Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
November 18, 2019, 10:55:58 am
News: 2020 Gubernatorial Predictions are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 241 242 243 244 245 [246] 247 248 249 250 251 ... 410 Print
Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1016012 times)
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,446
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6125 on: September 12, 2010, 08:19:27 pm »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46%, +4.

Disapprove 57%, -3.

"Strongly Approve" is at 30%, +3.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 43%, -3.


A bad sample has dropped out.

103% ?

It´s 46-54 (+4, -3).

Gallup is at 46-46 (+2, -2) today.

Some wild swings lately ...

Maybe something related to 9/11 remembrance?

9/11 is still a GOP "day". In view of the 9/12 Tea Party rallies, so is 9/12.

Hardly. 9/11 is an emotional day. Much more likely that Obama's approval goes up slightly in the wake of his speech.

I didn't know of any speeches today. If 2008 is any indication, the more that people hear President Obama, the more they like him.

Question: does he have any coattails? 
Logged
Eraserhead
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 42,858
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6126 on: September 12, 2010, 10:59:31 pm »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46%, +4.

Disapprove 57%, -3.

"Strongly Approve" is at 30%, +3.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 43%, -3.


A bad sample has dropped out.

103% ?

It´s 46-54 (+4, -3).

Gallup is at 46-46 (+2, -2) today.

Some wild swings lately ...

Maybe something related to 9/11 remembrance?

9/11 is still a GOP "day". In view of the 9/12 Tea Party rallies, so is 9/12.

Hardly. 9/11 is an emotional day. Much more likely that Obama's approval goes up slightly in the wake of his speech.

I didn't know of any speeches today. If 2008 is any indication, the more that people hear President Obama, the more they like him.

Question: does he have any coattails? 

Coattails? Really? Haha, maybe in like six states. Come on, dude. Stop trolling.
Logged
J. J.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 32,909
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6127 on: September 13, 2010, 09:57:13 am »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46%, u.

Disapprove 53%, -3.

"Strongly Approve" is at 29%, +3.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, -1.


Logged
Small Business Owner of Any Repute
Mr. Moderate
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13,447
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6128 on: September 13, 2010, 12:07:18 pm »

Question: does he have any coattails? 

I'd be oh-so-interested in hearing your take on these upcoming midterm elections.
Logged
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,446
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6129 on: September 13, 2010, 12:42:30 pm »

Question: does he have any coattails? 

I'd be oh-so-interested in hearing your take on these upcoming midterm elections.

Changing every day.
Logged
Small Business Owner of Any Repute
Mr. Moderate
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13,447
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6130 on: September 13, 2010, 12:56:17 pm »

Question: does he have any coattails? 

I'd be oh-so-interested in hearing your take on these upcoming midterm elections.

Changing every day.

Pick a day sometime.
Logged
Penelope
Scifiguy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,529
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6131 on: September 13, 2010, 02:19:54 pm »

Question: does he have any coattails? 

I'd be oh-so-interested in hearing your take on these upcoming midterm elections.

Changing every day.

Pick a day sometime.

Friday?
Logged
Dgov
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,558
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6132 on: September 13, 2010, 07:50:58 pm »

SUSA  Georgia: 35-61

http://www.13wmaz.com/news/breaking/story.aspx?storyid=90254&catid=4

(It's kind of buried in the lower section with a type, and SUSA doesn't yet have it on their site)
Logged
tmthforu94
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,078
United States


Political Matrix
E: 3.94, S: 1.35

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6133 on: September 13, 2010, 08:11:40 pm »

SUSA  Georgia: 35-61

http://www.13wmaz.com/news/breaking/story.aspx?storyid=90254&catid=4

(It's kind of buried in the lower section with a type, and SUSA doesn't yet have it on their site)
The most depressing part about this poll? Deal leads by 11. Sad
Logged
Yelnoc
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,015
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6134 on: September 13, 2010, 08:27:10 pm »

SUSA  Georgia: 35-61

http://www.13wmaz.com/news/breaking/story.aspx?storyid=90254&catid=4

(It's kind of buried in the lower section with a type, and SUSA doesn't yet have it on their site)
The most depressing part about this poll? Deal leads by 11. Sad
Sad

But I don't like Barnes Either.

Write-in: Mr. Potato Head
Logged
Dgov
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,558
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6135 on: September 14, 2010, 03:58:49 am »

SUSA  Georgia: 35-61

http://www.13wmaz.com/news/breaking/story.aspx?storyid=90254&catid=4

(It's kind of buried in the lower section with a type, and SUSA doesn't yet have it on their site)
The most depressing part about this poll? Deal leads by 11. Sad
Sad

But I don't like Barnes Either.

Write-in: Mr. Potato Head

Would you have preferred Handel?
Logged
Eraserhead
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 42,858
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6136 on: September 14, 2010, 04:11:55 am »

Deal is clearly filth.
Logged
Kalwejt
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 54,436


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6137 on: September 14, 2010, 06:42:53 am »


He's a good poster.
Logged
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,446
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6138 on: September 14, 2010, 08:37:43 am »
« Edited: September 14, 2010, 01:04:02 pm by pbrower2a »

Colorado Survey of 750 Likely Voters
Conducted September 12, 2010
By Rasmussen Reports

1* How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

    29% Strongly approve
    16% Somewhat approve
       7% Somewhat disapprove
    46% Strongly disapprove
       1% Not sure

Nevada State Survey of 750 Likely Voters

Conducted September 13, 2010

By Rasmussen Reports

 

1* How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

34% Strongly approve
12% Somewhat approve
  5% Somewhat disapprove
46% Strongly disapprove
  3% Not sure






Key:


<40% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Orange (50% if 60%-69% or higher disapproval, 90% if >70%); 90% red if >70%
40-43% with Disapproval Higher: 50% Yellow  
44% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Yellow  
45-49% with Disapproval Higher: 30% Yellow  
<50% with Approval Equal: 10% Yellow (really white)

<50%  Approval greater: 30% Green
50-55%: 40% Green
56-59%: 60% Green
60%+: 80% Green
DC, what else could you expect?


Months (All polls are from 2010):

A -  January     G -  July
B -  February   H -  August
C -  March        I -  September
D -  April          J  -  October
E -  May           K -  November
F -   June         L -   December

 

S - suspect poll (examples for such a qualification: strange crosstabs, likely inversion of the report (for inversions, only for polls above 55% or below 45%...  let's say Vermont 35% approval or Oklahoma 65% approval), or more than 10% undecided. Anyone who suggests that a poll is suspect must explain why it is suspect.

Partisan polls and polls for special interests (trade associations, labor unions, ethnic associations) are excluded.

Z- no recent poll

MY CURRENT PREDICTION OF THE 2012 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION:




District of Columbia, assumed to be about a 90% win for Obama, 3                  
deep red                  Obama 10% margin or greater  156
medium red              Obama, 5-9.9% margin   52
pale red                   Obama, margin under 5%  119
white                        too close to call  17
pale blue                  Republican  under 5%   23
medium blue             Republican  5-9.9% margin  52
deep blue                 Republican over 10%   114  



44% approval is roughly the break-even  point (50/50) for an incumbent's win.  I add 6% for approval between 40% and 46%, 5% at 46%, 4% between 47% and 50%, 3% for 51%, 2% for 52% or 53%, 1% for 54% and nothing above 55% or below 40% for an estimate of the vote.

 This model applies only to incumbents, who have plenty of advantages but not enough to rescue an unqualified failure.

......
Logged
J. J.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 32,909
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6139 on: September 14, 2010, 08:39:51 am »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47%, +1.

Disapprove 52%, -1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 29%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, -1.


Logged
Jbrase
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,008
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6140 on: September 14, 2010, 10:28:43 am »

Pbrower, You'll use a Geoprgia poll that is very unusualy high, but not one that is on par with the region, and close to what older polls had shown it at?
Logged
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,446
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6141 on: September 14, 2010, 10:34:45 am »

Pbrower, You'll use a Geoprgia poll that is very unusualy high, but not one that is on par with the region, and close to what older polls had shown it at?

SurveyUSA is way out of line with Rasmussen.

Logged
Jbrase
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,008
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6142 on: September 14, 2010, 10:59:50 am »
« Edited: September 14, 2010, 12:47:01 pm by Jbrase »

Pbrower, You'll use a Geoprgia poll that is very unusualy high, but not one that is on par with the region, and close to what older polls had shown it at?

SurveyUSA is way out of line with Rasmussen.


But that last poll kinda seemed way out of line with how the state had been trending in the polls and you still used it.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,700
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6143 on: September 14, 2010, 12:36:46 pm »

FOX News/Pulse Opinion Research (same company that polls for Rasmussen):

FL: 37-57
NV: 42-53
OH: 39-55
PA: 40-53
CA: 48-44

1000 Likely Voters in each state on Sept. 11

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2010/09/14/fox-news-polls-track-midterm-election-races-critical-states/
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,700
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6144 on: September 14, 2010, 01:05:34 pm »

CA, GA, FL, PA, NV, CO & OH


30%-39%-Dark Dark Red
40%-44%- Dark Red
45-49%- Red
tied - White
Under 50% approval but approval higher than disapproval- Yellow
50%-54%- Light Green
55%-59%- Green
60%+- Dark Green

CA = green plz
Logged
Jbrase
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,008
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6145 on: September 14, 2010, 01:07:16 pm »

oh, my bad.
Logged
Jbrase
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,008
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6146 on: September 14, 2010, 01:08:18 pm »

CA, GA, FL, PA, NV, CO & OH


30%-39%-Dark Dark Red
40%-44%- Dark Red
45-49%- Red
tied - White
Under 50% approval but approval higher than disapproval- Yellow
50%-54%- Light Green
55%-59%- Green
60%+- Dark Green
Logged
Special K
GWBFan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,291


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6147 on: September 14, 2010, 01:56:24 pm »

Handel would've been much better than Deal.  That, and she's an "in the closest" supporter of the homosexuals.  I voted for her in the primary.  Now that she's lost, (never thought I'd say this), my vote is most likely going to Barnes.  Deal is too risky.

SUSA  Georgia: 35-61

http://www.13wmaz.com/news/breaking/story.aspx?storyid=90254&catid=4

(It's kind of buried in the lower section with a type, and SUSA doesn't yet have it on their site)
The most depressing part about this poll? Deal leads by 11. Sad
Sad

But I don't like Barnes Either.

Write-in: Mr. Potato Head

Would you have preferred Handel?
Logged
Yelnoc
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,015
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6148 on: September 14, 2010, 04:10:27 pm »

SUSA  Georgia: 35-61

http://www.13wmaz.com/news/breaking/story.aspx?storyid=90254&catid=4

(It's kind of buried in the lower section with a type, and SUSA doesn't yet have it on their site)
The most depressing part about this poll? Deal leads by 11. Sad
Sad

But I don't like Barnes Either.

Write-in: Mr. Potato Head

Would you have preferred Handel?
Yes.  She isn't a crook.
Logged
Dgov
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,558
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6149 on: September 14, 2010, 04:22:03 pm »

PPP Released a National Poll:  Obama is 47-49 Approval

Interesting numbers include a Rebound for Obama with older voters, winning them 55-40 along with Young voters 61-34, but he gets crushed with the Boomers, 42-56.  Older Voters also approve of Obamacare by 48-40, so it's probably a bad sample.  Also, Hispanics only approve of Obamacare 50-45, which also might be a bad sample.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 241 242 243 244 245 [246] 247 248 249 250 251 ... 410 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC