX Propaganda Channel must be assuming a huge D-to-R shift of voters even when the GOP isn't gaining much respect.

Garbage in, garbage out.

If that is garbage, then your entire 'model' and 'age wave' is less than the trash sitting at a city dump.

I know i've said this before, but....stop trolling.
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #46 on: August 14, 2010, 02:28:54 pm »

Gallup:

43% Approve
48% Disapprove

A new low.
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #47 on: August 16, 2010, 12:26:25 pm »

Maine State Survey of 500 Likely Voters
Conducted August 12, 2010
By Rasmussen Reports

 

1* How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

  

   30% Strongly approve
   24% Somewhat approve
     8% Somewhat disapprove
   38% Strongly disapprove
     0% Not sure

Maine is fairly homogeneous in its voting, so trying to figure which district would give him 56% of the vote is a quibble.




Key:


<40% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Orange (50% if 60%-69% or higher disapproval, 90% if >70%)
40-43% with Disapproval Higher: 50% Yellow  
44% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Yellow  
45-49% with Disapproval Higher: 30% Yellow  
<50% with Approval Equal: 10% Yellow (really white)

<50%  Approval greater: 30% Green
50-55%: 40% Green
56-59%: 60% Green
60%+: 80% Green
DC, what else could you expect?


Months (All polls are from 2010):

A -  January     G -  July
B -  February   H -  August
C -  March        I -  September
D -  April          J  -  October
E -  May           K -  November
F -   June         L -   December

 

S - suspect poll (examples for such a qualification: strange crosstabs, likely inversion of the report (for inversions, only for polls above 55% or below 45%...  let's say Vermont 35% approval or Oklahoma 65% approval), or more than 10% undecided. Anyone who suggests that a poll is suspect must explain why it is suspect.

Partisan polls and polls for special interests (trade associations, labor unions, ethnic associations) are excluded.

Z- no recent poll




District of Columbia, assumed to be about a 90% win for Obama, 3
deep red                  Obama 10% margin or greater  142
medium red              Obama, 5-9.9% margin  57
pale red                   Obama, margin under 5% 96
white                        too close to call  43
pale blue                  Republican  under 5%  33
medium blue             Republican  5-9.9% margin  25
deep blue                 Republican over 10% 149



44% approval is roughly the break-even  point (50/50) for an incumbent's win.  I add 6% for approval between 40% and 46%, 5% at 46%, 4% between 47% and 50%, 3% for 51%, 2% for 52% or 53%, 1% for 54% and nothing above 55% or below 40% for an estimate of the vote.

 This model applies only to incumbents, who have plenty of advantages unless they are demonstrable failures.

......
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #48 on: August 17, 2010, 12:16:21 pm »

Gallup:

Approve - 42% (NC)
Disapprove - 51% (+1)
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #49 on: August 17, 2010, 12:23:28 pm »

IL- PPP (D)

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack
Obama’s job performance?
Approve................. 49%
Disapprove............ 46%
Not sure ................ 5%

At first, I thought that was a national poll.

Below 50% in his home state...not good.
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