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  The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 999990 times)
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« Reply #350 on: March 29, 2009, 01:05:20 pm »

Gallup's at 60/31 today, probably the closest it's ever been to Rasmussen.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #351 on: March 30, 2009, 08:02:29 am »

South Carolina (Crantford & Associates, March 17, 1.382 voters, MoE=2.6%):

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama?

Favorable: 49%
Unfavorable: 44%
Not Sure: 7%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mark Sanford?

Favorable: 40%
Unfavorable: 53%
Not Sure: 7%

Do you agree or disagree with Governor Sanford's efforts to try and stop President Obama's economic stimulus package from being spent in South Carolina?

Agree: 37%
Disagree: 53%
Not Sure: 10%

http://www.thestate.com/politics/story/721273.html
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #352 on: March 30, 2009, 08:33:47 am »

Rasmussen bump seems to be only coming from Republicans(up to 29%) so I assume it is just a bad sample, as Obama is still under 50% with Indies.

58-40 (nc, -1) today
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Holmes
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« Reply #353 on: March 30, 2009, 08:34:48 am »

South Carolina (Crantford & Associates, March 17, 1.382 voters, MoE=2.6%)

Iiiinteresting numbers.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #354 on: March 30, 2009, 08:42:30 am »

South Carolina (Crantford & Associates, March 17, 1.382 voters, MoE=2.6%)

Iiiinteresting numbers.

Yeah, but unfortunately done for the SC Democratic Senate Caucus ...
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #355 on: March 30, 2009, 01:53:42 pm »

New USAToday/Gallup poll (March 27-29):

64% Approve
30% Disapprove

Gallup Daily Tracking (also March 27-29):

60% Approve (nc)
30% Disapprove (-1)
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #356 on: March 30, 2009, 02:41:27 pm »



Now add South Carolina, where Obama has more approval than does the Governor, someone supposedly having a chance to be a Presidential or VP nominee.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #357 on: March 30, 2009, 11:59:01 pm »

New Washington Post/ABC News poll:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president ?

66% Approve
29% Disapprove

Changing topics, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Michelle Obama ?

76% Favorable
16% Unfavorable

This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone Mar. 26-29, 2009, among a random national sample of 1,000 adults including landline and cell phone-only respondents. The results from the full survey have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, PA.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/postpoll_033109.html?hpid=topnews
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tagimaucia
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« Reply #358 on: March 31, 2009, 07:45:30 am »

from the same poll:

3. Do you think things in this country (are generally going in the right direction) or do you feel things (have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track)?

                Right     Wrong     No
              direction   track   opinion 
3/29/09          42        57        1
2/22/09          31        67        2
1/16/09          19        78        3
12/14/08         15        82        3
10/25/08 LV      13        85        2
10/11/08 RV       8        90        2
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #359 on: March 31, 2009, 08:33:19 am »

Obama taking the "steering wheel" and axing capitalist failures is probably not a bad thing for his polling numbers.

Rasmussen today:

59% Approve (+1)
39% Disapprove (-1)

First time below 40% since March 4 ...

38% Strongly Approve (nc)
27% Strongly Disapprove (-3)

"Thatís the first time his Approval Index rating has reached double digits since the first week in March."

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Rowan
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« Reply #360 on: March 31, 2009, 10:09:15 am »

Obama taking the "steering wheel" and axing capitalist failures is probably not a bad thing for his polling numbers.

Rasmussen today:

59% Approve (+1)
39% Disapprove (-1)

First time below 40% since March 4 ...

38% Strongly Approve (nc)
27% Strongly Disapprove (-3)

"Thatís the first time his Approval Index rating has reached double digits since the first week in March."



It's because he is now at 32% among Republicans after being in the low 20's for the past month. Hard to tell if this is lasting change or just an outlier.
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Rowan
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« Reply #361 on: March 31, 2009, 12:14:57 pm »

Gallup Down:

Approve 59(-1)
Disapprove 30(nc)

Seems to me that Rasmussen must have a clear outlier if these two have the same approval as Gallup has been traditionally a few points higher than Rasmussen.
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« Reply #362 on: March 31, 2009, 01:34:49 pm »

Gallup Down:

Approve 59(-1)
Disapprove 30(nc)

Seems to me that Rasmussen must have a clear outlier if these two have the same approval as Gallup has been traditionally a few points higher than Rasmussen.

First Gallup under 60? :/
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #363 on: March 31, 2009, 01:50:17 pm »

First Gallup under 60? :/

No, it happened once before, in Mid-February I think ...

......................................................................................

Diageo Hotline (March 26-29, 800 Registered Voters):

63% Approve
31% Disapprove

http://www.diageohotlinepoll.com/documents/diageohotlinepoll/FDDiageoHotlinePoll_release033109.pdf

Democracy Corps (March 25-29, 1000 Likely Voters):

58% Approve
34% Disapprove

http://www.democracycorps.com/download.php?attachment=dc10032909fq4.pdf
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #364 on: April 02, 2009, 12:01:02 am »

Now add South Carolina, where Obama has more approval than does the Governor, someone supposedly having a chance to be a Presidential or VP nominee.

SurveyUSA now supports the Crantford & Associates poll:

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Mark Sanford is doing as Governor?

41% Approve
55% Disapprove

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=fa7fe67e-60d1-4167-999c-fc2f6dbda8cd

Not so hot numbers for the "great Republican rising star in 2012" ...
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #365 on: April 02, 2009, 01:02:39 am »

Now add South Carolina, where Obama has more approval than does the Governor, someone supposedly having a chance to be a Presidential or VP nominee.

SurveyUSA now supports the Crantford & Associates poll:

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Mark Sanford is doing as Governor?

41% Approve
55% Disapprove

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=fa7fe67e-60d1-4167-999c-fc2f6dbda8cd

Not so hot numbers for the "great Republican rising star in 2012" ...

The first stage of ruin is DENIAL.

... I don't have a drinking problem; I can quit drinking at any time.

... Cancer? Not me!

... This pitcher with a high ERA or batter now hitting .240 is on the brink of pulling out of a slump.

... I can still make the minimum payment.

... I don't need no book-learnin'. I'll show that teacher yet!

... The President will yet make a fool of himself.

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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #366 on: April 02, 2009, 02:05:40 am »

Now add South Carolina, where Obama has more approval than does the Governor, someone supposedly having a chance to be a Presidential or VP nominee.

SurveyUSA now supports the Crantford & Associates poll:

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Mark Sanford is doing as Governor?

41% Approve
55% Disapprove

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=fa7fe67e-60d1-4167-999c-fc2f6dbda8cd

Not so hot numbers for the "great Republican rising star in 2012" ...

Wow! The citizens of South Carolina who suffer through a recession actually prefer help from the federal goverment, rather than political grandstanding from their governor.

Knock me down with a feather. 
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Holmes
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« Reply #367 on: April 02, 2009, 09:08:34 am »

So who's willing to bet the Democrats won't run anyone serious and the next governor of South Carolina will be Sanford 2.0?
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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #368 on: April 02, 2009, 10:01:27 am »

Obama taking the "steering wheel" and axing capitalist failures is probably not a bad thing for his polling numbers.

Rasmussen today:

59% Approve (+1)
39% Disapprove (-1)

First time below 40% since March 4 ...

38% Strongly Approve (nc)
27% Strongly Disapprove (-3)

"Thatís the first time his Approval Index rating has reached double digits since the first week in March."



It's because he is now at 32% among Republicans after being in the low 20's for the past month. Hard to tell if this is lasting change or just an outlier.

Seemingly, an outlier given the shift from March 31 to April 2:

Approve 56% (-3); Disapprove 44% (+5) [Strongly approve 35% (-3); Strongly Disapprove 30% (+3)

Dave
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #369 on: April 02, 2009, 11:02:20 am »

Remember too, that Rasmussen's new April partisan targets will undoubtedly shift the numbers a bit, and I believe today's sample was the first sample with the new targets (even though it could have been yesterday):

Dems 38.7% (40.8%)
Reps 33.2% (33.6%)
Indys 28.1% (25.6%)
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Rowan
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« Reply #370 on: April 02, 2009, 11:16:03 am »

Remember too, that Rasmussen's new April partisan targets will undoubtedly shift the numbers a bit, and I believe today's sample was the first sample with the new targets (even though it could have been yesterday):

Dems 38.7% (40.8%)
Reps 33.2% (33.6%)
Indys 28.1% (25.6%)

"Our baseline targets are established based upon separate survey interviews with a sample of adults nationwide completed during the preceding three months (a total of 45,000 interviews) and targets are updated monthly. Currently, the baseline targets for the adult population are 40.1% Democrats, 33.1% Republicans, and 26.7% unaffiliated."

He uses the average of the previous three months, not just the preceding month.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #371 on: April 02, 2009, 11:18:41 am »

Remember too, that Rasmussen's new April partisan targets will undoubtedly shift the numbers a bit, and I believe today's sample was the first sample with the new targets (even though it could have been yesterday):

Dems 38.7% (40.8%)
Reps 33.2% (33.6%)
Indys 28.1% (25.6%)

"Our baseline targets are established based upon separate survey interviews with a sample of adults nationwide completed during the preceding three months (a total of 45,000 interviews) and targets are updated monthly. Currently, the baseline targets for the adult population are 40.1% Democrats, 33.1% Republicans, and 26.7% unaffiliated."

He uses the average of the previous three months, not just the preceding month.

Sorry, I wasn't being clear there.  Still, it will affect the underlying numbers, somewhat.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #372 on: April 02, 2009, 12:37:10 pm »

Connecticut (Quinnipiac University):

71% Approve (+4)
22% Disapprove (-1)

From March 26 - 31, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,181 Connecticut registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1296.xml?ReleaseID=1283
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« Reply #373 on: April 02, 2009, 12:44:27 pm »

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics:

58% Approve (-5)
32% Disapprove (+6)

Polling was conducted by telephone March 31 - April 1, 2009, in the evenings. The total sample is 900 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of Ī3 percentage points.

http://www.foxnews.com/projects/pdf/040209_FNCPoll.pdf
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #374 on: April 02, 2009, 01:34:12 pm »

South Dakota (Research 2000/DailyKos):

47% Favorable
45% Unfavorable

The Research 2000 South Dakota Poll was conducted from March 30 through April 1, 2009. A total of 600 likely voters who vote regularly in state elections were interviewed statewide by telephone.

http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/4/1/SD/280
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