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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 997742 times)
Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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« Reply #800 on: May 19, 2009, 03:39:07 pm »

Minnesota (Rasmussen, 500 LV, May 18)Sad

44% Approve
55% Disapprove

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/states_general/minnesota/toplines/toplines_minnesota_senate_may_18_2009

WTF !???

Obama is at 66/33, Coleman and Franken are both at 44/55.
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Devilman88
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« Reply #801 on: May 19, 2009, 06:52:59 pm »

Minnesota (Rasmussen, 500 LV, May 18)Sad

44% Approve
55% Disapprove

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/states_general/minnesota/toplines/toplines_minnesota_senate_may_18_2009

WTF !???

Obama is at 66/33, Coleman and Franken are both at 44/55.

They changed it. It was 44/55, I guess Rasmussen changed the numbers.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #802 on: May 19, 2009, 07:19:51 pm »
« Edited: May 19, 2009, 08:42:58 pm by pbrower2a »

Updated map:



66% Minnesota, 55% Nevada... eleven states outstanding.

Mississippi anyone? North Dakota? Montana?

Colorado or Arizona again?
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Vepres
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« Reply #803 on: May 19, 2009, 07:21:50 pm »

Updated map:



66% Minnesota, 55% Nevada... eleven states outstanding.

Mississippi anyone? North Dakota? Montana?

Colorado or Arizona again?

Very interesting. I wonder if Colorado and Arizona are outliers, or if the mountain west libertarianism is starting to show itself. I really didn't expect him to have low approvals out here this early, but if these polls aren't outliers, I can see why.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #804 on: May 19, 2009, 07:44:56 pm »


(snip)

Colorado or Arizona again?

Very interesting. I wonder if Colorado and Arizona are outliers, or if the mountain west libertarianism is starting to show itself. I really didn't expect him to have low approvals out here this early, but if these polls aren't outliers, I can see why.

Possible explanation. I would have never expected Colorado to be a near-tossup with Obama holding a 60% nationwide approval. Coloradans and Arizonans might vote differently from that pattern in 2012 if the GOP nominee is not a libertarian. I can't see any potential GOP nominee (that of course excludes Ron Paul, who would do very well in the Mountain West if he were nominated) as a libertarian.

Who runs will matter greatly. The only question about Obama as the nominee for the Democratic Party has an actuarial answer.
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Devilman88
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« Reply #805 on: May 19, 2009, 09:36:45 pm »

Updated map:



66% Minnesota, 55% Nevada... eleven states outstanding.

Mississippi anyone? North Dakota? Montana?

Colorado or Arizona again?

NC should be 50%
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #806 on: May 19, 2009, 11:45:40 pm »

Minnesota (Rasmussen, 500 LV, May 18)Sad

44% Approve
55% Disapprove

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/states_general/minnesota/toplines/toplines_minnesota_senate_may_18_2009

WTF !???

Obama is at 66/33, Coleman and Franken are both at 44/55.

Yes, it was definitely a typo by Rasmussen. Considering that Rasmussen had Obama at 58-41 nationally in the previous 3 days, 66% approval in Minnesota is pretty good.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #807 on: May 19, 2009, 11:55:35 pm »

I think some of you are overestimating how "libertarian" states like Colorado and Arizona actually are...
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #808 on: May 20, 2009, 12:50:49 am »

I think some of you are overestimating how "libertarian" states like Colorado and Arizona actually are...

If as the bromide goes, a conservative is a liberal who was just mugged...

a libertarian stranded in a traffic jam begins to think of the government as a possible solution.
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Badger
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« Reply #809 on: May 20, 2009, 07:51:56 am »

I think some of you are overestimating how "libertarian" states like Colorado and Arizona actually are...

If as the bromide goes, a conservative is a liberal who was just mugged...

a libertarian stranded in a traffic jam begins to think of the government as a possible solution.

And a liberal is a conservative who's just been downsized.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #810 on: May 20, 2009, 12:57:21 pm »

New Jersey (Quinnipiac)Sad

67% Approve
27% Disapprove

The President gets a 93 - 4 nod from Democrats and a 63 - 29 percent OK from independent voters, while Republicans disapprove 60 - 32 percent.

From May 12 - 18, Quinnipiac University surveyed 2,532 New Jersey registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2 percentage points.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1299.xml?ReleaseID=1300
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Vepres
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« Reply #811 on: May 20, 2009, 10:50:33 pm »

I think some of you are overestimating how "libertarian" states like Colorado and Arizona actually are...

I consider myself a moderate libertarian, and many independents and Republicans I meet out here (Denver and Boulder regions) have a libertarian streak. Maybe not as extreme as the libertarian party itself, or even myself, but still undeniably libertarian leaning. The thing is, liberals in my area of the state are very liberal, which overwhelms the libertarian vote. However, if these approval ratings prove accurate, than I would be tempted to say that small government, state's rights voters are the reason for it (these people voted for Obama because they no longer trusted the Republican party).
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #812 on: May 21, 2009, 12:11:38 am »

PPP will release Obama's approval in Oklahoma today.

Based on their early glimpse that 31% of Democrats in the state disapprove of Obama, I´m estimating Obama's standing in the state at 36% approve and 55% disapprove.

Let's see what the real numbers show ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #813 on: May 21, 2009, 09:22:41 am »

Alabama (Anzalone-Liszt Research (D) for Artur Davis, 600 LV, May 5-9)Sad

"58 percent of voters approve of Obama's performance, including 46 percent of white voters.  In addition, 87 percent of white Democrats and 57 percent of independents approve of Obama’s performance."

http://www.arturdavis2010.com/release_details.asp?id=65

Interesting, because the last Alabama poll by SUSA (600 adults) had Obama at only 48%.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=c643766a-9eb3-42a5-a1ce-38215e0aa02b
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #814 on: May 21, 2009, 09:43:21 am »

Alabama (Anzalone-Liszt Research (D) for Artur Davis, 600 LV, May 5-9)Sad

"58 percent of voters approve of Obama's performance, including 46 percent of white voters.  In addition, 87 percent of white Democrats and 57 percent of independents approve of Obama’s performance."

http://www.arturdavis2010.com/release_details.asp?id=65

Interesting, because the last Alabama poll by SUSA (600 adults) had Obama at only 48%.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=c643766a-9eb3-42a5-a1ce-38215e0aa02b


Interesting outlier.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #815 on: May 21, 2009, 09:55:11 am »

PPP will release Obama's approval in Oklahoma today.

Based on their early glimpse that 31% of Democrats in the state disapprove of Obama, I´m estimating Obama's standing in the state at 36% approve and 55% disapprove.

Let's see what the real numbers show ...

The actual numbers from PPP are:

38% Approve
56% Disapprove

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_OK_521.pdf
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #816 on: May 21, 2009, 02:26:45 pm »

NC should be 50%

Most of them should be lighter, he has this weird rounding thing he's doing to make Obama look more popular.

I did round up the 56% disapproval in Oklahoma.

Translation:

Disapproval greater than approval:

darkest "yellow" -- 56-65% (Oklahoma)
darkened  yellow -- 50-55%
pale yellow -- under 50% but larger than approval

Exact equality -- probably white, but none show.

palest green -- under 50%, but more than disapproval
medium green --   50-55%
darkened green -- 56-65%
dark green -- 66-75%
very dark green --76-85%
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #817 on: May 21, 2009, 02:52:26 pm »

Oklahoma. lol.
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Badger
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« Reply #818 on: May 21, 2009, 03:23:29 pm »

Alabama (Anzalone-Liszt Research (D) for Artur Davis, 600 LV, May 5-9)Sad

"58 percent of voters approve of Obama's performance, including 46 percent of white voters.  In addition, 87 percent of white Democrats and 57 percent of independents approve of Obama’s performance."

http://www.arturdavis2010.com/release_details.asp?id=65

Interesting, because the last Alabama poll by SUSA (600 adults) had Obama at only 48%.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=c643766a-9eb3-42a5-a1ce-38215e0aa02b


Interesting outlier.

Which one? The 48% approval rating or the 58% one? Or maybe just high end MOE combined with small actual changes in approval/disapproval?
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Oh Jeremy Corbyn!
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« Reply #819 on: May 21, 2009, 03:24:29 pm »

Virginia according to Research 2000:

Approve 56%
Disapprove 40%

According to the same poll, Mcdonnell would win easily against any Democrat so it's definitely not a biased poll

http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/5/20/VA/305
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #820 on: May 21, 2009, 03:32:50 pm »


Updated map:



Alabama looks like an outlier, but I follow the rule of using the latest poll. Oklahoma makes more sense (56% disapproval, and I round that up). Oklahoma could go 60-40 for the GOP in an Obama landslide in 2012.  Virginia is also at 56% approval, and that's hardly surprising, considering how it voted.

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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #821 on: May 21, 2009, 03:35:46 pm »

Oklahoma. lol.

Seriously, I'm thinking right now what Sergeant Foley said about Oklahoma. 
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #822 on: May 21, 2009, 03:40:03 pm »

Oklahoma. lol.

Two Senators best described as border-line fascists. Few states have even one.
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Rowan
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« Reply #823 on: May 21, 2009, 04:20:12 pm »

ARG
Approve 61%
Disapprove 32%

http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/

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« Reply #824 on: May 21, 2009, 06:00:24 pm »

Oklahoma. lol.

Seriously, I'm thinking right now what Sergeant Foley said about Oklahoma. 

Sgt Foley: "You a queer?"
Sid Worley: "Hell no sir!"
Sgt Foley: "Where you from, boy?"
Sid Worley: "Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, sir."
Sgt Foley: "Ah! Only two things come out of Oklahoma. Steers and queers."
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