The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45%

Disapprove 54%

Both numbers are unchanged.

"Strongly Approve" is at 27% +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, -1.

[J. J.]

I'd like to see this thing without Rasmussen.  Their polls are always more in favor of Republicans than anyone else's and no one objective thinks it's accidental.

Actually Rasmussen's bots were closer than Gallup in the last election.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46% (+1)

Disapprove 53% (-1)


"Strongly Approve" is at 27%, unchanged.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, +1.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45% (-1)

Disapprove 54% (+1)


"Strongly Approve" is at 26%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, unchanged.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45%

Disapprove 54%

Both unchanged.


"Strongly Approve" is at 25%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 43%, +1.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 44% (-1)

Disapprove 55% (+1)


"Strongly Approve" is at 24%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, -1.

Basically, BHO's numbers have been stable, except for his strongly approve number which has shown a 13 point range since the first of February.

[J. J.]

Gallup for the first time has Obama negative
46 aprrove

47 Disapprove

Obviously, Gallup is a hack pollster run secretly by Rasmussen Reports who are a puppet of Fox, who are a puppet of the Republican Party, who are a puppet of the 'States Rights' Movement, who are a puppet of the Ku Klux Klan, who are a puppet of massive corporations that benefit from picking on the little guy, who want to reinstate slavery.

Don't fall for this pro-slavery propaganda!!!

You forgot to mention the Illuminati!

Actually, Obama's disapproval numbers have been consistently higher than Reagan's for the same point in time, and Reagan still had a higher approval than disapproval rate in March of 1982, on Gallup.

http://www.usatoday.com/news/washington/presidential-approval-tracker.htm

[J. J.]

Strategic Vision is back !

Georgia:

37% Approve
50% Disapprove

The results are based on telephone interviews with 800 likely voters in Georgia, aged 18+, and conducted March 5-8, 2010 by telephone. The margin of sampling error is ±3.5 percentage points.

http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/georgia_poll_031510.htm

The huge gap between approval and disapproval indicates the uselessness of that poll. I'd have to show it with the letter "S" (spurious, suspicious, screwy, shady)... except that such would crowd out another and more reliable poll.

I will not use this one.  

I usually don't even post in this thread, but I just want to clarify for my own amusement: You don't want to include this SV poll of Georgia, showing Obama at a "huge" -13, because he couldn't possibly be underwater in Georgia?

Strategic Vision is now also - for the first time ever - publishing crosstabs:

https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0B_KEK8-LWmzhMWQ1YmZhYzMtMmQ0ZC00MDRiLTk4NGQtOWZiZjhmZWVkYWU4&hl=en

Interestingly, 22% of GA Blacks are undecided about Obama`s approval, while just 8% of Whites are.

"22% of GA blacks undecided"? I may've spoke too soon in support of this poll.

Obama is getting some criticism from the Black Caucus.  It could be the Uber liberal s in the Black community.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45% (+1)

Disapprove 55%


"Strongly Approve" is at 23%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 43%, +1.

[J. J.]

Obama is 99% approve to 1% disapprove in Chris Mathews' pants.

Yesterday and since the beginning of the presidency, it was 100% approve or higher and 0% disapprove or lower.

LOL. 

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45%

Disapprove 55%


"Strongly Approve" is at 23%, unchanged.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 44%, +1.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 43%

Disapprove 56%


"Strongly Approve" is at 23%.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 44%.  Both are unchanged.

Today's polling represents a tie for Obama's lowest approval and highest disapproval numbers on Rasmussen.  This, in what could be an ominous sign, puts his "Strongly Disapprove" numbers ahead of his Approve numbers.  This makes the first time this has happened.

This is but one day of polling, however.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45% +2

Disapprove 54% -2


"Strongly Approve" is at 26%, +3.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, -2.

This could be a bad sample dropping off.

[J. J.]

HCR boost, presumably?

On Rasmussen, no.  Yesterday's numbers were remarkably low.  Obama tied for his highest disapproval and lowest approval numbers on record.  It looked like possibly a bad sample.

His current Rasmussen numbers were actually slightly better last week at this time than today.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47% +2

Disapprove 53% -1


"Strongly Approve" is at 29%, +3.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, -1.

Over the last two days, Obama's "Strongly Approve" numbers jumped up six point.  The rest has moved slightly, but generally within 3 points.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45% +2

Disapprove 53% -1


"Strongly Approve" is at 29%, +3.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, -1.

Over the last two days, Obama's "Strongly Approve" numbers jumped up six point.  The rest has moved slightly, but generally within 3 points.

It`s actually 47-53 (+2, -1) for today (better said for the last 3 evenings).

You are right; I corrected it.  The real movement was in "strongly approve."

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48% +1

Disapprove 52% -1


"Strongly Approve" is at 31%, +3.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, unchanged.

Strongly Approved is where there has been real movement, +8 points.  Obamacare is probably shored up Obama's base.  In theory, it could be a bad sample.

[J. J.]

Those state numbers are hideous for Obama, for those states.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48%

Disapprove 52%

Both unchanged.

"Strongly Approve" is at 31%.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, +1.

[J. J.]

The Republicans may be in deep trouble. They may have satisfied their ideological base but few else. 

Looking at the 'bot, the only thing Obamacare may have done was rally his base.  He might basically stopped the hemorrhaging, though it was more of a slow leak.

[J. J.]

One hopes that we will see the job-creating stage of the economic recovery.

One hopes, yes. I'm not terribly optimistic.

Nor am I.  The current "Misery Index" numbers are higher than at any point during the GWB administration.  You actually have to go back the recession of 1991 to find even comparable numbers.  http://www.miseryindex.us/customindexbymonth.asp

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48%

Disapprove 51% -1


"Strongly Approve" is at 32%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, unchanged.

The only really significant movement is in "Strongly Approve."

[J. J.]

An 8 point swing in 5 days.

On Approve (+5), Disapprove (-4), Strongly Disapprove (-2), no.  Add to that one set of numbers looks like a skewed anti-Obama number (A/D 44/56), as was noted at the time, it is not much movement on those three.

Strongly Approved, however, has shown substantial movement.  Total range has been +9 points, and even factoring out the possible skewed sample, it would be a +6 gain. 

Also note that the upswing started a few days prior to Obamacare being passed.

[J. J.]

Obama has gained back his base and that is good news for the democrats in 2010. Of course it all depends on what the definition of "good news" is. I still think they will lose up to 30 seats in the house, and maybe more, but it won't be anything ridiculous like 50-60 seats. If the economy really starts booming and some good jobs numbers come out (like +150-200k jobs at the least), the democrats may be able to contain their losses to just around 20-25. This is not likely though.

32% is better than 23%.  (I actually LOLed at your post, though I agree with it.)

There are some problems, however.

That "strongly disapproved" number is still very high.  It has been lower in the last fortnight and looks solid.  Those are people that say, "I hate Obama's guts."  That is still out there, and Obamacare didn't help.  At best, this stopped liberal leakage (I think "hemorrhaging" was too strong.)

Second, there are other issues, notably the economy.  Obamacare has not helped with that, and may easily be charged with only pushing his agenda.

I was looking at 30-35 initially, but now would say a 50% that the House is captured by the GOP.

[J. J.]

Obama has gained back his base and that is good news for the democrats in 2010. Of course it all depends on what the definition of "good news" is. I still think they will lose up to 30 seats in the house, and maybe more, but it won't be anything ridiculous like 50-60 seats. If the economy really starts booming and some good jobs numbers come out (like +150-200k jobs at the least), the democrats may be able to contain their losses to just around 20-25. This is not likely though.

32% is better than 23%.  (I actually LOLed at your post, though I agree with it.)

There are some problems, however.

That "strongly disapproved" number is still very high.  It has been lower in the last fortnight and looks solid.  Those are people that say, "I hate Obama's guts."  That is still out there, and Obamacare didn't help.  At best, this stopped liberal leakage (I think "hemorrhaging" was too strong.)

Second, there are other issues, notably the economy.  Obamacare has not helped with that, and may easily be charged with only pushing his agenda.

I was looking at 30-35 initially, but now would say a 50% that the House is captured by the GOP.

How big do you figure the Bradley Effect will be this year? 3-5%?

Possibly the same one that Nate Silver predicted, since his numbers were at 50%