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  The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1016173 times)
Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #3450 on: January 03, 2010, 05:46:43 pm »

In Michigan Obama Approval Rating
55% Disapprove
44% Approve

Do you have a source?

Also, welcome to the forum Smiley

With numbers like that, it's probably a Rasmussen, Zogby or something.  I just have a hard time believing -11 in Michigan...

EPIC-MRI - a local Michigan poling company out of Lansing - I find them to be pretty accurate for election polling.  Not sure about approval rating polls though.

Ah, alright, thanks for the reference.  I've personally never heard of that polling agency.

They only do Michigan polls, but they're the main Michigan polling company (at least non-partisan company, that is).

I remember them from both 2006 and the 2008 Republican primaries.

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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #3451 on: January 03, 2010, 05:48:28 pm »

In Michigan Obama Approval Rating
55% Disapprove
44% Approve

Do you have a source?

Also, welcome to the forum Smiley

With numbers like that, it's probably a Rasmussen, Zogby or something.  I just have a hard time believing -11 in Michigan...

EPIC-MRI - a local Michigan poling company out of Lansing - I find them to be pretty accurate for election polling.  Not sure about approval rating polls though.

Ah, alright, thanks for the reference.  I've personally never heard of that polling agency.

They only do Michigan polls, but they're the main Michigan polling company (at least non-partisan company, that is).

I remember them from both 2006 and the 2008 Republican primaries.



2006 primary for what?
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CJK
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« Reply #3452 on: January 03, 2010, 06:03:10 pm »

Obama approval average for 2009 (gallup):

58% approve

34% disapprove

Trends for comparison:

Carter: 62/20 (1977)

Reagan: 57/28 (1981)

Bush I: 64/17 (1989)

Clinton: 49/41 (1993)

Bush II 56/31 (2001, before 9/11)
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Psychic Octopus
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« Reply #3453 on: January 03, 2010, 06:16:05 pm »

The Michigan poll is probably an outlier, but Obama probably has net negatives there.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #3454 on: January 03, 2010, 06:32:14 pm »

In Michigan Obama Approval Rating
55% Disapprove
44% Approve

Do you have a source?

Also, welcome to the forum Smiley

With numbers like that, it's probably a Rasmussen, Zogby or something.  I just have a hard time believing -11 in Michigan...

EPIC-MRI - a local Michigan poling company out of Lansing - I find them to be pretty accurate for election polling.  Not sure about approval rating polls though.

Ah, alright, thanks for the reference.  I've personally never heard of that polling agency.

They only do Michigan polls, but they're the main Michigan polling company (at least non-partisan company, that is).

I remember them from both 2006 and the 2008 Republican primaries.



2006 primary for what?

2006 midterms and the 2008 Republican Primaries.


That better?
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #3455 on: January 03, 2010, 06:40:20 pm »

In Michigan Obama Approval Rating
55% Disapprove
44% Approve

Do you have a source?

Also, welcome to the forum Smiley

With numbers like that, it's probably a Rasmussen, Zogby or something.  I just have a hard time believing -11 in Michigan...

EPIC-MRI - a local Michigan poling company out of Lansing - I find them to be pretty accurate for election polling.  Not sure about approval rating polls though.

Ah, alright, thanks for the reference.  I've personally never heard of that polling agency.

They only do Michigan polls, but they're the main Michigan polling company (at least non-partisan company, that is).

I remember them from both 2006 and the 2008 Republican primaries.

     Yeah I remember them too. They only poll one state, but they seem to be fairly prolific nevertheless.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #3456 on: January 05, 2010, 09:47:33 am »

Massachusetts (Rasmussen)Sad

57% Approve
42% Disapprove

(Gov. Deval Patrick)

41% Approve
57% Disapprove

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in Massachusetts was conducted by Rasmussen Reports January 4, 2010. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/massachusetts/toplines/toplines_massachusetts_special_election_january_4_2010
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #3457 on: January 05, 2010, 09:54:57 am »

On the national level, Rasmussen now has him at:

49% Approve
51% Disapprove

His best rating since early December.

Don't know if the 5-point-increase has more to do with the holidays (people are more relaxed about politicians) or with the fact that Rasmussen was hammered in the news and now he`s "upping" the numbers to make them more in line with other polls.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #3458 on: January 05, 2010, 10:08:44 am »
« Edited: January 05, 2010, 03:54:15 pm by pbrower2a »

Massachusetts. First poll of 2010 (letter A) :



Colorado and Florida are averages. Louisiana is excellent-good-fair-poor.

Key:


<40% with Disapproval Higher: 70% Yellow (90% if 60% or higher disapproval)
40-44% with Disapproval Higher: 50% Yellow  
45-49% with Disapproval Higher: 30% Yellow
<50% with Approval Equal: 10% Yellow (really white)

<50%  Approval greater: 30% Green
51-55%: 40% Green
56-60%: 60% Green
>60%: 80% Green


Months:

A -  January     G -  July
B -  February   H -  August
C -  March        I -  September
D -  April          J  -  October
E -  May           K -  November
F -   June         L -   December

S - suspect poll (examples for such a qualification: strange crosstabs, likely inversion of the report (for inversions, only for polls above 55% or below 45%...  let's say Vermont 35% approval or Oklahoma 65% approval). Anyone who suggests that a poll is suspect must explain why it is suspect.

Z- no recent poll (maximum 180 days) before December 1, 2009 except Maryland and Montana (November), which rarely get polled.

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Rowan
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« Reply #3459 on: January 05, 2010, 10:43:04 am »

Updated with Massachusetts.


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« Reply #3460 on: January 05, 2010, 12:30:31 pm »


Keep up the good work
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J. J.
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« Reply #3461 on: January 05, 2010, 02:24:55 pm »

On the national level, Rasmussen now has him at:

49% Approve
51% Disapprove

His best rating since early December.

Don't know if the 5-point-increase has more to do with the holidays (people are more relaxed about politicians) or with the fact that Rasmussen was hammered in the news and now he`s "upping" the numbers to make them more in line with other polls.

Or, it is a band sample size.  I think some of those numbers, like the 56% disapproval were just a bad sample (which is the reason I didn't mention it).
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« Reply #3462 on: January 05, 2010, 07:51:11 pm »

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Psychic Octopus
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« Reply #3463 on: January 05, 2010, 07:52:44 pm »

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Psychic Octopus
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« Reply #3464 on: January 05, 2010, 07:53:54 pm »

Personally, I used Pollster for polling. It actually has him at net-disapprove, somehow.

But, all Democrats should follow Rasmussen and all Republicans should follow Gallup.
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« Reply #3465 on: January 06, 2010, 12:36:41 pm »

Connecticut - 54-38

PPP - http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_CT_106925424.pdf
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Rowan
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« Reply #3466 on: January 06, 2010, 12:50:08 pm »
« Edited: January 06, 2010, 01:30:55 pm by RowanBrandon »

Connecticut gets a little lighter.


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Rowan
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« Reply #3467 on: January 06, 2010, 01:46:56 pm »

AR(Rasmussen)

Approve 38%
Disapprove 61%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/toplines/toplines_2010_arkansas_senate_race_january_5_2010

No change to the color, just the date.



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Zarn
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« Reply #3468 on: January 06, 2010, 03:11:47 pm »

I would like to see new NJ (I know I'm being a little greedy), WI, and NM polls.

IN and AZ, too.

I find the NC and VA situation rather interesting. If one was off, I would guess NC, because of the following: OH, MI, PA, WI, IA. I would not expect these states to all be so negative with NC being lukewarm. Same thing with AZ.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #3469 on: January 06, 2010, 05:35:02 pm »
« Edited: January 07, 2010, 03:14:43 pm by pbrower2a »

I would like to see new NJ (I know I'm being a little greedy), WI, and NM polls.

IN and AZ, too.

I find the NC and VA situation rather interesting. If one was off, I would guess NC, because of the following: OH, MI, PA, WI, IA. I would not expect these states to all be so negative with NC being lukewarm. Same thing with AZ.

Obama seems to be doing unusually well in Louisiana and South Carolina; if those hold, then any Republican nominee will be in deep trouble.

I'd also like to see Florida, Georgia, and Tennessee as well. How about West Virginia?

Virginia negative for Obama and North Carolina positive? It could be a honeymoon for newly-elected GOP politicians in Virginia. Look how long Obama was sailing along with 60% approval ratings.

The screwy New Hampshire poll begs for a replacement.

I have just added another adjective for which "S" can apply -- "screwy".  
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Rowan
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« Reply #3470 on: January 07, 2010, 12:07:54 pm »

Colorado(Rasmussen)

Approve 45%
Disapprove 54%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/colorado/toplines/toplines_2010_colorado_governor_race_january_6_2010

Colorado becomes a little lighter. Slight improvement from the previous poll there.



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Rowan
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« Reply #3471 on: January 07, 2010, 01:16:23 pm »

Connecticut(Rasmussen)

Approve 56%
Disapprove 43%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/connecticut/toplines/toplines_election_2010_connecticut_senate_election_january_6_2010

Connecticut gets a little darker. The previous poll(PPP) had him at 54%.

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pbrower2a
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« Reply #3472 on: January 07, 2010, 03:12:21 pm »




Small state, but lots of electoral votes for its minuscule area (Connecticut). Arkansas and Colorado updated with no real change:




Senator Chris Dodd announced his impending retirement, so apparently an iffy Democratic Senate seat becomes less vulnerable in 2010.
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Poundingtherock
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« Reply #3473 on: January 08, 2010, 01:35:26 am »

Daily Kos/Research 2K

Favorable/Unfavorable

Obama 40/55

Obama won almost 45% of the vote there.
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Poundingtherock
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« Reply #3474 on: January 08, 2010, 01:36:23 am »

Here's the link to the North Dakota poll:

http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2010/1/6/ND/421
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