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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1026200 times)
J. J.
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« Reply #8650 on: August 25, 2011, 07:40:31 pm »

With Irene coming, we shouldn't rely on national polling after tomorrow, at least until mid week of next week.  There is the potential for a lot of disruption.
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #8651 on: August 25, 2011, 10:22:51 pm »

With Irene coming, we shouldn't rely on national polling after tomorrow, at least until mid week of next week.  There is the potential for a lot of disruption.

It's 15 months before the bleeping election in the middle of summer.

Other than us hard core junkies, nobody cares, much less has though about, any of this.

The polls are meaningless for about another 10 months or so...
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #8652 on: August 25, 2011, 11:19:58 pm »

With Irene coming, we shouldn't rely on national polling after tomorrow, at least until mid week of next week.  There is the potential for a lot of disruption.

It's 15 months before the bleeping election in the middle of summer.

Other than us hard core junkies, nobody cares, much less has though about, any of this.

The polls are meaningless for about another 10 months or so...

Irene is a hurricane bearing down on the heavily-populated eastern US. It will disrupt communications and force people away from their telephones. The least of anyone's problems will be polling. Anny polling from any east-coast state during the impending disaster will  also be meaningless. PPP has scheduled polling for Kentucky (OK) and South Carolina. I promise to treat any weekend poll of South Carolina suspect. Such also applies should Quinnipiac poll anything on the East Coast. 

Question: how will the elected officials do their jobs? Dubya's handling of Hurricane Katrina was itself a disaster, and such had political consequences.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #8653 on: August 26, 2011, 01:05:15 am »

SurveyUSA (August 22)Sad

California: 43% Approve, 51% Disapprove

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollTrack.aspx?g=c717d146-99e7-4de8-8217-9fb792fc2fb8

Kansas: 33% Approve, 65% Disapprove

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollTrack.aspx?g=c9cb9d95-0451-467c-8613-efb0bf5d4a7e

Oregon: 41% Approve, 54% Disapprove

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollTrack.aspx?g=87dabdb7-5435-402e-891e-11b3bf475127

Washington: 44% Approve, 54% Disapprove

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollTrack.aspx?g=c34262fe-7152-4e56-be8d-dd7e32b0f6dd
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redcommander
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« Reply #8654 on: August 26, 2011, 02:53:14 am »


It's good to see the West Coast has turned against the president. Perhaps Republicans will have a chance at winning one of the states next year with those numbers.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #8655 on: August 26, 2011, 02:55:48 am »


It's good to see the West Coast has turned against the president. Perhaps Republicans will have a chance at winning one of the states next year with those numbers.

Yes. Kansas.
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J. J.
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« Reply #8656 on: August 26, 2011, 08:44:37 am »





Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 43, +1.

Disapprove 56%, -1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 23%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 44%, -1.


With Irene coming, we shouldn't rely on national polling after tomorrow, at least until mid week of next week.  There is the potential for a lot of disruption.

It's 15 months before the bleeping election in the middle of summer.

Other than us hard core junkies, nobody cares, much less has though about, any of this.

The polls are meaningless for about another 10 months or so...

Vorlon, we are the junkies.  Smiley
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redcommander
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« Reply #8657 on: August 26, 2011, 11:30:05 am »


It's good to see the West Coast has turned against the president. Perhaps Republicans will have a chance at winning one of the states next year with those numbers.

Yes. Kansas.

I didn't know the polar icecaps had melted so soon.
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J. J.
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« Reply #8658 on: August 26, 2011, 12:31:09 pm »


http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Gallup, meh:

Approve:  42%, +1.

Disapprove:  50%, u.

Perhaps von Kluck has started moving to the southwest, away from Paris.

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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #8659 on: August 26, 2011, 03:41:22 pm »

You would think that Survey USA would get their act together on the West Coast. All their polls for over a year have been useless garbarge in that region.
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #8660 on: August 26, 2011, 04:11:12 pm »


Perhaps von Kluck has started moving to the southwest, away from Paris.


If there is indeed a change of direction, so far it's pretty subtle.....

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J. J.
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« Reply #8661 on: August 26, 2011, 04:16:41 pm »


Perhaps von Kluck has started moving to the southwest, away from Paris.


If there is indeed a change of direction, so far it's pretty subtle.....



It is too early to tell (it actually took the French about two days to figure out the real von Kluck's turn), but that is the first sign.
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J. J.
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« Reply #8662 on: August 27, 2011, 08:45:12 am »



Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45, +2.

Disapprove 54%, -2.

"Strongly Approve" is at 22%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, -2.

Bad sample dropping?  Hurricane?

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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #8663 on: August 27, 2011, 10:18:04 am »



Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45, +2.

Disapprove 54%, -2.

"Strongly Approve" is at 22%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, -2.

Bad sample dropping?  Hurricane?


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pbrower2a
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« Reply #8664 on: August 27, 2011, 10:23:48 am »



Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45, +2.

Disapprove 54%, -2.

"Strongly Approve" is at 22%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, -2.

Bad sample dropping?  Hurricane?



It could be Libya. Nasty dictator goes down, and the US has avoided bad consequences.

Note that with the possible exception of South Carolina (whose involvement in this hurricane is likely to have been slight), every state in the path of Hurricane Irene voted for President Obama in 2008.

I am not going to trust any national polling for about a week for the simple reason that far too much of the American public stands to face damage and disruption from this hurricane. Likewise I hope that PPP, Quinnipiac, and others choose to poll such states as Michigan, Missouri, and Ohio next week.

Hurricane seasons have been comparatively modest since 2005... and we need remember that the mishandling of natural disasters created its own electoral disaster for the President of the time. Never underestimate the potential for stupidity and crass grandstanding. Both major political parties can get hurt here.

That is before I even start to think of the potential for deaths, crippling injuries, and economic damage.
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J. J.
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« Reply #8665 on: August 27, 2011, 03:26:12 pm »


http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Gallup, meh:

Approve:  41%, -1.

Disapprove:  51%, +1.

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Tender Branson
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« Reply #8666 on: August 28, 2011, 09:37:52 am »

Rasmussen:

46-54 (+1, nc)
23-40 (+1, -2)
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J. J.
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« Reply #8667 on: August 28, 2011, 10:24:13 am »
« Edited: August 28, 2011, 11:18:54 am by J. J. »

Just for formatting:

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46, +1.

Disapprove 54%, u.

"Strongly Approve" is at 23%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 40%, -2.


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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #8668 on: August 28, 2011, 11:08:29 am »

Just for formatting:

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 44, +1.

Disapprove 56%, u.

"Strongly Approve" is at 23%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 40%, -2.

Typo, it's 46-54.
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J. J.
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« Reply #8669 on: August 28, 2011, 11:19:22 am »

Just for formatting:

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 44, +1.

Disapprove 56%, u.

"Strongly Approve" is at 23%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 40%, -2.

Typo, it's 46-54.

Got it!  Thanks!
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #8670 on: August 28, 2011, 12:12:05 pm »

Gallup:

38% Approve (-3)
55% Disapprove (+4)

Meh.
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Rowan
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« Reply #8671 on: August 28, 2011, 12:17:05 pm »

Clearly that low rating is because all of his east coast supporters were evacuated from their homes or knocked offline.
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J. J.
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« Reply #8672 on: August 28, 2011, 12:20:43 pm »

Gallup:

38% Approve (-3)
55% Disapprove (+4)

Meh.

Von Kluck is still outside of Amiens.  

Seriously, considering that there were probably difficulties calling people in NC, VA, MD, DE, NJ, and NY, all states Obama carried, I wouldn't read too much into this.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #8673 on: August 28, 2011, 01:07:43 pm »

Just for formatting:

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46, +1.

Disapprove 54%, u.

"Strongly Approve" is at 23%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 40%, -2.

Looks good for a change, but any national polls over the next three days or so are obviously suspect -- whatever they are. State polls outside of the storm zone will be interesting.



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J. J.
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« Reply #8674 on: August 28, 2011, 07:11:30 pm »

Just for formatting:

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46, +1.

Disapprove 54%, u.

"Strongly Approve" is at 23%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 40%, -2.

Looks good for a change, but any national polls over the next three days or so are obviously suspect -- whatever they are. State polls outside of the storm zone will be interesting.


I made that point before the storm hit.  Smiley

I'd really wait until Thursday at the earliest before I'd start viewing the polls with normal skepticism.
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