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  The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1022676 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #250 on: March 12, 2009, 01:53:50 pm »

Rasmussen National Approval (March 9-11):

58% Approve
41% Disapprove

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/obama_approval_index_history

Rasmussen California Approval (March 9):

56% Approve (LOL !)
43% Disapprove (LOL !)

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_2010/election_2010_state_toplines/california/toplines_california_senate_election_2010_march_9_2009

Gallup National Approval (March 9-11):

63% Approve
27% Disapprove

http://www.gallup.com/poll/113980/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Job-Approval.aspx
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #251 on: March 13, 2009, 12:46:49 am »

Rasmussen New Jersey Approval (March 10):

59% Approve
41% Disapprove

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_2009/new_jersey/toplines/toplines_new_jersey_governor_march_10_2009
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Aizen
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« Reply #252 on: March 13, 2009, 12:53:54 am »

California is a right-wing state
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change08
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« Reply #253 on: March 13, 2009, 01:16:22 pm »

California actuallybeing below the national average is as likely as Wyoming voting for Obama in 2012.
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Rowan
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« Reply #254 on: March 13, 2009, 02:50:25 pm »

Rasmussen New York

Approve 65%
Disapprove 34%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/states_general/new_york/toplines/toplines_ny_governor_march_11_2009
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #255 on: March 13, 2009, 02:55:14 pm »


THAT looks about right (about 5% too low).

As if there's such a big difference between CA & NY ... Tongue
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tagimaucia
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« Reply #256 on: March 14, 2009, 06:26:45 pm »

Fascinating crosstabs data over time from the Research 2000/Dailykos poll (which has a significant democratic lean but is very stable)



Obama is getting killed among Republicans and in the South relative to where he was at inauguration time, but any movement in most other demographics just looks like statistical noise right now.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #257 on: March 14, 2009, 06:31:50 pm »

It's really stunning how far out of the mainstream the South has drifted.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #258 on: March 14, 2009, 07:57:59 pm »

So in effect the cultural divide that existed on November 4, 2008 remains. It figures.
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Rowan
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« Reply #259 on: March 16, 2009, 11:50:28 am »

Pew Poll Obama Approval

Approve 59%(-5%)
Disapprove 26%(+9%)

http://people-press.org/reports/pdf/498.pdf
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Rowan
RowanBrandon
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« Reply #260 on: March 16, 2009, 12:18:56 pm »

CNN Obama Approval

Approve 64%(-3)
Disapprove 34%(+5)

http://www.cnn.com/2009/POLITICS/03/16/obama.poll/index.html
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jimmie
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« Reply #261 on: March 16, 2009, 12:33:33 pm »

The deluge is coming!!!!!!!!

lolz!
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #262 on: March 16, 2009, 01:22:39 pm »

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Wall St. Wiz
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« Reply #263 on: March 16, 2009, 04:44:09 pm »

Well, I guess the White House is concerned enough about the trend that they are shifting into campaign mode.  Fund raising, appearances on Leno, stops in battleground states, etc.

Just like Clinton, this will be a never-ending campaign with the objective to keep the approval ratings as high as possible.  And the dumb ass Republicans are afraid to take him on directly, allowing him to run circles around him.  They deserve to lose then.  I'm at the point that I'll support the first Republican who has the stones to go after him.  That's why Sanford is looking good at the moment.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #264 on: March 16, 2009, 05:37:35 pm »

Well, I guess the White House is concerned enough about the trend that they are shifting into campaign mode.  Fund raising, appearances on Leno, stops in battleground states, etc.

Just like Clinton, this will be a never-ending campaign with the objective to keep the approval ratings as high as possible.  And the dumb ass Republicans are afraid to take him on directly, allowing him to run circles around him.  They deserve to lose then.  I'm at the point that I'll support the first Republican who has the stones to go after him.  That's why Sanford is looking good at the moment.

In fact the GOP largely took Obama on directly, voting against his stimulus and threatening to filibuster against it. That is standing up to Obama, even if it should prove folly a few months hence.

Dubya didn't do that? Sure. he knew enough to stay clear of places that would never vote for him. That demonstrates an awareness of his weaknesses as a campaigner.

We shall see soon enough whether standing up to Obama is political suicide or wisdom -- fewer than twenty months from now. I will be right or you will be wrong. Don't be surprised if there should be a defection or two from the GOP.
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Beet
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« Reply #265 on: March 16, 2009, 09:46:55 pm »

Obama's approvals will inevitably fall below 50%. The only question is whether it comes in June, July, August, September, etc.
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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #266 on: March 16, 2009, 10:16:16 pm »

Obama's Approval Equal To or Better Than Bush's, Clinton's [Gallup, March 16, 2009]

Biggest change since inauguration has been decline among Republicans

http://www.gallup.com/poll/116845/Obama-Approval-Equal-Better-Bush-Clinton.aspx

Mid-March Ratings

Obama (2009): 61% Approve; 28% Disapprove
Bush (2005): 58% Approve; 29% Disapprove
Clinton (1993): 53% Approve; 34% Disapprove

Obama Job Approval, By Party I/D

Republicans: 26% Approve; 63% Disapprove

Independents: 59% Approve; 26% Disapprove

Democrats: 91% Approve; 4% Disapprove

Gallup Poll Daily Tracking, March 9-15, 2009

In sum, since his inauguration, Obama's approvals remain stratospheric among Democrats; steady among Independents but they show a marked decline among Republicans

Dave
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #267 on: March 17, 2009, 09:27:44 am »

Texas (University of Texas, Feb. 24 - March 6, 2009):

45% Approve
42% Disapprove
13% Undecided

http://www.laits.utexas.edu/txp_media/html/poll/files/200903-summary.pdf
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #268 on: March 17, 2009, 09:42:35 am »

CBS News Poll:

62% Approve
24% Disapprove
14% Undecided

This poll was conducted among a random sample of 1,142 adults nationwide, interviewed by telephone March 12-16, 2009. Phone numbers were dialed from RDD samples of both standard land-lines and cell phones.

The error due to sampling for results based on the entire sample could be plus or minus three percentage points. The error for subgroups is higher. This poll release conforms to the Standards of Disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.

http://www.cbsnews.com/htdocs/pdf/poll_031709_7am.pdf
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Rowan
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« Reply #269 on: March 17, 2009, 09:55:24 am »

NPR Obama Approval

Approve 59%
Disapprove 35%

http://media.npr.org/documents/2009/mar/nprpoll/nprpoll_interview.pdf
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Dynamite Shovel
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« Reply #270 on: March 17, 2009, 12:57:59 pm »

Obama's approvals will inevitably fall below 50%. The only question is whether it comes in June, July, August, September, etc.

The more relevant question is when he gets out of it.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #271 on: March 17, 2009, 06:32:27 pm »

Rasmussen himself gives an excellent explanation in comparing his approval poll vs. others.  I basically agree with every point made.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/political_commentary/commentary_by_scott_rasmussen/comparing_approval_ratings_from_different_polling_firms
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #272 on: March 18, 2009, 03:14:26 pm »

Rasmussen (March 15-17)Sad

57% Approve
42% Disapprove

Gallup (March 15-17)Sad

61% Approve
28% Disapprove

Public Policy Polling (March 13-15)Sad

55% Approve
37% Disapprove

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_National_318.pdf

Ohio Quinnipiac (March 10-15)Sad

57% Approve
33% Disapprove

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1322.xml?ReleaseID=1277
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Kaine for Senate '18
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« Reply #273 on: March 18, 2009, 06:49:17 pm »

Texas (University of Texas, Feb. 24 - March 6, 2009):

45% Approve
42% Disapprove
13% Undecided

http://www.laits.utexas.edu/txp_media/html/poll/files/200903-summary.pdf

That seems hard to believe.
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change08
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« Reply #274 on: March 19, 2009, 12:32:15 pm »


University polls are never the best.
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