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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 997764 times)
Tender Branson
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« Reply #325 on: March 25, 2009, 01:37:26 am »

One more state to add:




Arkansas, roughly an even split, but a state in which Obama was crushed in 2008.


BTW: Why is Alabama coloured in yellow ?

SUSA had it 48-45 last time ...

The last that I saw, Alabama had a net negative rating for Obama. That deserves a different color.

...

I'd love to see analogous polls  Indiana, Montana, the Dakotas, and South Carolina: those states were close enough that some think that they will be in play in 2012.  Colorado is still out?

We will probably get Maine, Vermont, Maryland, Mississippi, Idaho, and Oklahoma instead.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=f385051a-03b2-4947-a115-65d3f82f71fc

Anyway, new March polls by SUSA will be out in the coming days, and I believe AL will move into negative territory ...
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #326 on: March 25, 2009, 11:35:31 am »

The last that I saw, Alabama had a net negative rating for Obama. That deserves a different color.

The forum standard for maps of this kind is green for positive and red for negative.  Smiley
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #327 on: March 25, 2009, 11:46:39 am »

But Red is associated with Democrats (and now Obama) in this Forum.... and yellow gives an adequate contrast and is available. I can't hold anyone to my choice, but I had good reason for picking yellow. Nobody seemed to complain about the color until now.

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Joe Republic
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« Reply #328 on: March 25, 2009, 12:01:54 pm »
« Edited: March 25, 2009, 12:12:57 pm by Joe Republic »

People can differentiate red for Obama from red for disapproval, just like we did with the various maps of gubernatorial and senatorial approval maps that were made in the past.

I didn't mention this sooner because (a) I hadn't seen it; and (b) I thought Alabama was giving a tied rating.  Now I know differently, I just wanted to point it out to you so other people won't make a similar mistake. Smiley
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« Reply #329 on: March 25, 2009, 01:17:35 pm »

Pennsylvania
The Quinnipiac University Poll
3/19-3/23/2009; 1,056 registered voters, +/- 3% margin of error
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews
Barack Obama Job Rating
All voters: 61% approve, 30% disapprove
(Feb 2009: 63% approve, 22% disapprove)

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pbrower2a
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« Reply #330 on: March 25, 2009, 09:50:40 pm »





Survey USA gives Obama a small net positive rating in Alabama. Thus the color change!
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Psychic Octopus
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« Reply #331 on: March 25, 2009, 10:23:41 pm »

Did anyone watch O' Reilly in Late October? I remember one of Zogby's polls was being publicized because it said more Americans like McCain better on the economy then Obama. Then, they had Dick Morris on, and he infamously said: "The tide is turning. This is just the tip of the iceberg." LOL. Hilarious. Zogby is SO horrible.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #332 on: March 26, 2009, 12:01:29 am »

Did anyone watch O' Reilly in Late October? I remember one of Zogby's polls was being publicized because it said more Americans like McCain better on the economy then Obama. Then, they had Dick Morris on, and he infamously said: "The tide is turning. This is just the tip of the iceberg." LOL. Hilarious. Zogby is SO horrible.

The Propaganda Channel (FoX "News") isn't a reliable source. It spins everything as its ownership wants news to be spun -- and we all know what that means. If it doesn't get the news that it likes it creates the news. It deliberately conflates its analysis with objective reporting, and its selection of talking heads is one of choosing the appropriate lapdogs (for Dubya) and attack dogs (for Clinton and Obama). When a guest fails to take the Party Line FoX "News" turns on the guest, calling the fellow a nut, a member of the Far Left, or un-American.

Does anyone remember the Valerie Plame scandal? As other media were examining it, FoX "News" diverted people with the wall-to-wall coverage of the disappearance of Natalee Holloway in Aruba. I'm not going to trivialize the disappearance (and likely death) of a pretty girl from the right side of the tracks (or an ugly one from the wrong side), but I knew that as soon as FoX "News" started a story in Aruba there was news to be had elsewhere.

Add to this, a survey of Americans on news sources and their correlation to being right on the Iraq war asked people to agree or disagree with three statements involving the war:

1. Saddam Hussein had connections to such international terror groups as al-Qaeda.

2. Saddam Hussein possessed or tried to procure or develop weapons of mass destruction despite sanctions imposed by the United Nations.

3. The rest of the world generally concurs with the American invasion of Iraq.

All three statements are demonstrably false.

Then they were asked what news sources they replied on.  It is hardly surprising that those who depended upon newspapers (printed or electronic) were most likely to get all three answers right.  Radio sources were next-best, NPR listeners getting the best marks. Regular viewers of CNN and MSNBC were slightly poorer, but generally well-informed. Viewers of PBS' News Hour with Jim Lehrer did about as well as NPR radio listeners... but that's no-fluff news and it does not make compromises for attention spans. 

Those who relied upon the news of the nightly news  three main networks (CBS, ABC, and NBC) were highly likely to get it wrong. It's just not possible to get all of one's news from 30 minutes of televised news that fits a commercial format.

Now here's the tragedy -- regular viewers of FoX News Channel got it most regularly -- WRONG! Its viewers watch much of what looks like news...  but somehow isn't.

Oddly, those who relied on Comedy Central's Daily Show got it right about as well as NPR listeners. That's a comedy program!

(Whatever virtues regular viewers of FoX "News", being well-informed isn't one of them).

It uses the US flag extensively as if acceptance of its disinformation at face value were an act of patriotism.

That entity is more adept at propaganda than Pravda ever was.

 
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #333 on: March 26, 2009, 01:18:51 am »
« Edited: March 27, 2009, 01:28:32 am by Tender Branson »

SurveyUSA March 2009 Release (all conducted March 20-22 among 600 adults)Sad

Alabama:

47% Approve (-1)
47% Disapprove (+2)

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=1042b5f1-c12e-43e1-8dad-cd1c644903e3

California:

67% Approve (+4)
28% Disapprove (-5)

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=c6eaaf21-aa2b-4f1b-83ac-50563d5bc60c

Iowa:

57% Approve (-6)
40% Disapprove (+8)

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=e79ed495-b7ab-414e-b851-17be9c2b39d7

Kansas:

55% Approve (+1)
40% Disapprove (+3)

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=14750682-5826-481c-a4e4-f6ed11910ca8

Kentucky:

56% Approve (-1)
38% Disapprove (+1)

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=06788390-97c9-4604-adb0-d121c387690e

Massachusetts:

68% Approve (+2)
26% Disapprove (-3)

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=dd2c51d3-a7f3-4d98-afaf-293d9b4ca26a

Minnesota:

61% Approve (-1)
32% Disapprove (nc)

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=daff7ebe-0483-464b-b259-4f3989dddc6b

Missouri:

57% Approve (+6)
39% Disapprove (-4)

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=77dfc060-a0ce-4bcb-b16c-33ca3cea4cf9

New Mexico:

61% Approve (+2)
35% Disapprove (+1)

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=abafb949-e911-48ac-acac-6d99b6f87523

New York:

72% Approve (+2)
23% Disapprove (-2)

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=564b22a9-49c5-46bd-894d-bcc297f27923

Oregon:

62% Approve (+1)
31% Disapprove (-1)

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=146a9814-db58-4923-ae31-dd251a944a3a

Virginia:

55% Approve (+1)
35% Disapprove (-7)

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=052effc4-d100-4392-a920-43b1f646d876

Washington:

62% Approve (-2)
34% Disapprove (+2)

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=a7421118-21b0-44b1-adf4-831673fb3a1d

Wisconsin:

53% Approve (-7)
42% Disapprove (+5)

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=0b21a806-01a4-45e8-8d6c-ab64982d89f7
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #334 on: March 26, 2009, 01:32:14 am »

Hillary Clinton (Secretary of State) - CNN/Opinion Research, March 12-15:

71% Approve
23% Disapprove

http://www.boston.com/news/politics/politicalintelligence/2009/03/clinton_has_rob.html
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #335 on: March 26, 2009, 01:38:00 am »

Pennsylvania (Franklin & Marshall College):

59% Favorable
21% Unfavorable

http://www.pittsburghlive.com/x/pittsburghtrib/sports/news/cityregion/s_617671.html

PS:

How would you rate the way that Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

60% Excellent/Good (+5)
36% Fair/Poor (nc)

http://www.thepittsburghchannel.com/download/2009/0325/19009605.pdf
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #336 on: March 26, 2009, 01:43:14 am »

California - Public Policy Institute of CA:

Adults:

71% Approve
20% Disapprove

Registered Voters:

67% Approve
23% Disapprove

Likely Voters:

63% Approve
28% Disapprove

PPIC Statewide Survey: Californians and Their Government, March 2009. Includes 2,004 adults, 1,525 registered voters, and 987 likely voters. Interviews took place March 1017, 2009. Numbers in above table are for all adults. Margin of error 2%.

http://www.ppic.org/content/pubs/other/APR_Obama0309.pdf
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #337 on: March 26, 2009, 01:46:04 am »

Texas (Texas Tech):

44% Approve
39% Disapprove

http://lubbockonline.com/stories/032609/loc_414533490.shtml
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #338 on: March 26, 2009, 08:14:40 am »

I live in Obamaworld. lolz.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #339 on: March 26, 2009, 10:36:00 am »

DC APPROVAL POLL PLZ.
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Rowan
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« Reply #340 on: March 26, 2009, 10:55:27 am »

So he goes up in some states in SUSA but down in other states, and I really can't see any connection between the states either. Random.
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change08
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« Reply #341 on: March 26, 2009, 11:11:18 am »

Hillary Clinton (Secretary of State) - CNN/Opinion Research, March 12-15:

71% Approve
23% Disapprove

http://www.boston.com/news/politics/politicalintelligence/2009/03/clinton_has_rob.html

I would've thought Hillary's approval would be closer to Obama's than that.
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change08
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« Reply #342 on: March 26, 2009, 11:12:43 am »

Quote
Iowa:

57% Approve (-6)
40% Disapprove (+8)

Huh? Why has Iowa dropped so much?
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Rowan
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« Reply #343 on: March 26, 2009, 11:53:17 am »

Quote
Iowa:

57% Approve (-6)
40% Disapprove (+8)

Huh? Why has Iowa dropped so much?

Like I said, some of these are just really random, like Missouri went way up. You'd think it would be the opposite since you know, he lost the state. I have no idea why Iowa is dropping that much in a state he won by 10 points.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #344 on: March 26, 2009, 01:39:14 pm »

Connecticut (Research 2000):

69% Favorable
22% Unfavorable

The Research 2000 Connecticut Poll was conducted from March 23 through March 25, 2009. A total of 600 likely voters who vote regularly in state elections were interviewed statewide by telephone.

http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/3/25/CT/275
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Alcon
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« Reply #345 on: March 26, 2009, 01:52:43 pm »

Quote
Iowa:

57% Approve (-6)
40% Disapprove (+8)

Huh? Why has Iowa dropped so much?

Like I said, some of these are just really random, like Missouri went way up. You'd think it would be the opposite since you know, he lost the state. I have no idea why Iowa is dropping that much in a state he won by 10 points.

SUSA really isn't a good enough pollster to put so much stock in movements like those.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #346 on: March 27, 2009, 01:31:52 am »

Quote
Iowa:

57% Approve (-6)
40% Disapprove (+8)

Huh? Why has Iowa dropped so much?

Like I said, some of these are just really random, like Missouri went way up. You'd think it would be the opposite since you know, he lost the state. I have no idea why Iowa is dropping that much in a state he won by 10 points.

SUSA really isn't a good enough pollster to put so much stock in movements like those.

Iowa and Wisconsin are really odd, also Kentucky on the other hand.

Wisconsin went from 70% to 53% in 2 months ...
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #347 on: March 27, 2009, 09:03:41 am »



Wisconsin and Iowa would seem very similar. Until they see real campaigning they don't seem very partisan. People there start making up their minds when the campaigning gets serious; until then they want leaders to govern. It's just as well.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #348 on: March 29, 2009, 08:18:17 am »

Slight uptick for Obama on Rasmussen today:

58% Approve (+2)
41% Disapprove (-2)
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Rowan
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« Reply #349 on: March 29, 2009, 09:31:01 am »

Rasmussen bump seems to be only coming from Republicans(up to 29%) so I assume it is just a bad sample, as Obama is still under 50% with Indies.
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