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  The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1022918 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1950 on: August 19, 2009, 12:05:38 pm »

Gallup:

51% Approve
41% Disapprove

PPP:

52% Approve
42% Disapprove

PPP conducted a national survey of 909 voters from August 14th to 17th. The survey’s margin of error is +/-3.3%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_National_819513.pdf
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1951 on: August 19, 2009, 12:42:52 pm »

Pew Research:

51% Approve
37% Disapprove

Results for this survey are based on telephone interviews conducted under the direction of Princeton Survey Research Associates International among a nationwide sample of 2,010 adults, 18 years of age or older, from August 11-17, 2009.

http://people-press.org/reports/pdf/536.pdf
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1952 on: August 19, 2009, 01:13:04 pm »

Colorado (PPP)Sad

49% Approve
47% Disapprove

PPP surveyed 969 Colorado voters from August 14th to 16th. The survey’s margin of error is +/-3.2%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_CO_819.pdf
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #1953 on: August 19, 2009, 02:03:04 pm »
« Edited: August 19, 2009, 05:37:27 pm by pbrower2a »



New poll for Colorado, but it changes nothing except to show that polling groups still pay attention to one of the states that decided the 2008 election.

Indiana, Nevada, Montana, and Arizona would be interesting, too.
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Rowan
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« Reply #1954 on: August 19, 2009, 04:27:39 pm »

Florida(Rasmussen)

Approve 42%
Disapprove 57%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_state_toplines/florida/toplines_election_2010_florida_senate_august_17_2009
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Nhoj
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« Reply #1955 on: August 19, 2009, 04:33:02 pm »

Colorado (PPP)Sad

49% Approve
47% Disapprove

PPP surveyed 969 Colorado voters from August 14th to 16th. The survey’s margin of error is +/-3.2%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_CO_819.pdf
Pretty close to his national numbers and also a improvement over the previous ppp poll of CO or is that wrong?
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You kip if you want to...
change08
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« Reply #1956 on: August 19, 2009, 04:40:39 pm »


WTF? Sad
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pogo stick
JewishConservative
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« Reply #1957 on: August 19, 2009, 04:41:23 pm »


LOL
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #1958 on: August 19, 2009, 04:43:55 pm »


Based on that approval rating, Obama would lose Florida by about 60%-40% if the election was held today.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #1959 on: August 19, 2009, 04:45:01 pm »


Well considering he was under 50 approval before the healthcare debate it doesn't surprise me.
He basically lost most seniors with healthcare. Sucks for him.
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #1960 on: August 19, 2009, 04:50:40 pm »

We also have to remember that the Baby Boomers are turning 60, so there will be a huge over-60 vote at the next election, which as we know, usually at least leans Republican.
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Rowan
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« Reply #1961 on: August 19, 2009, 04:53:13 pm »

We also must keep in mind that these are 2010 likely voters. This will always skew Republican. His approval will always be lower among 2010 likely voters.
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??????????
StatesRights
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« Reply #1962 on: August 19, 2009, 05:14:08 pm »


LOL.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #1963 on: August 19, 2009, 06:31:33 pm »


I think Florida probably wont go for Obama again in 2012.  Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia were all probably a one time deal for Obama. 
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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #1964 on: August 19, 2009, 07:49:44 pm »


Well considering he was under 50 approval before the healthcare debate it doesn't surprise me.
He basically lost most seniors with healthcare. Sucks for him.

What's the matter with seniors like? Worried about something that isn't going to happen. Medicare was an LBJ (Democratic) achievement. Seniors wouldn't have had such programs that have improved their quality of life were it not for Democrats. No doubt there were Republicans in favor - but the party was a way more benevolent beast back then with many Northeastern and Midwestern pragmatic moderate types. Aye, the very people who are now, for the most part, Democrats. Even I'll concede that now there are some pretty good reasonably moderate Republican from those regions, relative to most of their Southern and Mountain West peers, at least. They are some moderates in Florida. The Diaz-Balart brothers and Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, spring to mind

Should healthcare reform pass, perhaps it will all become too apparent that the Republicans have been peddling porkies. As far as Medicare goes, it's not the Democrats they should be worried about. Must really stick in the throats of rightwing dogmatoids that they have been unable to roll back Social Security (FDR) and Medicare (LBJ) - those bid bad evil government programs

Is it really in Obama's best political interests to inact policies that are going to have the opposite effect on their quality of healthcare? I think not
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War on Want
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« Reply #1965 on: August 19, 2009, 07:51:44 pm »


I think Florida probably wont go for Obama again in 2012.  Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia were all probably a one time deal for Obama. 
It depends on who is nominated and how much the economy recovers. If it is Huckabee vs. Obama, then prepare for a ridiculous blowout in Virginia and Florida.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #1966 on: August 19, 2009, 07:55:26 pm »


I think Florida probably wont go for Obama again in 2012.  Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia were all probably a one time deal for Obama. 
It depends on who is nominated and how much the economy recovers. If it is Huckabee vs. Obama, then prepare for a ridiculous blowout in Virginia and Florida.

If Obama's approval will be in the mid-low forties by 2012, there won't be a "ridiculous blowout" by any means.
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Dr. RI
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« Reply #1967 on: August 19, 2009, 07:58:03 pm »

You all are idiots if you think current polls are in any way indicative of what the political climate will be like by November of 2012.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #1968 on: August 19, 2009, 08:13:31 pm »

You all are idiots if you think current polls are in any way indicative of what the political climate will be like by November of 2012.

The current polls at most say what the political situation is on the day of the poll. There will be history made before November 2012 -- and there will be politics. Some people will make big blunders, and some will capitalize from them. Strong political skills and favorable events will give Obama a sure re-election in 2012. Big stumbles on his part -- stumbles that he can't rebound from in time -- will ensure his defeat. It's that simple.
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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #1969 on: August 19, 2009, 08:44:11 pm »

You all are idiots if you think current polls are in any way indicative of what the political climate will be like by November of 2012.

The current polls at most say what the political situation is on the day of the poll. There will be history made before November 2012 -- and there will be politics. Some people will make big blunders, and some will capitalize from them. Strong political skills and favorable events will give Obama a sure re-election in 2012. Big stumbles on his part -- stumbles that he can't rebound from in time -- will ensure his defeat. It's that simple.

Yes, he has to be astute enough not to make major stumbles


I think Florida probably wont go for Obama again in 2012.  Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia were all probably a one time deal for Obama. 
It depends on who is nominated and how much the economy recovers. If it is Huckabee vs. Obama, then prepare for a ridiculous blowout in Virginia and Florida.

The way I see it is if the economy has rebounded nicely, unemployment has fallen, there are no unpopular foreign wars, major scandals, or as Pbrower points out, major stumbles, I see little reason why the president shouldn't carry those states he did in 2008 - and a few more. Hopefully, that's the trajectory moving forward. He wins re-election and things stay on track

My advice would be to stear well clear of the hot-button wedge issue cultural stuff, only moving forward as attitudes change. I'd also advise that, as soon as feasibly possible, Democrats' rein in spending. Wouldn't it be a right smack in the mush if the Democrats could prove themselves, at the federal level,  something the Republicans never were, alone in government, fiscally responsible Smiley. Republicans may have been in a bygone era (pre-FDR)

But can things improve, sufficiently, to avoid major GOP gains in the mid-terms? Obama and the Democrats need time and patience but will they get it? Can a president be cautiously bold? Was the stimulus a damp squib or is it yet to really kick in? Maybe if voters felt that was working, perhaps healthcare reform wouldn't be as much of a hurdle

If there is a strategy to Obama, I'd say it was an investment strategy (be it education, energy, healthcare), seemingly short on short-term fruits but with potentially big dividends over time but that's best left to the policy wonks around him to work out

Poor as the state of affairs he was bequeathed was, any one expecting quick instant fixes can think again
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1970 on: August 20, 2009, 12:17:30 am »

Alabama (Capital Survey Research Center)Sad

50% Very/somewhat satisfied with Obama's job performance
46% Very/somewhat dissatisfied with Obama's job performance

The CSRC poll indicates 47 percent of likely voters statewide are opposed to President Obama's efforts to reform the nation's health care system while 43 percent support the proposed measure. The remaining 10 percent of those surveyed don't know where they stand.

Answers to the CSRC questions were divided along party and racial lines. Approximately 97 percent of black voters and 88 percent of Democrats support Obama's efforts to reform health care. Only 34 percent of white voters and 19 percent of Republicans support the proposal.

The poll of 887 registered voters, which was taken on Aug. 12, has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percent.

http://www.thedailysentinel.com/story.lasso?ewcd=846fb6ea77aa49e8
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War on Want
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« Reply #1971 on: August 20, 2009, 12:23:25 am »

You all are idiots if you think current polls are in any way indicative of what the political climate will be like by November of 2012.
You see, they are a little indicative of the political climate in November of 2012. I think approval polls have consistently shown Obama to be doing rather poorly in the West/Sunbelt. If that trend persists(which is fairly likely), then it will be indicative of the next presidential election.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #1972 on: August 20, 2009, 01:10:34 am »


These numbers aren't even believable going by Rasmussen's own suspect national numbers. I'm sure he'll have a nice, saliva filled discussion with Hannity over them though.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #1973 on: August 20, 2009, 05:40:14 am »

Alabama (Capital Survey Research Center)Sad

50% Very/somewhat satisfied with Obama's job performance
46% Very/somewhat dissatisfied with Obama's job performance

The CSRC poll indicates 47 percent of likely voters statewide are opposed to President Obama's efforts to reform the nation's health care system while 43 percent support the proposed measure. The remaining 10 percent of those surveyed don't know where they stand.

Answers to the CSRC questions were divided along party and racial lines. Approximately 97 percent of black voters and 88 percent of Democrats support Obama's efforts to reform health care. Only 34 percent of white voters and 19 percent of Republicans support the proposal.

The poll of 887 registered voters, which was taken on Aug. 12, has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percent.

http://www.thedailysentinel.com/story.lasso?ewcd=846fb6ea77aa49e8

Probably a biased poll, as it is taken by a union (Alabama Educational Association). It's intriguing nonetheless. Alabama goes to Obama only in a 45-state landslide. The state was an early call for John McCain in 2008, Obama losing it by a 60-38 margin. Should Obama lose Alabama by 'only' about a 55-45 margin, then he surely picks up Georgia and South Carolina and makes Tennessee, Kentucky, and Mississippi very close. Such suggests roughly a 40-state landslide.

Such is the material of political dreams.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #1974 on: August 20, 2009, 05:50:30 am »


A poll is a poll.



Logically I would trade Alabama for Florida and North Carolina and maybe Georgia, but a union-commissioned poll in Alabama isn't strong enough to suggest some "great new reality". Maybe there haven't been enough Town Hall sessions in Alabama or other core Southern States to be disrupted to turn them into political theater for the Hard Right.

Mississippi, anyone? Polls for South Carolina and Tennessee are quite stale, too.

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