The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread (user search)
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  The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1213582 times)
Zarn
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« Reply #50 on: July 26, 2009, 12:12:55 PM »


Can Obama fail? Sure. His judgment could prove faulty, and his liberalism can conceivably go too far. He could be the recipient of some incredible misfortune. That said, his personality seems right for the role, and he gets much leeway after a bad President. Right now it seems just as likely that Obama will win re-election in an Eisenhower-style landslide or be defeated.
Take 100 electoral votes from Obama's 2008 victory and he ends up with 265 EV and a loss; add 100 and he ends up with 465 EV and a huge landslide.

You're a smart individual.

The changing demographics. The 18-29 voters. Part of that group that will, for Election 2012, move into 30-44 while new 18-29 voters emerge. The fact that all age groups except those 65 and over … voted, in Election 2008, for Barack Obama. Men, too. And, yet, reduced overall support in party indentification for the GOP who were exposed, via the Bush administration, for the empty shells they are…

Some people here are doing a whole lotta fantasizing. They're dreaming there's a movement back to Republican Party rule while the country is realigning against the GOP.




It's no longer Nov 2008.
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Zarn
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« Reply #51 on: July 28, 2009, 04:41:44 PM »


Droppin' steadily, then rising, then droppin' steadily again - it would seem

His approvals use to be much higher. What are you smoking?
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Zarn
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« Reply #52 on: August 10, 2009, 12:24:42 AM »

His numbers are currently right where they were when he was elected, right? I would think this is all to be expected. He is pushing the agenda he promised, so this is just all those Republicans that were drawn to Obama's personality, rather than his policy, returning where they really stand.

Panic only hits when he falls below 50% approval I would imagine.

No, his approvals were higher than his vote total.
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Zarn
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« Reply #53 on: August 16, 2009, 11:19:09 PM »

Snap shot trends are bad.

Use this. I actually posted it before.

http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/info-presapp0605-31.html

It shows you how much of an exception Clinton really is.
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Zarn
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« Reply #54 on: August 17, 2009, 08:31:31 AM »

They aren't, because presidents start out differently and undergo different circumstances.
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Zarn
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« Reply #55 on: August 17, 2009, 11:51:13 PM »

Funny that you then post the Washington Post.
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Zarn
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« Reply #56 on: August 17, 2009, 11:56:06 PM »

And another joke pollster...
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Zarn
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« Reply #57 on: August 18, 2009, 09:41:06 AM »

No, he wasn't... his approvals were higher.
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Zarn
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« Reply #58 on: August 18, 2009, 12:52:10 PM »

At this point, I think Obama's approval is somewhere in between Rasmussen and Gallup, tilting a little bit to Gallup....say, around Obama+7

Obama +7 (52-45)  is very close to the result of Election  2008. That's about 370 EV with the regional polarization of voting patterns that we now have.



No, it's not. His vote was around there. Approvals were higher. Some people approved of both him and McCain and voted for McCain.
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Zarn
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« Reply #59 on: August 19, 2009, 09:52:40 AM »

It's not misleading, if you take it into context.
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Zarn
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« Reply #60 on: August 22, 2009, 03:10:27 PM »

The problem is that you aren't basing it any any of the actual data coming out.
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Zarn
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« Reply #61 on: August 23, 2009, 03:45:15 PM »

There is no opponent campaigning, either.
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Zarn
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« Reply #62 on: August 27, 2009, 09:03:13 AM »

Don't you just love hacks...
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Zarn
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« Reply #63 on: August 27, 2009, 12:09:10 PM »

Gallup

Approve: 50%
Disapprove: 43%

Oh noes... Gallup was infiltrated by the fascist robot overlords of the Republican Party!!!
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Zarn
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« Reply #64 on: August 27, 2009, 11:46:21 PM »


Honestly, should you really be talking about anyone else? Honestly?

Are you calling me a hack? A hack for who exactly?
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Zarn
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« Reply #65 on: September 01, 2009, 10:12:14 AM »

Democratic Hawk is not going to blame Obama or his policies for his low rating.
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Zarn
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« Reply #66 on: September 17, 2009, 07:55:05 AM »

He doesn't care. He is just trying to make Obama look as good as possible.
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Zarn
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« Reply #67 on: September 17, 2009, 10:21:12 AM »

Right now, 22 states are in the "yellow."

Come on Obama. You can do it. Just 4 more. Wink

Although, Alaska, Mississippi, North Dakota, Wyoming, South Dakota, South Carolina, and Tennessee are all probably "yellow" right now.

DC, Vermont, and Maryland are likely "green."

I always saw yellow as a lukewarm color rather than a color of disapproval. The lukewarm people barely approve, and there is no color for that. They just get stuck with light green. Sad
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Zarn
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« Reply #68 on: September 17, 2009, 01:54:19 PM »

Virginia (Rasmussen)Sad

49% Approve
50% Disapprove

This statewide telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted by Rasmussen Reports September 16, 2009. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2009/virginia/toplines/toplines_virginia_governor_election_september_16_2009

*Sigh*

Don't you know that NJ and VA polls that have Obama below 50% don't count.

Hack!
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Zarn
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« Reply #69 on: September 18, 2009, 03:11:56 PM »

If you want maps, they you will have to make your own, instead of relying on the unreliable.
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Zarn
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« Reply #70 on: September 18, 2009, 06:27:10 PM »

I don't agree with prbrowers logic, but instead of getting mad about it, why not just make your own tracking map?

The Maine poll looks like an outlier, and so does the New Jersey one.

If Obama is at 50% nationwide, his approval will be positive in New Jersey. Obama isn't doing well among independents or Republicans, yet his favorables in Maine is 74% among independents and 35% among Republicans. Doesn't make sense.

Just exercise some common sense people, that's all I'm saying.

You are forgetting Corzine's impact and the fact that Obama is an open buddy of his.
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Zarn
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« Reply #71 on: September 18, 2009, 10:45:48 PM »

They are buddies. Why are you denying it?
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Zarn
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« Reply #72 on: September 19, 2009, 12:40:48 PM »

I'm registered  as a Republican...

Is there a problem?
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Zarn
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« Reply #73 on: September 20, 2009, 12:09:37 AM »

I'm registered  as a Republican...

Is there a problem?

Not at all tough guy, but why don't you change your registration on the forum?

Why do you care? What does this have anything to do with Corzine and Obama being political buddies?

I'm registered to the Republican Party to keep loonies like Lonegan from being on the ballot.
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Zarn
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« Reply #74 on: September 20, 2009, 09:56:57 AM »

Change your avatar. It would be for the best. Just ask Rowanbrandon how free he feels now.

No, this is for Iran.
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