Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
September 17, 2019, 09:54:59 am
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Predictions are now active

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 7 8 9 10 11 [12] 13 14 15 16 17 ... 410 Print
Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1006492 times)
Rowan
RowanBrandon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,694


Political Matrix
E: 1.94, S: 4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #275 on: March 19, 2009, 08:33:01 pm »
« edited: March 19, 2009, 08:35:59 pm by RowanBrandon »

Arizona - Rasmussen

Approve 53%
Disapprove 47%

The numbers are in the premium crosstabs.
Logged
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,988
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #276 on: March 20, 2009, 03:26:49 am »

One more state to add:


Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 49,914
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #277 on: March 20, 2009, 01:58:21 pm »

Rasmussen (March 17-19)Sad

55% Approve ("Thatís his lowest overall rating to date.")
43% Disapprove

Gallup (March 17-19)Sad

62% Approve
27% Disapprove

ARG (March 16-19)Sad

56% Approve
37% Disapprove

North Carolina - PPP - (March 17-19)Sad

53% Approve
40% Disapprove
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 49,914
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #278 on: March 20, 2009, 02:02:40 pm »

North Carolina - Elon University - (March 15-19)Sad

61% Approve
29% Disapprove

http://www.wral.com/news/local/politics/story/4780410/
Logged
BM
BeccaM
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,261
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #279 on: March 20, 2009, 03:09:52 pm »

any polls that don't have him in the mid 60s are obviously bogus
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 49,914
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #280 on: March 20, 2009, 03:15:53 pm »

any polls that don't have him in the mid 60s are obviously bogus

I wonder how McCain would do now ...

Mid-40s ?
Logged
You kip if you want to...
change08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,948
United Kingdom
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #281 on: March 20, 2009, 04:41:26 pm »

any polls that don't have him in the mid 60s are obviously bogus

I wonder how McCain would do now ...

Mid-40s ?

I'd guess around 50%. Lower than Obama anyway. And Palin would've made a good few blunders by now.
Logged
Psychic Octopus
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,961
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #282 on: March 20, 2009, 06:16:11 pm »

any polls that don't have him in the mid 60s are obviously bogus

I wonder how McCain would do now ...

Mid-40s ?

It'd be split about 50-50.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 49,914
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #283 on: March 21, 2009, 01:53:14 pm »

The gap between Rasmussen and Gallup widened today:

Rasmussen:

55% Approve (nc)
44% Disapprove (+1)

Gallup:

64% Approve (+2)
26% Disapprove (-1)
Logged
Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,353
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #284 on: March 21, 2009, 02:19:49 pm »

The gap between Rasmussen and Gallup widened today:

Rasmussen:

55% Approve (nc)
44% Disapprove (+1)

Gallup:

64% Approve (+2)
26% Disapprove (-1)

I'd guess Obama is probaby at about 60% right now.
Logged
Rowan
RowanBrandon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,694


Political Matrix
E: 1.94, S: 4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #285 on: March 21, 2009, 02:46:44 pm »

Probably because Rasmussen uses a LV screen while Gallup uses adults.
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,606
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #286 on: March 21, 2009, 02:54:22 pm »

A LV screen is ridiculous 3 and a half years before an election.
Logged
Verily
Cuivienen
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 16,672


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #287 on: March 21, 2009, 03:11:32 pm »

I don't think Rasmussen is using an LV screen. If they are, it's monumentally stupid in an off-year. LV screens are useless more than three months before an election.
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,606
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #288 on: March 21, 2009, 03:21:55 pm »

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/political_commentary/commentary_by_scott_rasmussen/comparing_approval_ratings_from_different_polling_firms

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
Logged
Rowan
RowanBrandon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,694


Political Matrix
E: 1.94, S: 4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #289 on: March 21, 2009, 04:06:33 pm »

But a registered voter poll is a million times better than an adult poll which is useless.
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,881
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #290 on: March 21, 2009, 05:37:36 pm »

But a registered voter poll is a million times better than an adult poll which is useless.

The problem is that many of them won't be around to vote in 2012, while younger people who will be able to vote by then aren't polled.
So to use registered, or even worse likely, voters screen NOW is completely useless.
Logged
Rowan
RowanBrandon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,694


Political Matrix
E: 1.94, S: 4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #291 on: March 21, 2009, 06:18:34 pm »

But a registered voter poll is a million times better than an adult poll which is useless.

The problem is that many of them won't be around to vote in 2012, while younger people who will be able to vote by then aren't polled.
So to use registered, or even worse likely, voters screen NOW is completely useless.

Wait, so you are saying people like Gallup are polling kids? LOL. They are polls ofadults. That means everyone is at least 18, which means that registered voters are a better gauge of a poll of a people that actually matter. If you don't vote, you don't matter.
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,881
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #292 on: March 21, 2009, 06:35:39 pm »

But a registered voter poll is a million times better than an adult poll which is useless.

The problem is that many of them won't be around to vote in 2012, while younger people who will be able to vote by then aren't polled.
So to use registered, or even worse likely, voters screen NOW is completely useless.

Wait, so you are saying people like Gallup are polling kids? LOL. They are polls ofadults. That means everyone is at least 18, which means that registered voters are a better gauge of a poll of a people that actually matter. If you don't vote, you don't matter.

No, you got it completely backwards.
I am saying that there are adults who just became (or will soon become) eligible to vote, but they haven't registered yet (something normal, we are years away from the next election).
So, these people aren't polled, even though in 2010 and 2012 they will vote, thus their opinion matters.
Logged
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,988
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #293 on: March 22, 2009, 01:46:01 am »

Rasmussen's LV screen caused it to get the election wrong in some states, typically by undercounting the likely Democratic vote. The 18-22 vote in 2008 was strongly Democratic, and it was unusually high for youth vote. If one was under 22 on November 4, 2008, then Rasmussen's LV screen (that is, those people who had voted in a the last Presidential election) ignored one. It even rejected people actively campaigning for their respective parties, and if any people vote, it is they, so long as they are of voting age.

It's a reasonable screen in most elections, but not this time.   It is made to prevent bias and reject the spin of the Democrats... but this time it is an over-response to such a concern, and that can at times be as hazardous as outright bias.

Should voters born between 1991 and 1994 act much like those born between 1987 and 1990 in the next election, then the GOP stands to be in deep trouble. 
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 49,914
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #294 on: March 23, 2009, 01:49:36 am »

Up once again:

Rasmussen:

56% Approve (+1)
43% Disapprove (-1)

Gallup:

65% Approve (+1)
26% Disapprove (nc)
Logged
Eraserhead
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 42,624
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #295 on: March 23, 2009, 02:27:43 am »

People who don't approve of our President make baby Jesus cry. Sad
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 49,914
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #296 on: March 23, 2009, 02:08:17 pm »

Tennessee - Rasmussen - March 16 - 500 Likely Voters:

51% Approve
46% Disapprove

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/states_general/tennessee/toplines_tennessee_likely_voters_march_16_2009
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,606
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #297 on: March 23, 2009, 02:14:02 pm »

So TN is only 4% more anti-Obama than the nation as a whole?

Okay Rasmussen... Roll Eyes
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 49,914
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #298 on: March 23, 2009, 02:14:10 pm »

So, given these results, isn't Obama's national approval really closer to 62% ?

Tennessee was about 11% less Democratic than the nation.
Logged
You kip if you want to...
change08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,948
United Kingdom
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #299 on: March 23, 2009, 02:18:42 pm »

So TN is only 4% more anti-Obama than the nation as a whole?

Okay Rasmussen... Roll Eyes

All of Rasmussen approval polls have seemed... odd compared to polls from other firms.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 7 8 9 10 11 [12] 13 14 15 16 17 ... 410 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC